Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hamilton, NC
July 3, 2024 4:30 PM EDT (20:30 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:57 AM Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 2:25 AM Moonset 5:51 PM |
AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 358 Pm Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat late.
Thu - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ100 358 Pm Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure will push offshore tonight and then remain centered off the coast through this weekend. Oppressive heat and humidity return this weekend as well as chances for showers and Thunderstorms.
FXUS61 KAKQ 031913 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 313 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure off the coast gradually settles south into the western Atlantic through late this week. Heat and humidity build over the region from Independence Day through early next week.
Daily chances of mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms also return from Independence Day into the upcoming weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
- Key Message: Pleasant and dry conditions continue tonight.
GOES water vapor channels depict an upper ridge across the Gulf Coast and Southeast this afternoon, with a trough over the Great Lakes. At the surface, high pressure is centered off the Mid- Atlantic and Northeast coasts, with a cold front well to the NW of the region and approaching the Ohio Valley. Partly to mostly sunny this afternoon with temperatures in the upper 70s/around 80F along the coast and in the mid 80s inland.
Dewpoints are reasonable for early July and mainly in the lower to mid 60s. Surface high pressure sinks S off the coast tonight.
Becoming more humid later tonight/toward morning with overnight lows in the upper 60s to around 70F under a mostly clear sky.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- Hot and humid conditions return for Thursday through Saturday.
- Rain chances return to the forecast for the afternoon into the evening on Independence Day and again on Friday and Saturday.
Best rain chances remain W-NW of the Richmond Metro area into the VA Piedmont.
Hotter and more humid conditions will return Independence Day with increasing SSW flow as the surface high becomes centered off the Southeast coast. High temperatures range from the upper 80s/lower 90s along the coast, to the mid 90s inland. Continue to undercut the very moist NBM dewpoint numbers, but nonetheless more humid Thursday, with PWs to climb to ~2.00 by Thursday night. Forecast dewpoints in the upper 60s to around 70F during peak heating result in heat indices well into the upper 90s to lower 100s.
There is a potential for widely scattered showers/tstms developing along pre-frontal/lee trough Thursday afternoon and evening. Rain chances are generally 20-40% (although 60% for the NW Piedmont) for mainly late aftn/evening tstms (highest PoPs NW of a Farmville- Richmond- Ocean City MD line). A convective Marginal Risk remains in place from the SPC for the far NW, with gusty winds from wet microbursts the main hazard. Partly cloudy, warm and muggy/humid Thursday night with lows in the lower to mid 70s.
PWs trend up further for Friday, reaching 2-2.25" by Friday morning (*near daily max value). Forecast highs Friday are similar to Thursday. However, it will be a bit more humid and with dewpoints slightly higher, heat indices at or above 105F are likely for central and SE VA and into NE NC. There is another chance of afternoon showers/tstms Friday along the lee trough lingering over the area. Partly cloudy warm and muggy Friday night with lows in the mid to upper 70s. The weakening cold front drops into the area Saturday. Once again hot and very humid ahead of the boundary with highs in the lower to mid 90s and heat indices of 105-109F possible if not likely. This boundary should become the focus for showers/tstms by afternoon.
A very moist and unstable airmass will be in place and the 500mb flow does increase to 30-35kt across the NW, so some stronger tstms are possible.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
- Key Message: Heat and humidity linger for Sunday into the first part of next week. Remaining a bit unsettled with a chance for mainly late day and evening showers and storms each day.
The upper ridge slowly shifts E off the SE coast while slowly weakening later this weekend. Meanwhile, an upper trough will remain to our NW over the Great Lakes. The weak cold front from Saturday may push far enough E Sunday to allow some drier air to filter in from the NW, with slightly lower chances of afternoon/evening showers/tstms, and mainly over the SE. The front lifts back N and remains in vicinity of the region early to the middle of next week with chances of afternoon/evening showers/tstms continuing. High will generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and locally mid 90s, with heat indices mainly 100-105F Sunday through Wednesday. Have remained a little below the typical high bias shown by NBM dewpoints, but still expect them to be back in the low- mid 70s for the period. Nights will be warm and humid with lows in the 70s.
AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 155 PM EDT Wednesday...
High pressure is centered off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts as of 18z. VFR with SCT-BKN CU inland and FEW-SCT toward the coast, with bases of 5-6kft. The wind is mainly S/SSW 5-10kt inland and E/SE 5-10kt along the coast. High pressure settles S off the coast tonight. VFR under a mostly clear sky with a light southerly wind. Some very patchy early morning stratus is possible Thursday morning. Otherwise, VFR Independence Day with SCT-BKN late morning to aftn CU with bases of 4-6kft and a SSW wind of 8-12kt. A few showers/tstms could drift into RIC after 19-20z and closer to 00z at SBY.
Any showers/tstms should dissipate later Thursday evening.
There is a potential for early morning shallow ground fog/low stratus Friday through Sunday mornings with increased low-level moisture. This will also lead to a chc for aftn/evening showers/tstms as a slow moving boundary approaches from the NW Thursday/Friday and gradually weakens as it crosses into the region over the weekend into Monday.
MARINE
As of 220 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key messages:
- South winds increase to 15-20 kt across the upper Chesapeake Bay tonight with Small Craft Advisories in effect.
- Small Craft Advisories are likely to be needed late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening for the Chesapeake Bay and the Virginia coastal waters.
- A period of elevated, diurnally-driven southerly winds is possible Friday and Saturday with Small Craft Advisory conditions possible.
High pressure is situated offshore this afternoon, its center to the NE of local waters. High pressure will remain along the coast through through tomorrow. A weak front will attempt to pass through the area Friday, which will push the high away from the coast. Winds today are out of the ESE with latest obs reflecting flow of 5-10kt.
Over the next few days, winds will follow a diurnal pattern of becoming slightly elevated in the evenings and early overnight hours. This evening, SSE winds will pick up to 10-15 in the coastal waters and rivers, around 15kt in the lower/middle bay, and 15-20 in the upper bay (which has a SCA for tonight). Tomorrow morning, winds fall back to 10-15 everywhere and turn SSW. The pressure gradient tightens a bit tomorrow evening between the approaching front and the offshore high. This, combined with sea breeze effects, will allow SSE winds to pick up to 15-20kt in the bay and coastal waters.
The rivers/currituck sound look to stay ~10kt in the evening, but could see potential for a few elevated gusts above 15kt. Additional SCAs will likely be need for this time period. Friday follows a similar pattern as Thurs, except the evening increase looks to be higher in the coastal waters (15-20kt) than in the bay (10-15kt).
Similar conditions expected Sat, then lighter winds expected Sunday.
Seas this afternoon are 2-3ft, waves are 1-2ft. Seas pick up to 3ft overnight, then increase to 3-4ft Thursday evening through Sat.
There is potential for seas ~5ft out near 20nm Fri-Sat, mostly N of Cape Charles. Waves will follow a general pattern of 1-2ft during the early morning-early afternoon hours, then increasing to 2-3ft in the evening hours with the diurnal wind increase.
Regarding rip currents, have decided to upgrade the northern beaches to a high rip current risk for tomorrow due to increasing wave heights, longer periods (~12sec), and near shore normal wave directions. Have maintained the moderate risk for the southern beaches.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures for Thu-Sat (July 4-6)
7/4 7/5 7/6 RIC 100/2002 102/2012 105/1977 ORF 98/1997 98/2012 102/1881 SBY 100/1919 102/2012 102/2010 ECG 100/1997 100/2012 99/2012
Record high minimum temperatures Thu-Sat (July 4-6)
7/4 7/5 7/6 RIC 77/1900 79/2012 80/2012 ORF 79/2012 80/1999 80/1999 SBY 78/2012 81/2012 77/2012 ECG 78/2012 77/2018 78/1999
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ630.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 313 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure off the coast gradually settles south into the western Atlantic through late this week. Heat and humidity build over the region from Independence Day through early next week.
Daily chances of mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms also return from Independence Day into the upcoming weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
- Key Message: Pleasant and dry conditions continue tonight.
