Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Benzonia, MI
June 2, 2024 10:26 AM CDT (15:26 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:07 AM Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 2:34 AM Moonset 4:08 PM |
LMZ346 Manistee To Point Betsie Mi- 1050 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight - Light winds. Patchy fog. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday - South wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night - South wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ300
No data
No data
FXUS63 KAPX 021437 AFDAPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1037 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Lingering showers end this morning.
- Chances for showers and thunderstorms Late Monday and Tuesday afternoon.
- A wet pattern and cooler temperatures will linger through the end of the work week.
UPDATE
Issued at 1025 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
CLoud cover remains across a good chunk of northern Michigan with slow clearing across western portions close to the Lake Michigan coast. Despite the lack of radar returns, showers currently at KAPN thus some light showers or likely drizzle remains in the vicinity of the Lake Huron coast. Otherwise, slow clearing from west to east through the day. An isolated brief shower will be possible across eastern upper due to sea breeze convergence this afternoon. High pressure builds tonight with clearing skies, light southeast winds, and temperatures falling to near saturation. Thus, fog looks likely across portions of the area.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 255 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Pattern Synopsis/Pattern Forecast:
Mid level shortwave trough and weak surface low in the process of working northeast across the southeast Lakes region early this morning. Broad deformation and deep layer moisture convergence on their northwest flank was responsible for quite the widespread rain event this past evening into early this morning...especially for areas south of M-32. Enhanced forcing and attendant rains working slowly east, with just a few less organized showers falling across northwest lower and portions of eastern upper Michigan.
Mid level heights will slowly rebound in wake of departing trough this afternoon into tonight, with weak surface high pressure building overhead in response.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Challenges:
Cloud/temperature trends and addressing any lingering shower concerns.
Details:
Current shower activity expected to come to an end heading into this morning as primary forcing mechanism exits stage right. Much of the day for most of the area will remain dry thereafter. However, could see just enough forced low level wind/moisture convergence across interior eastern upper Michigan (lake breeze convergence axis) and across our southeast areas to perhaps kick off a few diurnally enhanced scattered light rain showers this afternoon (although those building mid level heights argue otherwise). Will introduce just some "smallish" shower potential in these areas. Again, not a big deal, and most areas will remain dry this afternoon. Clouds will decrease from west to east today, although it may take until evening to see any appreciable clearing for areas on the south side of the sunrise side. Highs today expected to top out in the lower and middle 70s for most, with just a touch cooler readings right near those big waters.
Dry conditions expected tonight as mid level heights continue to increase across the region. Wouldn't be surprised to see some patchy early morning fog and stratus...especially in areas that experienced better rain this past evening. Look for lows tonight to bottom out in the middle 40s to middle 50s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 255 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast: Warm temperatures with a generally wet pattern will linger through mid week as a few rounds of rain chances move through. The first one will start to approach Monday late afternoon. Upper level support should be induced via stronger convection over the north central plains Monday afternoon, meaning a weak shortwave created from stronger storms to our west could help continue thunder chances Monday night as it moves over northern MI.
The second round will be aided by a slightly deeper shortwave and healthy moisture advection Tuesday afternoon. Due to this, slightly higher thunderstorm chances exist for Tuesday afternoon.
Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above average.
Starting mid week (~Wednesday), a deep upper level closed low over Manitoba CA will start to slide to the southeast. This will result in cooler temperatures (~5 to 8 degrees below average), clouds, and widespread stratiform rain chances through next weekend. As upper level heights fall and a likely weakening surface low moves through, thunder could be possible at times.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages: For thunderstorm chances Monday night into Tuesday, currently, model soundings show mainly a few hundred j/kg of elevated instability Monday night into early Tuesday which would limit severe attributes to storms overnight.
However, potentially anomalous moisture amounts could be advected up to northern MI during this time. 70% to 80% of global ensemble members show PW values rising to the 90th percentile or above by early Tuesday morning (at least 1.2"). More moisture and upper level heights continuing to fall (from the second shortwave approaching)
will result in more instability to work with Tuesday afternoon.
Healthy shear could also aid in organizing some storms that form.
There is still decent uncertainty with what Tuesday afternoon will look like due to important details needing to be resolved first (dependency of upper level shortwaves on diurnal convection in the plains). Nonetheless, rain chances will continue.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 633 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
MVFR to IFR producing low clouds and mist/fog will gradually abate from west to east this morning. Expecting VFR conditions under decreasing clouds this afternoon and evening. Trends are supporting more stratus and fog/mist development later tonight.
Have begun to mention this possibility in this set of Tafs. No wind concerns through the period.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1037 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Lingering showers end this morning.
- Chances for showers and thunderstorms Late Monday and Tuesday afternoon.
