Tuesday, January26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Stevens, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:40AMSunset 5:01PM Tuesday January 26, 2021 7:58 PM PST (03:58 UTC) Moonrise 2:44PMMoonset 6:32AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 247 Pm Pst Tue Jan 26 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..SE wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain.
Wed..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming se 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. A slight chance of rain in the morning.
Wed night..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of rain in the evening then a chance of rain after midnight.
Thu..SE wind to 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sat..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sun..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 247 Pm Pst Tue Jan 26 2021
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A vigorous front will move through the area waters tonight. Low pressure will remain centered over the oregon coastal waters Wednesday and Wednesday night. Light offshore flow is expected Thursday and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Stevens, WA
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location: 48, -122.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 270331 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 731 PM PST Tue Jan 26 2021

UPDATE. The biggest update to the forecast this evening was to issue a Wind Advisory for the East Puget Sound Lowlands, which includes (but is not limited to) the cities of: North Bend, Covington, Enumclaw, and Bonney Lake. This is largely based on recent observations along with Spotter reports (thank you for the reports!) Although cities north of these locations have been included in the Advisory, think winds will be strongest near the cities listed above. East winds sustained 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be possible through midnight. Winds may be strong enough at times to bring down trees and powerlines.

Aside from the Wind Advisory, also dropped snow levels a tad tonight thru Wed morning. The rest of the forecast looks good.

Water vapor imagery this evening reveals closed low pressure over the offshore waters of WA and OR, while at the sfc, a frontal boundary also resides just offshore/near the Coast. Lift supplied by the upper trough, along with frontogenetical forcing is allowing for widespread stratiform precip to spread over the area this evening. Have received reports of snow near the Coast as well as the eastern Olympic Peninsula as precip spreads into a cold environment, characterized by snow levels below 500ft. Closer to Puget Sound, dewpoint depressions remain rather large as easterly winds off the Cascades contribute to a dry lower level air mass. Despite this, still receiving reports of light snow/flurries across portions of Puget Sound as this update is being typed. NAM and GFS Bufr soundings remain rather aggressive in keeping this low level dry air in place through much of the night. This would prevent much in the way of snow reaching the surface, although it is possible as the column slowly saturates that there may be a brief window Wed morning where snow is possible around the Sound. Aside from this, the snow forecast remains on track, with easterly upslope flow favoring the Hood Canal/Eastern Peninsula and the heaviest snowfall totals during this event.

Previous discussion provided below with an updated marine and aviation section.

Kovacik

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 229 PM PST Tue Jan 26 2021/

SYNOPSIS. Western Washington will remain in a bit of a trough-y pattern the next few days. A series of fairly weak fronts will be associated with these troughs that move through the area. The general trend in precipitation with each of these fronts will be mostly light and scattered. After tonight, snow levels begin to rise throughout the week.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Clouds ahead of the cold front that currently situated just off shore will continue to move in this afternoon. As this front moves through expect it to produce some precipitation over the area. The precipitation type is going to be very dependent on location. With temperatures in the low to mid 30s tonight for much of the lowland areas and strong easterly flow coming down from the Cascades snow accumulation is unlikely for much of the East side of the Puget Sound and Northern Inland waters. However, locations above 500 feet on the East side of the waters have a greater chance of seeing a dusting of snow overnight. With the easterly winds, some terrain enhancement of the precipitation is expected on the East side of the Olympics, including the Hood Canal area. A few inches of snow is expected above 500 feet, with more accumulation as you go up in elevation. However, there still remains some uncertainty with the snow totals in this area. It will very much depend on temperature, precipitation intensity as well as how strong those easterly winds will be in this area. Outside of the precipitation, the winds tonight will have to be monitored carefully. With a pressure gradient ~10 hPa across the Cascades the potential for some stronger winds is there. This is especially true for areas that lie within the Cascades gaps from Enumclaw to North Bend. By mid morning Wednesday the weather is expected to be calming down and skies will be scattering out, but a few remaining scattered showers are expected to remain in place. Additionally, snow levels will begin to rise up to 1500-2000 feet by the afternoon. These snow levels are expected to stay pretty much in place for the remainder of the week, therefore, ending the lowland snow threat for awhile. The next front is expected to move through the area Thursday night. But with the main part of the trough well to our south, Western Washington is expecting mostly light scattered precipitation.

