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Marine Weather and Tides Grayland, WA Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:45AM

Sunset 4:28PM

Saturday December 7, 2019 3:41 AM PST (11:41 UTC)

Moonrise 2:31PM

Moonset 2:43AM

Illumination 80%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Grayland, WA

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Area Discussion for - Portland, OR

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FXUS66 KPQR 071022 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 222 AM PST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low well off the north California coast early this morning will move east and weaken today. This will bring periods of light rain to the area. The unsettled conditions continue through Saturday night. High pressure returns to the area Sunday and persists into early next week for another potential round of air quality issues.

SHORT TERM. Today through Monday . Water vapor pictures this morning showed an upper low near 40N 130W moving east, with an upper level trough extending northeast across the northwest corner of Oregon and into Washington. A few distinct shortwaves were seen lined up along the east side of the trough and lifting north- northeast. The first was crossing the Columbia early this morning, associated with the batch of rain that was lifting into Washington early this morning. The second wave was approaching the coast along the California-Oregon border, and expected to cross the region later this morning and given the current rain shield associated with it should be good for categorical pops across most of the region. The third was rounding the base of the trough near 37N at 130W. Models suggest this wave will brush across at least the southern part of the forecast area late this afternoon or evening with the main upper trough axis following later in the night. Overall this will keep pops high through this afternoon, then decreasing Sat night into Sun. Surface observations showed the upper part of the Hood River valley with temperatures around freezing still at 2 AM, with temperatures likely to slowly rise this morning. It is not clear if rain there will completely end between short waves this morning as weak isentropic lift continues in the low levels, so will keep the winter weather advisory for the Upper Hood River Valley going through 10 AM.

For Sunday through Monday models have been consistent in shifting a sharp upper ridge into the region. This will set up a dry and stable weather pattern, which will favor the development of stagnant air in the low levels along with conditions favorable for the development of fog and low clouds.

LONG TERM. Monday night through Saturday . First wave to push into and potentially through the upper ridge is expected by models to arrive about Tuesday or Tuesday night. Traditionally models tend to overestimate precipitations chances with the first system through, but enough GEFS members and the 00Z EC operational run suggest sufficient energy/moisture to warrant raising pops a bit Tue, as well as spreading pops inland a little quicker.

Remainder of long term discussion unchanged . When examining the WPC 500mb height clusters for next Thursday through Saturday, there is general agreement that a broad deep positively tilted trough will dig southward over the southern Gulf of Alaska while a shortwave ridge builds northward along the West Coast of the US. This pattern appears favorable for an atmospheric river to move northeastward towards the Pacific Northwest. However, there are considerable differences in the models in the amplitude of the shortwave ridge over the West Coast, which makes a big difference in whether or not it will impact Oregon, Washington or British Columbia later next week. /Neuman

AVIATION. Moist southwesterly flow aloft, with upper disturbances embedded in the flow. Back edge of the first will push north of Columbia River by 12Z. This will maintain mix of VFR with light rain, along with pockets of IFR inland. Next system will arrive after daybreak, and spread rain across most of the region from south to north after 14Z. Will see widespread MVFR across thee region at that time, with rain. Best conditions will along the coast this am, but even there will see increasing MVFR as onshore flow starts increasing after 20Z.

KPDX AND APPROACHES . VFR until 14Z, with brief occasional cigs dropping down to IFR. As next upper disturbance arrives this am, will see conditions lower to MVFR between 14Z and 16Z, with rain increasing. Though vis will improve by late afternoon, MVFR CIGS will persist into the evening. /Rockey

MARINE. Broad area of low pres along the coast will gradually shift inland over Oregon today and tonight, with main surface low moving into far northern Calif. East to southeasterly winds of 10 to 15 kt will gradually weaken today and tonight. Winds will gradually turn more northerly on Sunday, as high pres builds over the northeast Pac.

Seas have been running around 10 to 11 ft, thanks to bit more southerly swell. But, this fetch will subside today, as the main low shifts towards northern Calif and fetch area decreases. Will maintain a mix of swell, with a westerly base swell of 4 to 5 ft, and the south to southwest swell of 7 to 10 ft. As the southerly swell decreases, the westerly swell will slowly build on Sun, becoming the dominant swell by later Sun afternoon.

Benign pattern over the region for start of next week, with lighter winds and smaller swell. But, that will change later in the week as more active pattern returns, with more winds and larger swells arriving by late Thu and Fri.

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for Upper Hood River Valley.

Air Stagnation Advisory until noon PST Tuesday for Cascade Foothills in Lane County-Central Willamette Valley-Greater Portland Metro Area-Lower Columbia-Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills-South Willamette Valley.

WA . Air Stagnation Advisory until noon PST Tuesday for Greater Vancouver Area-I-5 Corridor in Cowlitz County-South Washington Cascade Foothills.

PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Florence OR out 60 NM.




Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland

This discussion is for Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington from the Cascade crest to 60 nautical miles offshore. This area is commonly referred to as the forecast area.

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
WPTW1 - 9441102 - Westport, WA	4 mi	66 min	ESE 7 G 8	46°F	46°F		1006.2 hPa
46211 - Grays Harbor, WA (036)	9 mi	42 min			49°F	6 ft
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA	12 mi	60 min	E 4.1 G 4.1	48°F	47°F		1006.6 hPa
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162	45 mi	42 min			49°F	7 ft
46100	48 mi	112 min	ESE 12	48°F	51°F		1004.7 hPa
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR	48 mi	54 min	NNW 5.1 G 9.9				1006.2 hPa
46041 - CAPE ELIZABETH- 45NM Northwest of Aberdeen, WA	49 mi	52 min	ESE 16 G 19	49°F	50°F	7 ft	1005.7 hPa (-1.5)

Wind History for Westport, WA

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Hoquiam, Bowerman Airport, WA	10 mi	49 min	E 7	8.00 mi	Light Rain	47°F	46°F	100%	1006.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQM

Wind History from HQM (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Bay City, Tillamook Bay, Oregon

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Tide / Current Tables for Grays Harbor Entrance, Washington Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (6,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR

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