Friday, January17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 5:50PM Friday January 17, 2020 12:04 PM -01 (13:04 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 11:29AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 171117 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 617 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. Arctic high pressure will build into the area today and then crest over the region on Saturday. Low pressure will approach Saturday night and track across the area Sunday. An upper trough will remain over the area Monday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 620am update . Added scattered morning flurries in northern Aroostook County due to Saint Lawrence moisture and decreased lows tonight.

A strong pressure gradient between departing low in the Maritimes and a 1046mb Arctic high in Ontario will generate strong northwest winds through the day. These winds and strong cold air advection through this morning will produce subzero wind chills for the entire area all day. Wind chill readings may drop as low as -30F in Aroostook County this morning and Frenchville has already recorded wind chills as low as -22F. As a result, the Wind Chill Advisory will remain in place into tonight. Today will be the coldest day of this winter season to date for the entire forecast area. The winds will also act on recent accumulations of powdery snow to cause blowing snow. As always, the biggest problems will be in the open farmlands of Aroostook County this morning. Expect a little stronger mixing this morning . with gusts up to 40 mph . to create the worst conditions. The Winter Weather Advisory remains in place for this scenario. By mid-afternoon, expect significant blowing snow to have abated. There's very little moisture for cloud cover, but expect the bitterly cold low level air mass crossing the Saint Lawrence River to generate some streamers into the Saint John Valley today. Guidance usually doesn't handle this too well. Tonight will be the coldest night of the year for many locations, but with the ridgeline remaining well to the west until very late tonight, expect winds and mixing most of the night . preventing -20F or less readings. The exception will be portions of the North Woods where the -20F readings are more probable with this synoptic setup.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Sat wl feature some improvement over the day before with ridge axis centered ovr top of the area with partly-mostly sunny skies on tap bfr high clouds move in fm the west in the aftn. Nrn zones wl be hard-pressed to eek out double digit highs while Downeast warms into the 20s.

Next system on the docket is currently over the Intermountain West with leeside cyclogenesis taking shape and lkly strengthening this aftn. By 00z Sun it wl be in the vicinity of Lk Huron with overrunning pcpn spreading into wrn areas Sat evng. Isentropic lift increases by 00z with swrn areas in LFQ of upr level jet. Airmass wl be cold enuf for all snow over land areas as the event gets underway, however by 06z Sun position of sfc low looks to be in doubt with GFS hinting at secondary dvlpmnt near Seacoast NH, with EC and NAM lagging behind and a tad further south. Location of the low wl make the difference between all snow and rain mixing in along the coast drg the overnight hrs. For now hv gone with rain/snow mix along the outer islands and the immediate coast thru Sun morning.

As dry slot moves in Sun morning into the afternoon freezing drizzle is expected along the coast as ice will no longer be present in the cld layer btwn 12z and 18z. This may lead to a glaze of ice along the coast and interior Downeast on Sun morning. As far as expected snowfall widespread amounts of between 4-7 inches over entire area with the exception of the immediate coast where rain mixes in. Winter storm watches not posted tonight as snowfall falls short of warning amnts. Looks as though winter wx advisories likely to be needed with this system but still time to issue headlines.

Expect snow showers to continue into Sun night as low departs into Canadian Maritimes with cyclonic flow rmng over the region. Upr lvl trof crosses the state thru 06z Mon with artic air lagging behind system.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Longwave upr lvl trof wl be carved out Mon night with temps below normal fm Mon night into the middle of the week. Ridge axis wl influence the area's wx with no significant systems expected thru the end of the week.

AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: MVFR cigs are possible this morning north of HUL. Blowing snow could reduce vis this morning north of HUL, most likely at CAR and FVE where tempo IFR vis is possible. Otherwise, VFR conditions with excellent vis and no cigs are forecast. Strong northwest winds will affect all terminals with gusts to 40 mph and LLWS possible at times.

SHORT TERM: Sat: VFR for northern terminals with Downeast terminals dropping to MVFR/IFR in light snow late afternoon. Lgt winds.

Sat night-Sun: IFR in -sn with -snra mix at BHB Sun morning and possible -fzdz. E winds Sun morning becoming W during the day.

Sun night: MVFR north with VFR Downeast. WNW winds 5-15kts.

Mon-Tue: Mostly VFR. Nw winds

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Will extend the gale into this evening. An SCA will be needed for the rest of the night. No change to the freezing spray forecast. A wind-driven short-period north wave group will remain dominant with heights up to 7 ft.

SHORT TERM: Winds blo SCA Sat morning into Sat evening before increasing ahead of next low pressure system with strong SCA level winds. Winds drop off as low pressure tracks across the waters on Sun before cold air advection brings SCA level winds back to the area early Mon morning. Seas increase above 5ft after midnight Sat night in srly swell before diminishing Mon afternoon. Seas and winds likely to remain blo SCA levels Mon afternoon through the day Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MEZ001-002-005-006. Wind Chill Advisory until 2 AM EST Saturday for MEZ001>006-010. MARINE . Freezing Spray Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for ANZ050>052. Gale Warning until 8 PM EST this evening for ANZ050>052.

Near Term . MCW Short Term . Farrar Long Term . Farrar Aviation . MCW/Farrar Marine . MCW/Farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi65 min SSW 18 46°F 3 ft1007.3 hPa (-0.1)44°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi65 min SSW 19 47°F 3 ft1007.4 hPa (-0.1)43°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.