Butwin

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. This weekend we should see a little bit of warming, with high temperatures in the lowlands going to be in the mid to upper 40s. A more organized front will move through Saturday into Sunday. Rain in the lowlands and mountain snow are expected. The bulk of the precipitation is expected to be along the coast and over the Olympic Mountains. There is still a lot of uncertainty and many things can change but right now only 5-8 inches of snow are expected at the Cascade passes from Friday to Sunday night. The system to watch will be the one expected Monday into Tuesday. As models are suggesting the low will track right through Western Washington.

Butwin

AVIATION. Precipitation has begun to overspread the area this evening and is beginning to affect some of the TAF sites. the majority of the sites are hanging onto VFR, with KHQM and KOLM the exception with MVFR within the heavier precip. Expect sites to generally hang on to lower-end VFR conditions, with periods of MVFR possible. The biggest concern will be the potential for snow. Right now, TAF sites near Puget Sound (including KSEA) have the lowest potential for impactful snow given dry easterly winds. Light snow showers, however, will still be likely. Remaining TAF sites have a better potential for snow overnight, but accumulations are not expected. Winds will have an easterly component thru the period, generally 5-10kts. KSEA, KBFI, and KPAE likely to see sustained winds 10-15kt with gusts to 25kts this evening and thru midnight.

KSEA . VFR ceilings dominant tho could see periods of MVFR. Light precipitation overnight/Wed morning, falling as light snow at times with no accumulation expected. Winds E/SE 10-15kts with gusts 25 mph thru midnight, easing to 5-10kts overnight and Wednesday.

Kovacik

MARINE . The only change to the marine forecast was to extend some of the small craft advisories over the interior waters through 18z Wed and to tag on a SCA after the Gale Warnings for the offshore waters and the W Strait Wed morning. The current forecast remains on track. Previous discussion below:

Offshore flow will continue with speeds increasing as weather system passes through. Gales still expected for the coastal waters this afternoon through tonight with gales for the western and central portions of the Strait of Juan de Fuca already occuring at Race Rocks as per latest obs. Small Craft Advisory winds still expected for the other waters this evening and tonight as front passes through. Inherited headlines look good and will remain in place. Winds will decrease late tonight and Wednesday. Fraser Outflow possible Thursday into Thursday night. Additional fronts will move through late this week and into this weekend.

Seas of 9 to 12 feet will increase tonight to 9 to 16 feet and diminish a bit Wednesday and through the week. 18

Kovacik

HYDROLOGY. No river flooding expected in the next 7 days.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . Wind Advisory until midnight PST tonight for East Puget Sound Lowlands.

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM PST Wednesday for Bremerton and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area.

PZ . Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm- West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Wednesday for Grays Harbor Bar.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Wednesday for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM PST Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Wednesday for Admiralty Inlet-Puget Sound and Hood Canal.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 30 mi479 min Calm G 1 40°F 1002.5 hPa (-2.1)30°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 36 mi479 min E 5.1 G 11 42°F 46°F1002.5 hPa (-1.9)
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 38 mi509 min ESE 6 42°F 1003 hPa29°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 45 mi459 min SE 19 G 24 42°F 1001.7 hPa26°F

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA12 mi66 minSSE 710.00 miOvercast40°F21°F47%997.7 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA12 mi63 minE 510.00 miOvercast41°F21°F45%998.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAE

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--SE7SE6SE7SE9S9SE54SE735SE5SE5SE4SE8SE6E8
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1 day agoS6SE10SE7SE7S8SE8S8S4S5S9S7S8S12S12S9S10S10S7S8S12S9S7S7S6
2 days agoE634SE5SE7SE6SE8666SE7SE10SE9SE8SE8SE8SE7S8S9S96SE7SE6S9

Tide / Current Tables for Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington
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Marysville
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:03 AM PST     11.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:18 AM PST     7.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM PST     9.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:45 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:00 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:08 PM PST     -1.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.75.17.59.410.61110.79.88.77.87.37.58.29.19.79.58.77.35.53.31.2-0.3-1-0.6

Tide / Current Tables for President Point, 1.5 mile E of, Washington Current
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President Point
Click for MapFlood direction 203 true
Ebb direction 24 true

Tue -- 12:34 AM PST     0.47 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:45 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:33 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:58 AM PST     -0.31 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:21 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:59 AM PST     0.06 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:48 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:47 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:01 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:06 PM PST     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:35 PM PST     0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.40.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.1-00.10-0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.1

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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