- A wet pattern and cooler temperatures will linger through the end of the work week.
UPDATE
Issued at 1025 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
CLoud cover remains across a good chunk of northern Michigan with slow clearing across western portions close to the Lake Michigan coast. Despite the lack of radar returns, showers currently at KAPN thus some light showers or likely drizzle remains in the vicinity of the Lake Huron coast. Otherwise, slow clearing from west to east through the day. An isolated brief shower will be possible across eastern upper due to sea breeze convergence this afternoon. High pressure builds tonight with clearing skies, light southeast winds, and temperatures falling to near saturation. Thus, fog looks likely across portions of the area.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 255 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Pattern Synopsis/Pattern Forecast:
Mid level shortwave trough and weak surface low in the process of working northeast across the southeast Lakes region early this morning. Broad deformation and deep layer moisture convergence on their northwest flank was responsible for quite the widespread rain event this past evening into early this morning...especially for areas south of M-32. Enhanced forcing and attendant rains working slowly east, with just a few less organized showers falling across northwest lower and portions of eastern upper Michigan.
Mid level heights will slowly rebound in wake of departing trough this afternoon into tonight, with weak surface high pressure building overhead in response.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Challenges:
Cloud/temperature trends and addressing any lingering shower concerns.
Details:
Current shower activity expected to come to an end heading into this morning as primary forcing mechanism exits stage right. Much of the day for most of the area will remain dry thereafter. However, could see just enough forced low level wind/moisture convergence across interior eastern upper Michigan (lake breeze convergence axis) and across our southeast areas to perhaps kick off a few diurnally enhanced scattered light rain showers this afternoon (although those building mid level heights argue otherwise). Will introduce just some "smallish" shower potential in these areas. Again, not a big deal, and most areas will remain dry this afternoon. Clouds will decrease from west to east today, although it may take until evening to see any appreciable clearing for areas on the south side of the sunrise side. Highs today expected to top out in the lower and middle 70s for most, with just a touch cooler readings right near those big waters.
Dry conditions expected tonight as mid level heights continue to increase across the region. Wouldn't be surprised to see some patchy early morning fog and stratus...especially in areas that experienced better rain this past evening. Look for lows tonight to bottom out in the middle 40s to middle 50s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 255 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast: Warm temperatures with a generally wet pattern will linger through mid week as a few rounds of rain chances move through. The first one will start to approach Monday late afternoon. Upper level support should be induced via stronger convection over the north central plains Monday afternoon, meaning a weak shortwave created from stronger storms to our west could help continue thunder chances Monday night as it moves over northern MI.
The second round will be aided by a slightly deeper shortwave and healthy moisture advection Tuesday afternoon. Due to this, slightly higher thunderstorm chances exist for Tuesday afternoon.
Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above average.
Starting mid week (~Wednesday), a deep upper level closed low over Manitoba CA will start to slide to the southeast. This will result in cooler temperatures (~5 to 8 degrees below average), clouds, and widespread stratiform rain chances through next weekend. As upper level heights fall and a likely weakening surface low moves through, thunder could be possible at times.
Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages: For thunderstorm chances Monday night into Tuesday, currently, model soundings show mainly a few hundred j/kg of elevated instability Monday night into early Tuesday which would limit severe attributes to storms overnight.
However, potentially anomalous moisture amounts could be advected up to northern MI during this time. 70% to 80% of global ensemble members show PW values rising to the 90th percentile or above by early Tuesday morning (at least 1.2"). More moisture and upper level heights continuing to fall (from the second shortwave approaching)
will result in more instability to work with Tuesday afternoon.
Healthy shear could also aid in organizing some storms that form.
There is still decent uncertainty with what Tuesday afternoon will look like due to important details needing to be resolved first (dependency of upper level shortwaves on diurnal convection in the plains). Nonetheless, rain chances will continue.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 633 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
MVFR to IFR producing low clouds and mist/fog will gradually abate from west to east this morning. Expecting VFR conditions under decreasing clouds this afternoon and evening. Trends are supporting more stratus and fog/mist development later tonight.
Have begun to mention this possibility in this set of Tafs. No wind concerns through the period.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI | 26 mi | 46 min | WNW 5.1G | 62°F | ||||
| BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI | 43 mi | 46 min | NW 6G | 59°F | 30.02 | |||
| LDTM4 - 9087023 - Ludington, MI | 48 mi | 56 min | WNW 6G | 60°F | 55°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KFKS FRANKFORT DOW MEMORIAL FIELD,MI | 7 sm | 11 min | W 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 57°F | 64% | 29.98 | |
| KMBL MANISTEE COBLACKER,MI | 23 sm | 30 min | NW 12 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 66°F | 61°F | 83% | 29.98 |
Gaylord, MI,
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