Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM   Moonset 2:06 PM

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ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 433 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Rest of the overnight - W winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Today - W winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun night - SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Mon night - E winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 433 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure builds over the waters through Saturday leading to light and variable winds. Shower and Thunderstorm chances return to the waters Sunday into the early and middle part of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters late Saturday night and Sunday.

FXUS61 KPHI 010716 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 316 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure continues to influence the weather across our region into early Sunday, then some unsettled conditions could return later Sunday and continue into Monday. High pressure returns for Tuesday before an upper level low impacts the area by late Wednesday through the remainder of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
An upper air ridge and surface high pressure are just to the west of our area this morning. They will both slide east today bringing another fair weather day to the area. Mostly sunny skies and dry/mild temperatures are expected. Highs will climb into the low 80s most spots, but a few mid 80s for the metro area and some 70s across the shore and southern Poconos. Winds will be quite light under the high but favor N/NW directions this morning and S/SW for the afternoon. Winds will be onshore near the coast this afternoon with a sea breeze expected to develop.

Fro tonight, mostly clear skies early then some Ci/Cs clouds increasing over the area. Lows will be milder than the present night with readings mostly in the 50s and some low 60s across metro Philadelphia. Light S/SW winds are expected.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
The center of high pressure shifts south and east off the coast through Sunday as a weak disturbance approaches from the west. This will bring increasing clouds through the day with high thin cloudiness early in the day lowering and thickening up by late day.
By late day there could also be some light showers that reach as far east as our eastern PA zones though it's worth noting the trend has been for later timing. For this reason our POPs are only as high as 15 to 20 percent. Generally expect highs in the low to mid 80s except a bit cooler right near the coast and over the southern Poconos.

The best chance for showers during the short term portion of the forecast looks to be later Sunday evening into the overnight as a deamplifying shortwave moves through. POPs are generally around 50 to 60 percent and it's also possible there could be some embedded thunderstorms. We are not expecting any severe weather or flooding however. Generally expect lows in the low to mid 60s and it will also start to become a bit more humid as dew points rise into the low 60s.

Some showers may linger into Monday as the system slowly departs.
Also, with high pressure to our north this will help to set up a east to northeast low level flow which will keep it a bit cooler compared to the weekend. Expect highs mostly in the middle to upper 70s to around 80 in a few spots.

High pressure builds back in from the north Monday night with drying conditions and lows mostly in the upper 50s to low 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure builds back in For Tuesday bringing a partly to mostly sunny sky. The center of the high will actually be just offshore though so this will result in winds out of the east keeping it cooler near the coast compared to inland. Generally expect highs in the 70s within about 30 to 40 miles of the NJ coast as well as much of central and southern Delaware with low 80s through much of the I- 95 corridor extending into eastern PA and northern NJ. This brief respite of fair weather may be short lived, however, as a large upper level low starts to dig in as it moves south and east out of Canada through the mid to late week. There is some uncertainty on the timing of it's arrival though so it's possible much of Wednesday could remain dry before showers arrive late day or at night. We stayed close to the NBM with the forecast which brings in about a 30 percent chance of showers by late day. Beyond this time Thursday is looking to be quite unsettled with widespread rain/showers likely and evening some thunderstorms possible. Unsettled weather with showers may persist right through the end of the week into next weekend as the large upper level low looks to become nearly stationary over the Great Lakes. Temperatures through the long range should be fairly close to average for this time of year.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today
VFR. FEW or SCT daytime Cu or some Ci at times.
Highly variable winds with mostly N/NW this morning and then mostly SW by afternoon. Winds mostly 5 TO 10 knots most areas.
Sea breeze expected KACY/KMIV with a possible push inland to other sites after 20Z/21Z. High confid except wind direction fcst and sea breeze effects.

Tonight
VFR conditions expected. Ci?Cs clouds increasing overnight. Patchy rural fog possible. Calm or very light/variable winds. High confid.

Outlook...

Sunday...VFR through the day but sub VFR conditions possible at night as some showers move in.

Monday...Mainly VFR, though some sub-VFR cigs could linger.

Tuesday...Mainly VFR

Wednesday...Mainly VFR to start the day with sub VFR conditions possible late day or at night as showers arrive.

MARINE
High pressure situated just west of the waters this morning will crest over the waters tonight. Fair weather is expected through tonight. Winds will be mostly from the North/Northwest this morning around 10 knots. This afternoon, winds will switch to South or Southwest at 10 to 15 knots. A couple gusts close to 20 knots are possible. The S/SW winds will continue tonight.

Outlook...

Sunday through Wednesday...No marine headlines anticipated.

Rip Currents...

Today will see northwest winds around 10 mph which will become south or southeast later in the day. Breaking waves will be 1 to 2 feet. This will once again result in a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents along the New Jersey and Delaware beaches. Similar conditions expected Sunday.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers. Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Oxford
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Sat -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:35 AM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:42 AM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:27 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Oxford, Tred Avon River, Maryland, Tide feet

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:28 AM EDT     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.35 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:15 PM EDT     -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:04 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:25 PM EDT     0.73 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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