Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
La Conner, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:52AMSunset 4:16PM Sunday December 15, 2019 6:08 AM PST (14:08 UTC) Moonrise 8:09PMMoonset 11:01AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 234 Am Pst Sun Dec 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Tuesday afternoon...
Today..NE wind 5 to 15 kt becoming E to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of rain.
Tonight..SE wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight. A slight chance of showers in the evening then a slight chance of rain after midnight.
Mon..E wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A slight chance of rain in the morning then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..E wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wed..SE wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft building to 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 234 Am Pst Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Weak flow will continue through the afternoon today. A warm front will brush the area early Monday, with southerly winds increasing across the waters. SEveral additional frontal systems will likely impact the area through the remainder of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near La Conner, WA
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location: 48.39, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 151051 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 251 AM PST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. Scattered showers through this morning. High pressure will build over the area Monday and Tuesday but a frontal system may brush western and northern portions of the area. Wetter weather is expected by middle to the end of this week as multiple systems move through.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Scattered showers across portions of the central and northern Puget Sound this morning as a shortwave trough slides through WA. Small hail reported as well in spots across King County with cool air aloft. Showers should diminish early this afternoon for the interior with relatively dry conditions by this evening into tonight as an upper level ridge begins to build offshore. Snow showers through today for the Passes with light accumulations, under an inch or two possible, with the heaviest of bands. Temperatures today will be in the mid 40s.

The upper level ridge will build over the area Monday into Tuesday, however a warm front moving north across the offshore waters will bring the chance for showers especially for the Olympic Peninsula and North Interior Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Some sunshine will be possible in spots later on Monday with mostly cloudy skies by Tuesday as the system approaches. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s. JD

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The middle to end of this week will be rather active for Western Washington. The first system will move through Wednesday with a series of shortwaves through Saturday as troughing develops offshore. Thursday into Saturday appears the most active on guidance with lowland rain and mountain snow. Breezy, and perhaps windy, conditions are expected as well with the series of systems late week. Temperatures will be a bit above normal in the upper 40s. JD

AVIATION. An upper level disturbance will maintain scattered showers today, mostly over the interior and Cascades. The flow aloft is NW. Ceilings are generally MVFR to IFR this morning with patchy fog possible. We should see improving conditions this afternoon as the upper level disturbance exits and pushes east of the Cascades (while high pressure nudges in from the west). A weak warm front will clip the area early Monday for a chance of rain.

KSEA . Expect showers in the vicinity today with possible MVFR to IFR conditions this morning. S winds at the surface to 5 kt. Ceilings will gradually lift and improve late this afternoon to VFR. 33

MARINE. Radar imagery early this morning reveals another round of scattered showers affecting some of the waters early this morning. Most of the radar echoes are seen from the Northern Inland Waters into the eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca and into Puget Sound. A few pin-prick showers exists offshore the Washington Coast as well. Should see scattered activity continue through at least the first half of the day today as a weak shortwave progresses north to south across the area. Patchy fog developed earlier in the evening in the vicinity of the interior waters and expect patchy activity to continue near these waters into much of the morning hours. Shower and fog activity may reduce visibility over the waters at times.

Winds and seas remain light this morning and this trend will continue through much of the afternoon. Took a while for seas offshore to ease yesterday but observations finally indicated a drop to the 6-8ft range late last evening. These calm conditions will unfortunately not last long. A look at the pattern upstream reveals a frontal system across the Pacific, and this system will be marching E/NE thru the day today. The warm frontal portion of it should approach the vicinity of the Coastal Waters later today/tonight. Winds in its vicinity will pick up quickly to small craft advisory levels this evening. Small craft winds will eventually spread over the interior waters early Monday morning. Have spared Puget Sound and the central Strait of Juan de Fuca from these winds, tho Puget Sound is worth keeping an eye on. These winds appear to remain elevated for the foreseeable future and these headlines will likely need to be extended further in time during future forecast updates. The pattern looks to remain quite active this week, with even windier conditions possible late in the week within possible atmospheric river event.

Kovacik

HYDROLOGY. There are no flooding concerns through the first half of this week. The latter part of this week will be wet--but snow levels are not likely to be high enough to put Western Washington into a river flooding situation.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM PST Tuesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Monday to 4 PM PST Tuesday for Admiralty Inlet-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM PST Monday for West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 5 mi98 min S 1 40°F 1019 hPa40°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 18 mi28 min WNW 6 G 8 42°F 1019.3 hPa38°F
46118 23 mi73 min 40°F 1018 hPa40°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 24 mi56 min SSW 4.1 G 5.1 41°F 48°F1019.8 hPa
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 29 mi92 min 48°F1018.7 hPa
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 35 mi56 min 1018.8 hPa
CPMW1 35 mi56 min WNW 8.9 G 11 42°F
CPNW1 35 mi104 min WNW 12 G 16 43°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi28 min W 5.8 G 7.8 43°F 47°F1020 hPa36°F
46120 44 mi31 min 41°F 1018.6 hPa38°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA7 mi73 minN 03.00 miFog/Mist39°F39°F100%1019 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA8 mi2.2 hrsNW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F37°F76%1019.8 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA23 mi72 minN 00.50 miFog34°F34°F100%1019.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBVS

Wind History from BVS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE3CalmNW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS5SE3CalmNE3SE5S4SE5SE6S4S4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days ago7SE8SE7S5
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Tide / Current Tables for La Conner, Washington
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La Conner
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:00 AM PST     -1.99 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:54 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:12 AM PST     11.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:00 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:00 PM PST     6.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:11 PM PST     9.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:08 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.4-2-1.30.73.56.4910.811.511.310.59.48.27.36.97.388.89.2986.34.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Deception Pass, Washington Current
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Deception Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:19 AM PST     6.68 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:51 AM PST     -0.06 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:55 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:40 AM PST     -6.80 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:01 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 12:10 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:40 PM PST     4.14 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:15 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:51 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:09 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:30 PM PST     -6.95 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:19 PM PST     0.06 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.55.96.66.55.43.5-2.1-5.2-6.5-6.7-5.9-4.4-1.92.63.94.13-2-4.7-6-6.8-6.8-5.7-3.1

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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