GOES water vapor channels depict an upper ridge across the Gulf Coast and Southeast this afternoon, with a trough over the Great Lakes. At the surface, high pressure is centered off the Mid- Atlantic and Northeast coasts, with a cold front well to the NW of the region and approaching the Ohio Valley. Partly to mostly sunny this afternoon with temperatures in the upper 70s/around 80F along the coast and in the mid 80s inland.
Dewpoints are reasonable for early July and mainly in the lower to mid 60s. Surface high pressure sinks S off the coast tonight.
Becoming more humid later tonight/toward morning with overnight lows in the upper 60s to around 70F under a mostly clear sky.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- Hot and humid conditions return for Thursday through Saturday.
- Rain chances return to the forecast for the afternoon into the evening on Independence Day and again on Friday and Saturday.
Best rain chances remain W-NW of the Richmond Metro area into the VA Piedmont.
Hotter and more humid conditions will return Independence Day with increasing SSW flow as the surface high becomes centered off the Southeast coast. High temperatures range from the upper 80s/lower 90s along the coast, to the mid 90s inland. Continue to undercut the very moist NBM dewpoint numbers, but nonetheless more humid Thursday, with PWs to climb to ~2.00 by Thursday night. Forecast dewpoints in the upper 60s to around 70F during peak heating result in heat indices well into the upper 90s to lower 100s.
There is a potential for widely scattered showers/tstms developing along pre-frontal/lee trough Thursday afternoon and evening. Rain chances are generally 20-40% (although 60% for the NW Piedmont) for mainly late aftn/evening tstms (highest PoPs NW of a Farmville- Richmond- Ocean City MD line). A convective Marginal Risk remains in place from the SPC for the far NW, with gusty winds from wet microbursts the main hazard. Partly cloudy, warm and muggy/humid Thursday night with lows in the lower to mid 70s.
PWs trend up further for Friday, reaching 2-2.25" by Friday morning (*near daily max value). Forecast highs Friday are similar to Thursday. However, it will be a bit more humid and with dewpoints slightly higher, heat indices at or above 105F are likely for central and SE VA and into NE NC. There is another chance of afternoon showers/tstms Friday along the lee trough lingering over the area. Partly cloudy warm and muggy Friday night with lows in the mid to upper 70s. The weakening cold front drops into the area Saturday. Once again hot and very humid ahead of the boundary with highs in the lower to mid 90s and heat indices of 105-109F possible if not likely. This boundary should become the focus for showers/tstms by afternoon.
A very moist and unstable airmass will be in place and the 500mb flow does increase to 30-35kt across the NW, so some stronger tstms are possible.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday...
- Key Message: Heat and humidity linger for Sunday into the first part of next week. Remaining a bit unsettled with a chance for mainly late day and evening showers and storms each day.
The upper ridge slowly shifts E off the SE coast while slowly weakening later this weekend. Meanwhile, an upper trough will remain to our NW over the Great Lakes. The weak cold front from Saturday may push far enough E Sunday to allow some drier air to filter in from the NW, with slightly lower chances of afternoon/evening showers/tstms, and mainly over the SE. The front lifts back N and remains in vicinity of the region early to the middle of next week with chances of afternoon/evening showers/tstms continuing. High will generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and locally mid 90s, with heat indices mainly 100-105F Sunday through Wednesday. Have remained a little below the typical high bias shown by NBM dewpoints, but still expect them to be back in the low- mid 70s for the period. Nights will be warm and humid with lows in the 70s.
AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 155 PM EDT Wednesday...
High pressure is centered off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts as of 18z. VFR with SCT-BKN CU inland and FEW-SCT toward the coast, with bases of 5-6kft. The wind is mainly S/SSW 5-10kt inland and E/SE 5-10kt along the coast. High pressure settles S off the coast tonight. VFR under a mostly clear sky with a light southerly wind. Some very patchy early morning stratus is possible Thursday morning. Otherwise, VFR Independence Day with SCT-BKN late morning to aftn CU with bases of 4-6kft and a SSW wind of 8-12kt. A few showers/tstms could drift into RIC after 19-20z and closer to 00z at SBY.
