Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ferndale, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:14PM Thursday August 22, 2019 11:02 AM PDT (18:02 UTC) Moonrise 10:31PMMoonset 12:28PM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 848 Am Pdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Today..NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Tonight..S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of rain in the morning.
Fri night..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SW wind 10 to 20 kt becoming W 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight.
Sun..W wind 10 to 20 kt becoming sw 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Mon..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 848 Am Pdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Onshore flow will continue through early next week with high pressure offshore and lower pressure inland. A weak warm front will pass to the north Friday. A trailing weak cold front will dissipate over the coastal waters on Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferndale, WA
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location: 48.79, -122.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 221634
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
934 am pdt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure is building into western washington today but high
temperatures will remain a bit below normal. This ridge of high
pressure will be somewhat suppressed by Friday as a low pressure
system pushes across central bc through Saturday. With a few
showers around, the weekend should cloudier but with
temperatures will continue to be near normal. Next week a stronger
ridge of high pressure will attempt to build north into the region
through mid week so temperatures should climb above normal with
more Sun and drier weather.

Short term today through Saturday
Satellite this morning shows considerable cloudiness across much
of western washington, with some sunny areas but many cloudy ones.

Temperatures are primarily in the 50s across the area with a few
60s where there is a bit more sun. Some patchy fog also continues
to linger. Expecting a gradual clearing through afternoon as a
ridge of high pressure builds in. Temperatures, however, will
remain below normal for most areas, generally in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. The building ridge will be suppressed and flattened as
a trough of low pressure pushes into central bc by Friday. Heights
will increase from today though, so highs Friday should be a few
degrees warmer than today and close to normal. Aside from a few
showers possible in the far north on Friday, the area is likely to
remain dry, but cloudy. A bit more moisture works its way south
late Friday and into Saturday with falling mid level heights, so
there will be some scattered showers by Saturday but not
significant. The trend will be for cloudy skies to start the day,
with a clearing by late day Saturday. Temperatures will continue
to run from near to slightly below normal.

Key messages and impacts in the short term period:
none

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
By Sunday the general trend is for a rebuilding of the mid level
ridge of high pressure along with rising heights across the area.

Sunday looks drier along with temperatures close to normal. This
trend is set to continue into early next week with the heights
peaking between 580-586dm. The bulk of the strong ridge will
however be suppressed well south with more troughing pushing into
central bc. Thus the trend continues to be for less height rises
and a diminished threat for a late summer heat wave. At present,
sunny skies with temperatures in the mid 80s look to be a good
bet, but as of now, the threat of 90 degree temperatures is
diminished.

Key messages and impacts in the long term period:
warming temperatures next week but threat of excessive heat looks
diminished. Several days of above normal temperatures are expected
from Monday through Wednesday, but not hot enough to cause
significant impact.

Aviation Low ceilings abound across the TAF sites this morning
with ifr and MVFR the most prevalent categories, tho a few spots are
reporting lifr amidst some drizzle and fog from leftover weak puget
sound convergence zone. Fortunately, ceilings will improve back to
vfr by the afternoon hours as un upper level ridge builds over the
region and sfc high pressure noses into western washington. Should
see a decent amount of clearing then through the afternoon. Low
clouds do not appear to be an issue Friday morning, except maybe
some patches along the coast. Mid and high level cloud cover,
however, will be on the increase late tonight into Friday morning.

Ksea... Ifr CIGS (with brief periods of lifr amidst some fog and
drizzle) will gradually improve to MVFR by late morning and
eventually toVFR this afternoon. After a decent period of clearing
this afternoon, mid and high clouds will then increase tonight. Sw
winds this morning will turn more W at 5-10kts through the afternoon
and eventually become more N NE albeit light at 5kts or less.

Kovacik

Marine An upper level trough that brought rain to most of the
waters yesterday has departed to the east, along with the associated
surface frontal boundary. Higher pressure can be found in the
front's wake that extends across the offshore waters of the
washington and oregon coast. This will keep onshore flow pattern in
place today as the pressure gradient is established towards lower
pressure inland. Current headlines as of 15z include a small craft
advisory for the outer coastal waters for NW winds 15-25 knots with
accompanying 10-11 foot swell. These conditions should subside by
early afternoon as high pressure builds slightly east. Have opted to
cancel the small craft advisory for the northern inland waters with
this update as current obs appear to be below 21 knots, even across
the strait of georgia which appeared to be the original source of
the "stronger" winds.

Small craft advisory although marginal will remain in place for
the central and eastern strait of juan de fuca for this
evening tonight. Onshore flow still appears to prevail thru early
next week.

Kovacik

Hydrology The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the
start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed
until then.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt this morning for coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10 to
60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-northern inland waters including the
san juan islands.

Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 3 am pdt Friday
for central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east
entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 7 mi50 min 1019 hPa
CPMW1 7 mi50 min WNW 6 G 7 61°F
CPNW1 7 mi110 min WNW 8.9 G 11 60°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 25 mi86 min ENE 2.9 G 5.1 56°F 53°F1019 hPa
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 25 mi92 min N 2.9 60°F 1019 hPa54°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 34 mi72 min SE 2.9 G 2.9 57°F 1019.2 hPa (+1.5)51°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 41 mi42 min E 1.9 G 1.9 56°F 55°F1019.1 hPa53°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 47 mi50 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 58°F 54°F1019.9 hPa

Wind History for Cherry Point South Dock, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellingham, Bellingham International Airport, WA7 mi69 minVar 310.00 miOvercast62°F53°F73%1019.4 hPa
Eastsound, Orcas Island Airport, WA13 mi67 minNNW 69.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F53°F73%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLI

Wind History from BLI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8S5S6S5S7S8
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S7S6S6SW4S5SW3S4S43CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm33SW3
1 day ago3S645S5W4CalmSW3CalmS6SW5S6S6S6S7S4SW6S4CalmCalmSE13SE11SE10S7
2 days agoS10S9S7S8S7SW5S5S4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmSW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Sandy Point, Lummi Bay, Washington
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Sandy Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:01 AM PDT     1.91 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:17 AM PDT     5.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:28 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:15 PM PDT     4.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:24 PM PDT     7.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:31 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.85.54.12.92.21.92.22.93.84.75.55.85.85.454.74.54.655.76.67.47.97.8

Tide / Current Tables for Clark Island, 1.6 mile North of, Washington Current
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Clark Island
Click for MapFlood direction 335 true
Ebb direction 150 true

Thu -- 02:11 AM PDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:13 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:14 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:25 AM PDT     0.47 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:12 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:28 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:16 PM PDT     -0.47 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:05 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:20 PM PDT     0.55 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:44 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:31 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.7-1-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.7-0.4-0.10.20.40.40.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-00.20.40.50.4-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.