Sunrise 6:26 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 1:55 AM   Moonset 2:25 PM

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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 322 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am edt this morning - ..small craft should exercise caution after 10 am edt - .
Today - East winds near 20 knots, decreasing 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: east 5 feet at 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of showers. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of showers. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 010912 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 512 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

DISCUSSION
Issued at 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Key Messages:

- Breezy East winds combined with dry conditions will produce a fire weather sensitive day today.

- Poor to Hazardous Boating Conditions Today.

Today...High pressure will slide E-SE and off the Carolina coast late in the day. Clockwise circulation around this high pressure and its assocd pressure gradient will produce breezy East winds, 15-20 mph with gusts near 30 mph across EC FL. Current temps holding in the upper 70s along the coast due to the breezy onshore flow but max temps will only reach the mid 80s there, a typically small diurnal range in such flow regimes. Over the interior, max temps will reach the upper 80s/near 90, very seasonable for the first day of June and a respite from the recent heat.

There is some moisture trapped below a subsidence inversion around 850 mb. This will promote scattered marine stratocu pushing onshore that pancakes beneath the base of the inversion. Brief periods of mostly cloudy skies are possible. And cannot rule out a few sprinkles falling out of these clouds but measurable precip is not expected.

Sun...The pressure gradient eases as the high center moves seaward away from the area so not quite as breezy but east flow will continue which will push the sea breeze steadily inland. The dry airmass will also shift eastward and allow some moistening from the west. As a result, rain chances have increased some with the best chance for scattered showers and storms across southern sections as early as Sun morning along the Treasure coast.
Sufficient moisture now looks to exist over the interior in the aftn to generate 30-40% coverage of showers/storms. This is about 20% below NBM PoPs which are typically too high. Max temps remain seasonable, just a degree or so warmer than today.

Mon-Fri...A weak high pressure ridge axis will gradually settle southward from north FL Mon to south FL Thu-Fri. Moisture looks fairly limited so the daily 30-40% PoPs may be a bit generous.
Have more confidence that max temperatures will continue a warming trend with lower 90s interior Mon reaching mid 90s Tue and beyond. Such low to mid 90s will spread to the east coast by late week as the sea breeze onset gets more and more delayed.



MARINE
Issued at 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

High pressure will slide east-southeast and offshore the Carolina coast this afternoon, then seaward over the western Atlantic. A trailing ridge axis will extend westward across north Florida into early next week. Fresh East winds around this high pressure will produce poor to hazardous conditions today then conditions will gradually improve Sunday through Tuesday as the trailing ridge axis settles across north FL and eases the easterly pressure gradient which will still support 10-15 kts.

A small craft advisory remains in effect for the Brevard waters until 10 am and the Treasure coast waters (south of Sebastian Inlet) until 10 pm this evening. Seas will peak at 6-7 ft in the Gulf Stream south of the Cape today. Seas will fall below 5 ft offshore Sun. Seas 3-4 ft Mon and 2-3 ft by Wed.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Mainly dry and breezy/gusty conditions will produce a fire weather sensitive day today. Min RH values will hover near 35% across Lake county and adjacent portions of western Orange and northwest Osceola. Min RH values will trend higher toward the coast, holding between 45% and 55% there. But East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will produce Very Good to Excellent dispersions. Combined with dry fuels, any new or ongoing fires may spread rapidly. This will be a concern even near the coast even though RH values will be slightly higher.

On Sunday, the onshore winds will decrease some and the dry airmass will modify allowing min RH values to hold about 10% higher than today.
There will also be a better chance for showers and storms especially south of Orlando. Rain/storm chances should remain below normal during the early to mid next week but critically low RH values are not forecast.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

VFR and dry conditions are forecast through the TAF period.
Northeast winds at 4-8kts inland and 10-12kts along the coast are forecast to increase after 12Z-15Z with gusts to 20-26kts this afternoon. Winds will gradually diminish into the late evening and overnight hours from the east. SCT clouds (potentially BKN mainly near the coast) at around 040-050kft are forecast this afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 85 71 86 70 / 0 0 30 20 MCO 88 70 89 71 / 0 0 40 20 MLB 85 73 86 73 / 10 20 50 30 VRB 86 72 86 72 / 10 20 50 40 LEE 89 70 91 72 / 10 10 30 10 SFB 88 70 89 71 / 0 0 30 10 ORL 88 71 90 72 / 0 0 40 10 FPR 86 71 86 71 / 10 30 50 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ552-572.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-575.

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Titusville
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Sat -- 12:30 AM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:14 AM EDT     3.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:03 PM EDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 PM EDT     3.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Sat -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:28 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:48 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:22 PM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:29 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida, Tide feet

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