Any showers/tstms should dissipate later Thursday evening.
There is a potential for early morning shallow ground fog/low stratus Friday through Sunday mornings with increased low-level moisture. This will also lead to a chc for aftn/evening showers/tstms as a slow moving boundary approaches from the NW Thursday/Friday and gradually weakens as it crosses into the region over the weekend into Monday.
MARINE
As of 220 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key messages:
- South winds increase to 15-20 kt across the upper Chesapeake Bay tonight with Small Craft Advisories in effect.
- Small Craft Advisories are likely to be needed late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening for the Chesapeake Bay and the Virginia coastal waters.
- A period of elevated, diurnally-driven southerly winds is possible Friday and Saturday with Small Craft Advisory conditions possible.
High pressure is situated offshore this afternoon, its center to the NE of local waters. High pressure will remain along the coast through through tomorrow. A weak front will attempt to pass through the area Friday, which will push the high away from the coast. Winds today are out of the ESE with latest obs reflecting flow of 5-10kt.
Over the next few days, winds will follow a diurnal pattern of becoming slightly elevated in the evenings and early overnight hours. This evening, SSE winds will pick up to 10-15 in the coastal waters and rivers, around 15kt in the lower/middle bay, and 15-20 in the upper bay (which has a SCA for tonight). Tomorrow morning, winds fall back to 10-15 everywhere and turn SSW. The pressure gradient tightens a bit tomorrow evening between the approaching front and the offshore high. This, combined with sea breeze effects, will allow SSE winds to pick up to 15-20kt in the bay and coastal waters.
The rivers/currituck sound look to stay ~10kt in the evening, but could see potential for a few elevated gusts above 15kt. Additional SCAs will likely be need for this time period. Friday follows a similar pattern as Thurs, except the evening increase looks to be higher in the coastal waters (15-20kt) than in the bay (10-15kt).
Similar conditions expected Sat, then lighter winds expected Sunday.
Seas this afternoon are 2-3ft, waves are 1-2ft. Seas pick up to 3ft overnight, then increase to 3-4ft Thursday evening through Sat.
There is potential for seas ~5ft out near 20nm Fri-Sat, mostly N of Cape Charles. Waves will follow a general pattern of 1-2ft during the early morning-early afternoon hours, then increasing to 2-3ft in the evening hours with the diurnal wind increase.
Regarding rip currents, have decided to upgrade the northern beaches to a high rip current risk for tomorrow due to increasing wave heights, longer periods (~12sec), and near shore normal wave directions. Have maintained the moderate risk for the southern beaches.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures for Thu-Sat (July 4-6)
7/4 7/5 7/6 RIC 100/2002 102/2012 105/1977 ORF 98/1997 98/2012 102/1881 SBY 100/1919 102/2012 102/2010 ECG 100/1997 100/2012 99/2012
Record high minimum temperatures Thu-Sat (July 4-6)
7/4 7/5 7/6 RIC 77/1900 79/2012 80/2012 ORF 79/2012 80/1999 80/1999 SBY 78/2012 81/2012 77/2012 ECG 78/2012 77/2018 78/1999
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ630.
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KASJ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KASJ
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KASJ
Wind History graph: ASJ
(wind in knots)Suffolk
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:20 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:25 AM EDT 0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 09:21 AM EDT 3.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:09 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:51 PM EDT 4.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:20 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:25 AM EDT 0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 09:21 AM EDT 3.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:09 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:51 PM EDT 4.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Suffolk, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 1.4 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 3 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 3.3 |
| 11 am |
| 2.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.3 |
Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:53 AM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:19 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:51 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:35 AM EDT 2.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:37 PM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:29 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:05 PM EDT 3.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:53 AM EDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:19 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:51 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:35 AM EDT 2.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:37 PM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:29 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:05 PM EDT 3.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 1.6 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 2.6 |
| 9 am |
| 2.7 |
| 10 am |
| 2.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0 |
| 3 pm |
| -0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 2 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 3 |
Wakefield, VA,
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