Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Iona, FL
June 13, 2024 1:00 PM EDT (17:00 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:33 AM Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 12:02 PM Moonset 12:15 AM |
GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 959 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024
This afternoon - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely late this morning and early afternoon, then a chance of showers late.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers. A chance of Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers with isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening.
Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 959 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024
Synopsis - Main hazard for the next several days will be showers and Thunderstorm which may produce locally gusty winds and rough seas. Winds will become east to northeast next week with an easterly surge of wind possible each evening which may create brief periods of scec conditions.
FXUS62 KTBW 131406 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1006 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1005 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues across SWFL as tropical moisture is pulled northward with a low-level WSW flow. The 12Z sounding came in with a PW value of 2.14 inches this morning, but with notable drying above roughly 600mb. Much like yesterday, the Tampa Bay area is serving as the transition zone from a tropical airmass to one that is experiencing a larger continental airmass. As such, the expectation is for widespread shower and storm activity to continue across SWFL as the Tampa Bay area and Nature Coast see more typical summertime convection later today. The forecast has been updated to reflect this.
Considering the environment, the main concern continues to be for heavy rainfall across SWFL counties specifically, where the flood watch remains in effect. Otherwise, the atmospheric profile does not support severe weather. Other than adjustments to the POPs to capture today's expected conditions, the forecast remains on track.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Main deep tropical moisture plume is located across south Florida, just brushing Lee/Charlotte counties. This will be the focus for the best potential for additional heavy rainfall today. Long fetch south to southwest 1000-850MB flow continues highly favorable pattern for advecting significant transport of moist unstable airmass over southwest Florida. Mid level moisture convergence as seen in W/V imagery will also aid convective destabilization this morning over southwest Florida. Although main axis of heaviest rainfall may end up developing just south of the forecast area, proximity to overall boundary axis will be close enough to warrant high pops/heavy rain threat today across southwest Florida...and a flood watch continues from Sarasota county and south including Hardee and DeSoto due to the excessive rainfall/saturated ground that has occurred during the past couple of days.
Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms will advect in off the Gulf of Mexico along the coastal counties during the morning hours, mainly from Pinellas county and south, however the main threat for locally heavy rain across central areas will occur this afternoon as daytime heating will lead to increasing instability and scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms developing in conditionally unstable atmosphere. Highest pops across central areas will be over the interior due to the onshore flow which will push activity inland as the day progresses...although numerous outflow boundaries may still trigger scattered storms back along the coastal counties late in the day.
Shower/thunderstorm activity will wind down during the evening hours, but a few showers may persist along the coastal counties with highest pops again over southwest Florida. Moisture plume will likely hold over south Florida on Friday and Saturday, with numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms again likely over southwest Florida and the interior with locally heavy rain possible each day.
Surface high pressure is expected to build north of the area on Sunday which should allow boundary layer winds to shift to the northeast/east. This will create a more typical summertime pattern with the main focus being convection developing along the west coast seabreeze boundary during the mid/late afternoon hours.
Deepest moisture will remain over southwest Florida...which will be the region with highest pops/best chance for rain. And this pattern will hold through the remainder of the forecast period.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 749 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue as tropical moisture and instability streams across the southern half of the peninsula.
Northern terminals like KTPA, KPIE, and KLAL sit right on the transition zone where the tropical airmass dries out. As such, only limited activity is expected, in a more typical diurnal pattern associated with SW flow. For SWFL terminals, moisture continues to favor convection through the day before a lull this evening and then additional convection towards tomorrow morning. After tomorrow, conditions should begin to transition back towards more typical summertime pattern, with more limited daily impacts.
MARINE
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Main hazard through the weekend will be isolated thunderstorms which may create locally gusty winds and rough seas. Next week, easterly flow will develop and potential for a few hours of SCEC conditions may occur during the evening hours as easterly surge of wind develops around sunset...weakening around midnight each day.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 No fire weather hazards are expected for the next several days as minimum afternoon relative humidity values will remain above critical levels each day.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 79 91 79 / 30 30 50 50 FMY 88 76 88 76 / 80 70 80 70 GIF 93 76 93 76 / 70 60 80 40 SRQ 91 76 91 77 / 40 40 50 60 BKV 94 71 95 72 / 40 40 50 40 SPG 91 81 91 81 / 20 30 40 50
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee- Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota.
Gulf waters...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1006 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1005 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues across SWFL as tropical moisture is pulled northward with a low-level WSW flow. The 12Z sounding came in with a PW value of 2.14 inches this morning, but with notable drying above roughly 600mb. Much like yesterday, the Tampa Bay area is serving as the transition zone from a tropical airmass to one that is experiencing a larger continental airmass. As such, the expectation is for widespread shower and storm activity to continue across SWFL as the Tampa Bay area and Nature Coast see more typical summertime convection later today. The forecast has been updated to reflect this.
