Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 8:55 PM Moonrise 1:56 AM   Moonset 2:30 PM

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LEZ146 Expires:202406011415;;240184 Fzus51 Kcle 010749 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 349 am edt Sat jun 1 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-011415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 349 am edt Sat jun 1 2024
Today - South winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday night - East winds less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 62 degrees, and off erie 62 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KCLE 010544 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 144 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will drift east of the area tonight into Saturday and expect weak low pressure to cross the region late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure will briefly return by Sunday evening before a warm front lifts north across the forecast area Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
930 PM Update...
No changes were needed with this update.

630 PM Update...
Minor adjustments were made to the temperatures over the next couple hours as they are cooling across western counties faster than previously forecast. The overnight low remains unchanged and there were no additional edits needed with this update.

Previous Discussion...
High pressure will drift east of the area over the next 24 hours with a ridge axis pushing east of the CWA Saturday morning. Dry weather will continue through tonight and there will still be decent radiational cooling with clear skies and light winds, but some higher clouds may be building in from the west and the beginnings of warm air advection on the back side of the high/ridge axis may prevent temps from getting too low tonight. Overnight lows will be in the mid 40s lower 50s, but locations in the higher elevations of NE OH and NW PA will likely dip into the lower 40s. Can't rule out isolated spots dipping into the upper 30s.

Warm air advection will allow both temperatures and moisture to increase Saturday. Highs will climb into the upper 70s to lower 80s with dew points reaching the mid to upper 50s in western zones by Saturday evening. An upper shortwave trough and weak surface low will approach from the west throughout the day Saturday, resulting in increasing high clouds. Scattered showers arrive in western zones at around 00Z/8 PM Saturday evening before reaching the I-77 corridor by early Sunday morning. Could see a scenario where there's virga and very little precip reaching the surface at the onset since forecast soundings indicate low level dry air and dew point depressions of about 15 to 20 degrees when the precip moves in. The thunder threat remains low, but maintained slight chances west of I- 71 due to a small amount of instability overnight. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Upper level trough will swing a shortwave and associated weak surface low across the Great Lakes region through the day on Sunday. Expect for some showers and isolated thunderstorms during Sunday afternoon along and east of I-71. The highest QPF amounts will remain isolated south of US-30 on Sunday. Precipitation chances will exit from west to east Sunday evening as a low to mid level ridge briefly builds overhead. Mostly dry weather is expected on Monday under the ridge and ahead of our next system late Monday night into Tuesday.

Highs will be in the low to mid 70s west of I-71 and in the upper 60s across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania on Sunday.
Overnight lows will settle in the upper 50s Sunday night. Warmer on Monday with highs in the low to mid 80s across the region and overnight lows in the low 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
We'll have a rather warm and moist environment Tuesday and Wednesday under southerly flow with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s and dew points in the low to mid 60s. Expect for unsettled weather to persist through the long term period with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Best forcing comes Wednesday as a deep upper trough and surface cold front will swing eastward across the region.
Will continue to keep any eye on the potential for severe weather on Wednesday with some uncertainty remaining on the timing of the frontal passage. Showers and storms will persist through Friday as we remain under the control of a deep upper level trough.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/
VFR through most of the day today. A weak area of low pressure will begin spreading rain into TOL and FDY this evening, approaching MFD near the end of the TAF period and arriving at CLE after 6z Sunday as reflected in their 30 hour TAF. Dry low- levels ahead of the rain will likely result in ceilings only slowly lowering. Expect some non-VFR by later tonight into early Sunday due to lower ceilings and perhaps some periods of reduced visibility in steadier rain, though only begin hinting at it at TOL, FDY, and CLE near the end of their TAFs.

Light and variable winds will shift out of the south-southeast at 6 to 12 knots today. A lake breeze will likely flip winds onshore for a few hours at ERI this afternoon. Currently think the lake breeze won't quite reach CLE though it will be close.

Outlook...Some non-VFR likely spreads east late tonight into Sunday due to showers and lower ceilings before gradual improvement through Sunday afternoon. Thunderstorms and associated non-VFR possible at times Tuesday and Wednesday.

MARINE
Quiet marine conditions through the next few days with high pressure gradually building to the east through the start of the weekend. A weak low will enter the region late Saturday through Sunday before high pressure briefly returns on Sunday night and Monday. Mostly light and variable flow through the the next few days. Southerly winds less than 10 knots will be favored on Saturday and Tuesday with no concerns for any marine headlines.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

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