Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rome, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 5:47PM Sunday February 23, 2020 12:57 PM EST (17:57 UTC) Moonrise 7:13AMMoonset 5:51PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 231744 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1244 PM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will bring sunshine and mild conditions through Monday. Unsettled weather is expected to return by Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. High pressure will control our weather through Monday. Warm air advection pushing into NY and PA will allow temperatures to rise into the upper 40s today. Expect milder minimum temperatures Sunday night as clouds increase.

By Monday, temperatures will rise into the lower 50s along the NY/PA border.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/.

Few changes this afternoon to the discussion below.

345 AM Update . A mild and increasingly moist southwesterly flow will dominate the weather this period.

A weak frontal zone into our region by Tuesday. It will loose definition while doing so, as the front itself will become nearly parallel to the west-southwest flow aloft. Weak embedded shortwaves will attempt to cause a little bit of rain, though dry air in the lower levels will have to be overcome first. If rain does manage to occur early enough, some wet snow, or even patches of light freezing rain at higher elevations, could mix in initially. However, even if mixed precipitation occurs, very little if any accumulation is anticipated considering the very mild prior temperatures on Monday.

Though warm air advection will continue aloft Tuesday, near surface temperatures will be held back some due to developing rain from deeper moisture, as well as a pivoting frontal zone in the low levels. Still, highs of upper 30s to mid 40s are anticipated Tuesday. About a tenth of an inch or so of rainfall is expected for most of the area. Rain generally winds down Tuesday night, with lows mostly in the 35-40 degrees range. However, northern Oneida County will dip closer to 32 degrees, and if any rain lingers there could be spotty freezing rain.

For Wednesday, flow aloft strengthens while veering slightly to more south-southwesterly. Models have trended not as deep with the system that develops upstream of our region, and as a result they also bring it in faster. So after small chances of showers Wednesday morning, moist divergent flow and the left exit region of a strong jet will move into our region, just as a trough connecting split lows also arrive late in the day. This strong forcing/ascent should result in rain blossoming over the region Wednesday afternoon-early evening. The GFS and to a lesser degree the ECMWF are even hinting at minor instability aloft; thunder has not been added to the forecast but it cannot be totally ruled out from briefly sneaking into parts of Northeast PA late Wednesday. Widespread highs of mid to upper 40s are expected; close to 50 degrees for lower elevations.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/.

Main update here is continue with a slightly faster frontal passage Wednesday night and the potential for rain to change to wet snow for a few hours before ending. Snow from this system looks elevation dependent as well, with the potential for a slushy inch or two in the highest elevations over 1,500 feet by Thursday morning. Still uncertainty with the location, duration and intensity of the Lake Effect but do carry snow shower chances into Sunday with continued west to northwest flow and several mid-level disturbances.

345 AM Update . Pattern abruptly flips to a colder one for late this week.

Models have trended faster with the anticipated midweek system. This brings cold air advection in Wednesday night instead of waiting until Thursday, and also includes an opportunity for rain to change over to wet snow late Wednesday-early Thursday as the system lifts through and then out of the region, before pattern transitions to more of a lake effect regime for Thursday afternoon through Saturday. Details on this system itself continue to be sketchy with run-to-run timing and strength differences, and this will need to be worked out in coming days.

Chances for a brief snow accumulation on the back side of the system Thursday morning will generally be higher for northern portions of our region, but cannot be ruled out further south as well especially at higher elevations. In the wake of the system, gusty cold west-southwesterly winds are anticipated Thursday afternoon, veering more westerly Thursday night-Friday; then west-northwest Friday night-Saturday. This occurs within broad cyclonic flow around an upper low slogging through southeastern Ontario to southern Quebec; vorticity lobes rotating around it could cause wind shifts/redirections of lake effect activity. Accumulating lake effect snow appears probable for parts of Central NY during the late Thursday through Saturday period, but locations and details will become better assessed as we get closer to that timeframe.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure and light winds will yield VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

Outlook .

Monday . VFR.

Tuesday through Thursday . Restrictions likely in rain and/or snow showers.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . DJP NEAR TERM . DJP SHORT TERM . MDP/MWG LONG TERM . MDP/MWG AVIATION . DJP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY29 mi64 minSW 910.00 miFair39°F14°F36%1020.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

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Last 24hrW10W11W12W11W8W7W7W7SW6SW5SW7SW7SW6SW6SW6SW7SW8SW7SW7SW8SW8SW9W7SW9
1 day agoW86W8W7SW8SW5SW6SW7SW7SW8SW8SW8SW8SW8SW8SW7SW7SW7SW8SW7W9W10W10W11
2 days agoNW13
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N9NW9N9N6N5N6NW3W4W5W5NW5NW3N9NW4NW3CalmSW4W6W8W8SW6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.