Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM Moonrise 1:32 AM   Moonset 2:03 PM

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GMZ530 Lake Pontchartrain And Lake Maurepas- 155 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Tonight - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening and overnight. Sunday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Thursday - West winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 155 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
weak high pressure builds in from the west which will result in continued south to southeast winds around 10 knots across the coastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage somewhat today and Sunday. Any stronger Thunderstorms could produce gusts up to gales.

FXUS64 KLIX 012334 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 634 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 504 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Thunderstorm activity across the area has cooled ambient temperatures to below forecast values, up to 10 degrees. Updated near term temperature grids from now to six hours out to reflect these temps.

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Tonight through Monday morning... Generally, a couple more upper level impulses will move through for the short term forecast this weekend. There is still a ton of model uncertainty in the timing of these storms, like the previous days. And in general, the models, especially the CAMs, are going to continue to struggle to pinpoint timing until storms are ongoing and start firing up. So, the timing will be the area where we have the least amount of certainty tonight through Monday morning. But generally, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, mainly during the afternoon and early evening hours with peak daytime heating. Due to the higher lapse rates and instability, these storms will have the risk of hail and damaging winds (30-60mph). PWs are quite high, looking at the SPC sounding climatology. Therefore, locally heavy rainfall will be a concern and could cause minor flooding or ponding on local roads and make visibility while driving difficult. The localized flooding risk will be higher for urban or vulnerable locations, as well.
Overall, stay weather aware this weekend as we continue in this unsettled pattern for the atmosphere. MSW

LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday night)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Monday through mid-week, conditions should be a bit drier as a weak ridge starts to build in over the area. Generally, rain chances will be lower with an isolated shower or two possible daily during the afternoon. Looking at the models, these isolated storms would likely not be severe, but could have some locally gusty winds. Temperatures will be a little warmer though, as a result. Highs are forecast to be in the low 90s with lows in the mid 70s. Heat index values will be approaching 100 degrees for most locations, especially Tuesday through mid-week. MSW

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Current conditions VFR at all terminals, but there are SHRA and VCTS across the area. Intensity is decreasing, but there is a possibility of rain, albeit low impact, at any given location across most of the area tonight. All terminals are looking at lowered ceilings and reduced visibilities around sunrise tomorrow bringing in MVFR condition and even an IFR instance at KMCB.
Except in the very immediate proximity to a thunderstorm, winds should be light and southeasterly to variable. /Schlotz/



MARINE
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Benign marine conditions will persist through the forecast period with southerly and calm winds (10-15kts) prevailing. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will be possible daily, especially during the afternoon and evening hours through Monday. Then isolated chances of storms will remain for next week. These storms will cause local increases in waves and seas. MSW

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 67 86 69 89 / 40 50 0 20 BTR 72 90 74 92 / 40 60 0 20 ASD 71 88 73 91 / 50 50 0 10 MSY 75 87 76 90 / 50 60 0 20 GPT 72 86 74 88 / 40 50 10 10 PQL 70 88 72 90 / 40 50 10 10

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Paris Road Bridge
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Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:41 AM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:51 PM CDT     0.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:56 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Paris Road Bridge, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

Long Point
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Sat -- 02:28 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:14 AM CDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:11 AM CDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:59 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:23 PM CDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Long Point, Lake Borgne, Louisiana, Tide feet

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