Sunday, June13, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Ketchum, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:05AMSunset 9:13PM Sunday June 13, 2021 7:45 AM PDT (14:45 UTC) Moonrise 6:44AMMoonset 11:11PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 246 Am Pdt Sun Jun 13 2021
Today..SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Rain.
Tonight..SE wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Rain likely in the evening then a chance of rain after midnight.
Mon..NW wind to 10 kt becoming variable in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A chance of rain in the morning then rain likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..NW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..S wind to 10 kt rising to 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 246 Am Pdt Sun Jun 13 2021
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A very moist frontal system will stall over the inland waters today. The front will dissipate tonight into Monday. High pressure will gradually build into the region Tuesday. The high will remain over the waters through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Ketchum, WA
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location: 48.3, -122.44     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 131024 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 324 AM PDT Sun Jun 13 2021

SYNOPSIS. The wet weather pattern will continue through the first half of the week with conditions drying out during the second half. The majority of the rainfall is associated with the system currently moving through the area. Additionally, there is the chance of some thunderstorms through Tuesday. With Tuesday having the greatest chance for more widespread storms.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Rain associated with this late season atmospheric river will continue through the rest of Sunday. Rain will be rather steady for much of the day, before gradually tapering off Sunday night into Monday. Rain amounts are expected to be rather high, especially for this time of year, with an additional 0.5-1.0 inches of rain expected to for much of Western Washington. There could be some localized areas of higher accumulations, particularly in the Olympics, the Cascades as well as south of Puget Sound. These more localized high rain accumulations will be the result of some stronger rain showers that are expected to move through. In addition to the rainfall, their is the slight chance for some isolated thunderstorms this afternoon, particularly along the Cascades. That said, confidence is still a bit low for these pop up storms here on the west side of the mountains. While there is a fairly good amount of CAPE for this area, the lower levels of the atmosphere are going to be rather stable, and it would take some good upward forcing to get storms to form.

Things will dry off slightly Monday, with the typical post frontal lingering showers hanging around throughout the day. There is a very slight chance for some isolated thunderstorms Monday afternoon. The Cascades and Olympics are the most probable location for thunderstorms to form, but even then conditions are not ideal. Temperatures will be a bit warmer Monday with highs in the low 70s for the interior and mid to upper 60s by the area waters. It will still feel humid (at least for PNW standards) with dew points in the mid to upper 50s.

The big weather story for Tuesday is the chance for widespread thunderstorms during the day. While temperatures will be slightly cooler, it will remain rather humid with dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s. An upper level disturbance will be passing over the area throughout the day. With this disturbance bringing in cold air aloft, the atmosphere will become rather unstable, making it fairly easy for convection to form throughout the day. With steep lapse rates and elevated CAPE values, this will certainly be the day to watch here in the PNW.

Butwin

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Weather will begin to quiet down for the start of the long term here in W WA. An upper level ridge will move into the area and will result in dryer and warmer weather. While our low level flow is not expected to be fully offshore, we are still expecting a pretty good warm up towards the end of the week, with upper 70s to low 80s possible for the interior. However, this will be very dependent on the strength of the diurnal marine layer that will likely be moving in during the overnight hours. The strength of the marine pushes will be very dependent on the low level winds, which we will have better confidence in as we get closer to this time.

Butwin

AVIATION. South southwesterly flow aloft continuing into Monday with upper level trough offshore. Front stalled over Western Washington interior into Monday. Air mass moist through 10000 feet.

Ceilings 4000-6000 feet lowering to 1000-2000 feet with visibility 3-5sm in rain 17z-20z with isolated ceilings below 1000 feet and visibility 1-3sm in rain. Ceilings improving 00z-03z back up to around 4000 feet.

KSEA . Ceilings near 6000 feet slowly lowering after 15z bottoming out around 1500 feet with visibility 3-5sm in rain by 19z. Ceilings improving after 00z back up to around 4000 feet. Southeast wind 4 to 8 knots becoming variable 5 knots or less in the afternoon.

Felton

MARINE. A very moist frontal system will stall over the inland waters today. The front will dissipate tonight into Monday. High pressure will gradually build into the region Tuesday. The high will remain over the waters through Thursday.

Small craft advisory winds over the coastal waters and over the east entrance to the Strait of Juan de Fuca and Northern Inland waters will diminish this afternoon. Increasing onshore flow Tuesday with small craft advisory westerlies in the central and eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca Tuesday evening.

Felton

HYDROLOGY. Minor urban flooding and ponding of water on roadways will be possible through Sunday with persistent moderate to heavy rainfall across portions of this area. This is most likely over the Olympic Peninsula and south into Thurston and Lewis Counties. River flooding is not expected.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 11 mi75 min SE 7 62°F 1010 hPa57°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 21 mi45 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 59°F 51°F1011 hPa (+1.3)
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 21 mi25 min WSW 8.9 G 12
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 35 mi69 min S 1.9 G 4.1 57°F 50°F1010.4 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 39 mi35 min ESE 3.9 G 5.8 51°F 50°F1010.3 hPa50°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 42 mi45 min 1010.9 hPa (+1.6)
CPMW1 42 mi45 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 57°F
CPNW1 42 mi45 min E 1 G 4.1 57°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 44 mi45 min S 9.9 G 12 57°F 1011.5 hPa (+1.7)56°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA12 mi49 minSSE 1410.00 miOvercast65°F56°F73%1011.1 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA12 mi50 minSSE 6 G 128.00 miOvercast61°F57°F88%1010.8 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA17 mi49 minSSE 410.00 miLight Rain60°F57°F90%1012 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUW

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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SE11SE6CalmE3E3--SE4SE5SE4S7--
2 days agoSW7SW5W85NW7W7N5NW6W5NW5NW5CalmW5CalmCalmCalmSE3SE4E7SE5SE6E5SE6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Stanwood, Washington
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Stanwood
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:09 AM PDT     2.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:08 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:28 AM PDT     5.90 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:44 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:49 PM PDT     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:40 PM PDT     7.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.54.33.22.52.23.35.55.95.654.23.22.21.10.3-0.3-0.50.42.24.36.17.27.37

Tide / Current Tables for Deception Pass, Washington Current
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Deception Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:56 AM PDT     0.03 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:09 AM PDT     3.62 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:08 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:16 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:44 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:57 AM PDT     -6.56 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:48 AM PDT     0.05 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:34 PM PDT     6.16 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:15 PM PDT     -0.05 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:12 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:58 PM PDT     -6.26 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-3.70.42.83.63.21.3-3.6-5.1-6.2-6.6-6-4.31.23.75.166.15.33.91.5-4.1-5.8-6.3-5.8

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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