Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 12:51 PM   Moonset 12:40 AM

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GMZ032 Bayside And Gulf Side From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf Of Mexico From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To 5 Fathoms- 1117 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
This afternoon - South to southwest winds near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms this morning, then widespread showers and scattered Thunderstorms this afternoon. Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.Saturday - Southwest winds near 5 knots, becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Northeast to east winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except 1 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night and Monday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms. Monday night through Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet, except 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1117 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis - Mainly moderate breezes and another day of unsettled weather featuring Thundery squalls and episodes of heavy rainfall will persist today and tonight. Rain and Thunder chances will decrease gradually starting tomorrow. Breezes will freshen by Sunday night, with moderate to fresh easterly breezes expected Monday through Tuesday night.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of june 12 - .
66 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 24 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 17 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 28 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 8 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 4 nm south of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 2 nm south of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.

FXUS62 KKEY 141542 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1142 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1136 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The band of showers and thunderstorms from last night has exited the forecast area, but the next band has already formed and is currently encroaching on the Gulf waters in our northern marine zones. Its progression is slow, allowing the band to fester and feed off of the moisture available in the atmosphere. CIMSS MIMIC Layer Precipitable Water shows PWAT values between 2 and just over 3 inches in the environment where the band is as well as the 12Z sounding from KEY showing a PWAT value of 2.17 inches. All of this to say that today will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms through the area, and flooding concerns still exist.
No changes are needed to the current forecast package as well as the Flood Advisory in effect for the Florida Keys.



MARINE
Issued at 1136 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Mainly moderate breezes and another day of unsettled weather featuring thundery squalls and episodes of heavy rainfall will persist today and tonight. Rain and thunder chances will decrease gradually starting tomorrow. Breezes will freshen by Sunday night, with moderate to fresh easterly breezes expected Monday through Tuesday night.



AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1136 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 VFR conditions will continue to prevail through at least the early afternoon hours. Latest radar shows a band of showers and thunderstorms over the offshore Gulf waters moving slowly to the northeast to east. Indications are that this should make it to the Island Chain ~14/18z this afternoon with a fairly wet afternoon into evening hours. Therefore, VCSH was placed into the TAFs with 18z for EYW and 19z for MTH. Showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing MVFR or even IFR conditions for VIS with mainly MVFR conditions for CIGs , though, IFR cannot be completely ruled out.
Also, gusty winds can be expected in and around convection. Near surface winds will be mainly south at 5 to 12 knots.



CLIMATE
On this day in 1969, the daily record rainfall of 3.29" was recorded in Key West. Precipitation records for Key West date back to 1871.

Also, the daily record rainfall of 3.30 inches was recorded in Marathon set back on this date in 1988. Precipitation records for Marathon date back to 1950.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 86 80 89 82 / 70 50 50 30 Marathon 87 80 89 82 / 70 50 40 20

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for FLZ076>078.

GM...None.

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Gopher Key
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:02 AM EDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:06 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:16 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gopher Key, Cudjoe Bay, Florida, Tide feet

No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.42 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:23 PM EDT     0.43 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:42 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:22 PM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots

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