Sunrise 5:57 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 2:26 AM   Moonset 5:49 PM

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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 318 Am Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Today - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Waves light chop. Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop. Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 318 Am Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Dry high pressure will remain in control today before shifting offshore tomorrow through this weekend with oppressive heat and humidity returning.

FXUS62 KMHX 030818 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 418 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
Cool and dry high pressure will remain in control through tomorrow. The high then shifts offshore Thursday through this weekend with oppressive heat and humidity returning.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 340 AM Wed...Little change in the weather pattern from yesterday as mid- level ridge axis remains centered over the I-95 corridor while surface high pressure remains planted along the eastern seaboard. Subtle coastal trough sits roughly along the Outer Banks and is providing just enough low-level convergence to support some spotty radar returns, although we have little ground truth on whether rain is reaching the ground.
Kept PoPs below mentionable given dry sub-cloud layers on the local sounding.

Coastal trough will gradually weaken as the day progresses, along with the spotty shower coverage. High will slowly shift east, allowing winds to veer more east to east-southeast. Highs today a couple degrees warmer than yesterday with a modest uptick in low-level thicknesses, supporting highs in the upper 80s inland and mid 80s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/
As of 400 AM Wed...High pressure will continue to shift offshore overnight. Weak lee troughing develops further inland as a weak cold front shifts across the Ohio River Valley, and winds will continue to veer southerly overnight allowing Tds to slowly rise. Still, given near calm winds inland and mostly clear skies another round of effective radiational cooling will result in one final evening of relatively mild lows in the mid 60s. Along the immediate coast, temperatures hover around 70.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 245 AM Wed...

KEY MESSAGES:

- Oppressive heat and humidity returns late week and this weekend

July 4th holiday should feature mostly dry weather and temps near climo. CAMs show convection ongoing over central VA Thu afternoon and evening. Expect this activity to weaken with loss of heating as it moves eastward towards ENC. Will continue to keep the forecast dry, though there is potential for an isolated shower or storm to push across the northern portions of the forecast area, best chances closer to the Albemarle Sound, after 00z.

Our most impactful weather likely occurs at the end of the week and into the weekend as oppressive heat and humidity sets up across the Southeast once again. Upper ridging will remain overhead into next weekend as any upper level troughs struggle to dig S'wards. At the surface, high pressure ridging will continue to push further offshore through the end of the week allowing SSW and deeper moisture to return to the area.

Temps will grad warm late week into the weekend allowing for oppressive heat and humidity to return. High temps will soar into the mid to upper 90s inland, upper 80s to low 90s for the beaches, combined with dewpoints climbing back up into the 70s.
This could to heat index values peaking at 105-110 deg. A cold front will approach the area this weekend and early next week, but will likely stall or dissipate west of the area. This boundary will likely do little, except to possibly aid in shower/tstm development. Will continue a mostly dry forecast through Thu, with climo mostly diurnally driven seabreeze pops Fri into next week. Will continue to cap pops at chance.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 06Z Thu/...
As of 130 AM Wed...VFR conditions prevail across area terminals today as high pressure centered off the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula extends into the Carolinas. Main concern tonight remains a weak signal for patchy low stratus and ground fog, although highest probabilities are north and west of the region closer to the VA border. Still, cannot rule out a spotty early morning fog threat for PGV where winds will most likely and a fog-happy OAJ based on recent observational trends.

Another quiet flying day in store after sunrise with easterly winds gradually veering southeasterly as sea breeze makes its way inland, although winds will remain at around 5 kt through the period. For OBX, winds stay closer to a steady 10 kt.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 245 AM Wed... Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Sct diurnal shower/tstm chances return this weekend.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 420 AM Wed...Pleasant boating conditions in place over area waters as high pressure, centered off the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula, extends southward over the Carolinas. Weak coastal trough sits just off the Outer Banks kicking up very spotty shower activity over Onslow Bay and the waters north of Cape Hatteras, with a more impressive persistent shower on the northern coast of the Albemarle Sound. This shower threat will gradually diminish through the afternoon hours.

Regional observations show seas of 3-4 feet with winds generally easterly at around 10 kt. Little change in this regime is expected, although winds will steadily veer southerly through the period as the high gradually moves offshore and lee troughing sharpens well inland.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 245 AM Wed...Mostly benign boating conditions are forecast for the period. Light and variable winds to start off Thu, becoming SSE 5-15 kt in the afternoon. Typical summertime pattern late week into the weekend, with SSW winds 10-20 kt, strongest during the late afternoon and evening. Seas generally 2-4 ft through the period, with potential for 5 ft across the outer waters Fri night. May continue to see longer period swells from very distant Hurricane Beryl through Fri, though should have little impact on wave heights.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Core Creek Bridge
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Wed -- 01:49 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:23 AM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:33 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet

Newport River
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Wed -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:16 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:44 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:37 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,