Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kake, AK

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Area Discussion for -

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FXAK67 PAJK 150021 AAA AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 321 PM AKST Sat Dec 14 2019

SHORT TERM. / Into Monday / Ridge of higher pressure still persisting over the western Canada area and this continues to aid the blocking pattern with the vertically stacked low pattern in place over the gulf of Alaska. Dry weather starts across the region Saturday night. A developed frontal band will lift northeast through the gulf as the surface low moves north to southwest of Kodiak Island and into the general low of the vertically stacked feature. The front will approach the panhandle Sunday and move through essentially by Monday morning. The front will be weakening as it stretches out as it heads away from the parent low.

Rain should be the expected precipitation, though portions of the northern panhandle will be snow or start as snow for portions of the north central panhandle. Just minor accumulations around an inch or so expected there. For the Misty Fjords region, a continued offshore flow pattern looks like it will keep the temperature at or just below freezing. They could get a couple inches of snow from the initial front.

A developing wave on the old frontal boundary moves northward along it Monday, pulling the precipitation plume back to the west across the southern panhandle for Monday night. Will likely need to keep an eye on the Misty Fjords region for late Monday as continued low level northeast flow keeps cooler air in place there, could be a significant snow event for Hyder. The rest of the panhandle will have a trough move in from the west, and will keep showers in the forecast for Monday.

Expect Gale force winds ahead of the front late tonight into Sunday as it approaches the coast. Small crafts for portions of the inside waters Sunday night/Monday.

LONG TERM. /Monday through Saturday night/ As of 10pm Friday . The extended range begins with a weakening area of low pressure in the western gulf pushing a front into the Panhandle. That low will continue to weaken as it is absorbed by trough of low pressure over the Aleutians. On Tuesday, models are hinting at a system developing south of Haida Gwaii and moving north affecting the Southern Panhandle. The complex low out in the Aleutians will then move into the gulf mid week with multiple systems rotating around it and into the Panhandle. The low is expected to weaken in the gulf by the weekend keeping much of Southeast Alaska in a continuous onshore flow pattern. There are still model discrepancies for the timing and placement of each system moving into the region. What does appear to be relatively certain is wet weather will persist through most of the coming week.

No major changes were made to the long range forecast. The front on Monday is expected to bring a round of precipitation to the Panhandle. At this time heavy rain is not expected with this front. P-type could be an issue for areas in the Northern Panhandle as colder air at the surface may be hard to scour out by the time the precipitation moves in. On Tuesday, models have been showing a system developing south of Haida Gwaii and bringing another round of precipitation to the Southern Panhandle. Guidance still disagrees with timing, placement, and strength of this system as there has been poor run to run consistency over the past few days. Mid week, a complex low moves into the Gulf from the Aleutians swinging another front into the Panhandle and keeping the chance for precipitation chances around for the rest of the week. Current thinking is that the far northern Panhandle has the best chance at seeing frozen precipitation next week, especially along the highways. The southern Panhandle is expected to see predominantly rain. Fortunately, several days remain before this becomes an issue with impacts on the public, so it can be studied closely by multiple shifts.

Overall long range forecast confidence is average.

AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. PUBLIC . None. MARINE . Gale Warning for PKZ041>043-051-052. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-053.



Bezenek/CM

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
FFIA2 - Five Finger, AK	32 mi	44 min	ENE 5.1 G 6	35°F			1016.8 hPa (+0.0)
PGXA2	46 mi	41 min	SE 6 G 11	35°F				35°F
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK	60 mi	82 min	ENE 13 G 19	37°F			1016.6 hPa	35°F
PLXA2 - 9451054 - Port Alexander, AK	61 mi	68 min	NNW 5.1 G 9.9	37°F	45°F		1016.5 hPa

Wind History for Port Alexander, AK

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Kake - Kake Airport, AK	14 mi	1.8 hrs	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	27°F	27°F	100%	1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAFE

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Tide / Current Tables for Entrance Island, Alaska

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Tide / Current Tables for Hamilton Bay, Kupreanof Island, Alaska

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (2,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK

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