Considering the environment, the main concern continues to be for heavy rainfall across SWFL counties specifically, where the flood watch remains in effect. Otherwise, the atmospheric profile does not support severe weather. Other than adjustments to the POPs to capture today's expected conditions, the forecast remains on track.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Main deep tropical moisture plume is located across south Florida, just brushing Lee/Charlotte counties. This will be the focus for the best potential for additional heavy rainfall today. Long fetch south to southwest 1000-850MB flow continues highly favorable pattern for advecting significant transport of moist unstable airmass over southwest Florida. Mid level moisture convergence as seen in W/V imagery will also aid convective destabilization this morning over southwest Florida. Although main axis of heaviest rainfall may end up developing just south of the forecast area, proximity to overall boundary axis will be close enough to warrant high pops/heavy rain threat today across southwest Florida...and a flood watch continues from Sarasota county and south including Hardee and DeSoto due to the excessive rainfall/saturated ground that has occurred during the past couple of days.
Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms will advect in off the Gulf of Mexico along the coastal counties during the morning hours, mainly from Pinellas county and south, however the main threat for locally heavy rain across central areas will occur this afternoon as daytime heating will lead to increasing instability and scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms developing in conditionally unstable atmosphere. Highest pops across central areas will be over the interior due to the onshore flow which will push activity inland as the day progresses...although numerous outflow boundaries may still trigger scattered storms back along the coastal counties late in the day.
Shower/thunderstorm activity will wind down during the evening hours, but a few showers may persist along the coastal counties with highest pops again over southwest Florida. Moisture plume will likely hold over south Florida on Friday and Saturday, with numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms again likely over southwest Florida and the interior with locally heavy rain possible each day.
Surface high pressure is expected to build north of the area on Sunday which should allow boundary layer winds to shift to the northeast/east. This will create a more typical summertime pattern with the main focus being convection developing along the west coast seabreeze boundary during the mid/late afternoon hours.
Deepest moisture will remain over southwest Florida...which will be the region with highest pops/best chance for rain. And this pattern will hold through the remainder of the forecast period.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 749 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue as tropical moisture and instability streams across the southern half of the peninsula.
Northern terminals like KTPA, KPIE, and KLAL sit right on the transition zone where the tropical airmass dries out. As such, only limited activity is expected, in a more typical diurnal pattern associated with SW flow. For SWFL terminals, moisture continues to favor convection through the day before a lull this evening and then additional convection towards tomorrow morning. After tomorrow, conditions should begin to transition back towards more typical summertime pattern, with more limited daily impacts.
MARINE
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Main hazard through the weekend will be isolated thunderstorms which may create locally gusty winds and rough seas. Next week, easterly flow will develop and potential for a few hours of SCEC conditions may occur during the evening hours as easterly surge of wind develops around sunset...weakening around midnight each day.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 No fire weather hazards are expected for the next several days as minimum afternoon relative humidity values will remain above critical levels each day.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 79 91 79 / 30 30 50 50 FMY 88 76 88 76 / 80 70 80 70 GIF 93 76 93 76 / 70 60 80 40 SRQ 91 76 91 77 / 40 40 50 60 BKV 94 71 95 72 / 40 40 50 40 SPG 91 81 91 81 / 20 30 40 50
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee- Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota.
Gulf waters...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL | 10 mi | 42 min | SSE 7G | 84°F | 29.96 | |||
| RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL | 37 mi | 75 min | SW 5.1 | 81°F | 29.92 | 79°F | ||
| VENF1 - Venice, FL | 45 mi | 60 min | SSE 15G | 80°F | 84°F | 29.90 | 80°F |
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFMY
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Wind History graph: FMY
(wind in knots)Iona Shores
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:15 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:53 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT 0.68 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:02 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 03:27 PM EDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:21 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:39 PM EDT 0.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:15 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:53 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT 0.68 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:02 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 03:27 PM EDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:21 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:39 PM EDT 0.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Iona Shores, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:15 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:08 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:53 AM EDT 0.89 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:42 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:25 PM EDT -0.28 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:02 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 02:01 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:18 PM EDT 0.49 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:46 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:21 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:15 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:08 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:53 AM EDT 0.89 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:42 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:25 PM EDT -0.28 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:02 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 02:01 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:18 PM EDT 0.49 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:46 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:21 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.9 |
| 1 am |
| -0.6 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| -0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.7 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
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