Sunrise 5:20 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 7:58 AM   Moonset 11:36 PM

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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 1034 Am Edt Sun Jun 9 2024
Today - SW winds around 15 kt, becoming nw late. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely late this morning and early afternoon, then chance of showers late. Tonight - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Mon night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Tue - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Tue night - SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 1034 Am Edt Sun Jun 9 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front moves through on Sunday followed by a secondary weaker front on Monday. An upper level low pivots through Tuesday, followed by high pressure for the middle of the week.

FXUS61 KOKX 091452 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1052 AM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front moves through on Sunday followed by a secondary weak cold front on Monday. An upper level low pivots through Tuesday, followed by high pressure for the middle of the week. A cold front approaches Friday and moves through Friday night.
High pressure builds to begin next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Adjusted temperatures and PoPs to reflect the latest observations and radar returns as showers move through the area.

A cold front is moving through the area with widespread shower activity ahead of it. THis shower activity should remain light and progress quickly east, ending into the early afternoon. SW gusts remain possible 20-30 mph through the afternoon as the cold front makes its way through the area.

Mostly dry conditions are expected behind the front with a WNW wind lowering dewpoints and clearing cloud cover. However, one last bit of upper-level energy around the base of the trough could lead to an additional round of isolated showers in the late evening today, mainly for the northern interior areas of the CWA We'll continue to dry and clear and into Sunday night with cold air advection aloft at 850 mb.

Highs will be in the middle to upper 70s, possibly near 80 for the NYC metro. Lows in the mid 50s to low 60s are expected tonight.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough continues to deepen over the northeast as surface high pressure noses in from the west. Dry conditions remain in place on Monday with mostly sunny conditions. It will feel much nicer outside with high temperatures in the 70s close to seasonal averages and dewpoints 10 degrees lower than Sunday in the afternoon.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Suppressed heights are anticipated with an upper level low pivoting through to begin the period on Tuesday. Heights then recover into mid week with more of a quasi-zonal long wave pattern for much of the week. A weakness then likely develops in the 500 mb long wave pattern Friday into Saturday.

A mainly dry period is expected. The only chances for any shower activity will come Tuesday with the upper level low feature, then late in the week towards late Friday and Friday night with the arrival of a cold front. With warmer temperatures and likely more instability, there will be a chance of thunderstorms with any shower activity late week.

Seasonable temperatures are forecast on Tuesday, before some weak ridging moves in for mid week. Temperatures will get a few degrees warmer on Wednesday, followed by above normal temperatures Thursday and Friday. The speed, and thus timing of a cold front late in the week and any associated clouds brings more uncertainty around temperatures very late in the period for Friday and Saturday.
Consensus guidance is suggesting that the front arrives later Friday night, so at this time going with the warmer trend with temperatures for Friday and Friday night followed by an air mass change to begin next weekend on Saturday. Stay fairly close to the NBM guidance through the period.

AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A cold front passes across the terminals late this morning into early afternoon. A weaker cold front passes through tonight.

VFR through the TAF period. Showers may accompany the cold front.
Conditions may briefly drop to MVFR in the showers, but ceilings are expected to prevail at 5kft.

S and SW winds this morning quickly shifting back to the W and NW with the cold front passage. Gusts 20-25 kt are expected late this morning and into the afternoon, but should begin subsiding in the evening. Mainly light W and SW winds, closer to 5 kt later in the evening. W to NW winds return Monday morning.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Onset of gusts may be off by 1-2 hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 15Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Monday-Thursday: VFR expected.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Wind gusts over all waters may approach 25 kts today, but in general, expect 25 kt gusts to only be occasional with 3-4 foot waves. Conditions are expected to remain below SCA through the beginning of next week.

Conditions will remain below small craft levels through midweek with essentially only up to 2 ft ocean seas. The winds become more southerly into Thursday with marginal small craft conditions possible on the ocean by Thursday night.

HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic concerns exist through the forecast period.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
For the Atlantic ocean beaches, expect a moderate rip current risk on Sunday, lowering to low on Monday for western beaches, then dropping to low on all beaches by Tuesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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Fire Island Radiobeacon
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Sun -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:17 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:42 AM EDT     0.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:10 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:47 PM EDT     0.80 feet High Tide
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Fire Island Radiobeacon, Long Island, New York, Tide feet

Point o' Woods
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Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:30 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT     0.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:36 PM EDT     Moonset
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Point o' Woods, Long Island, New York, Tide feet

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