Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bandon, OR
July 3, 2024 2:33 AM PDT (09:33 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:40 AM Sunset 9:02 PM Moonrise 2:13 AM Moonset 6:38 PM |
PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 831 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 2 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night - .
Tonight - N wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: N 8 ft at 7 seconds and W 2 ft at 13 seconds.
Wed - N wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds.
Wed night - N wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: N 9 ft at 8 seconds.
Thu - N wind 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds and W 2 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu night - N wind 20 to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri - N wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 9 seconds.
Fri night - N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat - N wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Sat night - N wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Sun - N wind around 5 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Sun night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 4 ft.
PZZ300 831 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A strong thermal trough will maintain strong north winds, reaching gale force south of port orford, and steep to very steep and hazardous seas through late Wednesday. Conditions improve somewhat late Wednesday night into Thursday as the thermal trough pushes inland and expands northward. North to northeast winds will ease some, but winds and seas will remain hazardous to small craft through the end of the week, with hazardous warning level seas likely lingering through Thursday night. Sub-advisory conditions are possible over the weekend.
FXUS66 KMFR 030545 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1045 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024
UPDATE
Updated aviation section for 06z TAFs.
DISCUSSION...Clear skies and warm temperatures continue today under a building upper level ridge. This ridge looks to remain in place and guide conditions through the forecast period.
The immediate concern is for continued warming through the weekend, and for lingering days of elevated heat into next week.
At their warmest, temperatures in Jackson, Josephine, and western Siskiyou counties are forecast to reach between 110 and 115 degrees. NBM probabilistic guidance currently has a 40% chance for temperatures in Medford to reach or exceed 115 degrees on Friday and Saturday. Notably, 115 degrees is the highest official temperature that Medford has ever seen. With constant additional daytime heating, nighttime temperatures will rise to the mid to high 60s.
This combination of daytime heat and warmer nights will result in conditions that may lead to heat-related illness for anyone in these areas. An Excessive Heat Warning is in place from Thursday at 8 AM through Monday at 9 PM to communicate these hazardous conditions.
Central and eastern Douglas County will see temperatures between 95 and 110 degrees with nighttime lows in the low to mid 60s. Areas east of the Cascades will see temperatures between 95 and 100 degrees with nighttime lows in the high 50s. Conditions in these areas pose a risk to individuals who have heat-related sensitivities. A Heat Advisory is in place for from Thursday at 8 AM through Monday at 9 PM to communicate this hazard. Additionally, there are periods of Warning-level heat around Klamath Falls and the Chemult- Crescent area on Saturday. While this increased hazard is not shown in these hazard products, people in these areas will want to take additional care on Saturday.
While there are areas not under an official hazard, this should not be interpreted as an absence of risk. NWS HeatRisk guidance does show some amount of hazard anywhere that isn't the peak of Mount Shasta from Thursday through Monday. Being aware of proper hydration and how you feel as well as being indoors during the hottest part of the day is encouraged across the coverage area.
Fire weather is also a concern during this period. High temperatures without additional moisture results in lower relative humidity levels. RH values of 15% or below will be present over most inland areas, which will help to dry out any fuels that are not already dry. The combination of low RH values and gusty afternoon winds can make any spark or ember a threat to travel and start a new fire. Any activities that pose a fire threat should be avoided. Please see the Fire Weather Discussion below for additional details.
Long-term guidance shows continuing stability, but with lower temperatures. Temperatures in Medford only have a 30% chance of being over 100 degrees on July 11th. Climate Prediction Center guidance does keeps the areas under Above Average Temperatures and Below Average Precipitation through July 26th. Long-term ECMWF and GFS meteograms do not currently forecast any events like this one in that timeframe. Small victories. -TAD
AVIATION
03/06Z TAFS...VFR will prevail through the TAF period. Gusty afternoon winds will return tomorrow afternoon, especially along the coast. Stratus is expected to build in along portions of the coast tonight with IFR conditions possible.
Confidence is low that IFR conditions will build in at North Bend due to persistent gusty north winds and a scattered ceiling continues to be the most likely outcome tonight.
-Miles
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Tuesday, July 2, 2024...A strong thermal trough will maintain strong north winds, reaching gales south of Port Orford, and steep to very steep and hazardous seas for all areas through late Wednesday. Winds will be strongest and seas will be steepest during the afternoons and evenings. Conditions improve somewhat late Wednesday night into Thursday as the thermal trough pushes inland and expands northward. North to northeast winds will ease some during this time, but seas and winds will remain hazardous to small craft through the end of the week, with hazardous warning level seas likely lingering through Thursday night.
Conditions improve further over the weekend with sub-advisory conditions possible. Strong high pressure aloft will disrupt the thermal trough pattern, keeping winds in the 15 to 20 kt range with about a 15% chance of winds approaching advisory criteria on Saturday and Sunday. The thermal trough rebounds early next week, with hazardous conditions likely returning at that time. /BR-y
FIRE WEATHER
Updated 200 PM Tuesday, July 2, 2024...
.Near critical fire weather possible today through the next week for much of southern Oregon and northern California...
.RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR OREGON FIRE WEATHER ZONES 619/WESTERN 620 FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY...
Fire weather concerns will remain elevated through the week, though due to two different patterns. First, a strong thermal trough along the coast will persist through Wednesday night. This will bring moderate to locally poor overnight RH recoveries to ridges along with gusty northeast winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30-40 mph to the Coast Range/Kalmiopsis Wilderness tonight and again Wednesday night. As is typical with this pattern, it tends to take a night or two of persistent northeast winds to bring down RHs enough to present critical conditions, and that will be the case this time as well. Of the winds/RH combo required for critical conditions tonight, gusty winds will meet the criteria, but RH recoveries won't quite be low enough (30-50%). The pattern starts to transition Wednesday night, so winds will be weaker compared to tonight, but RH recoveries will be lower (20-35%). Still, guidance suggested enough of an overlap that critical fire weather conditions were identified in these areas Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Have upgraded the fire weather watch into a Red Flag Warning in effect 11pm Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday.
In the meantime, this pattern will also lead to near critical conditions for portions of the area this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. Minimum humidities of 10-15% are expected in western and central Siskiyou County with north winds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph (strongest in the Shasta Valley near Montague).
Similarly, northeast winds also be near critical thresholds in the Illinois Valley on Wednesday afternoon at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph, and with minimum humidities of 10-15%. However, Intel on fuels remains that the live fuels are not quite there while dead fuels are. Therefore, will continue to headline the near-critical conditions this week.
Strong high pressure aloft moves over the region for the latter half of the week and through the weekend. The thermal trough will expand northward, with weaker winds expected along the coast. Very hot temperatures (100-110 degrees) and very low (low teens/single digit)
humidities are expected during this time away from the immediate coast. While afternoon breezes won't be quite as strong as today and Wednesday, the extreme heat, and long duration of the heat will allow even typically breezy afternoon conditions to result in dangerous weather that is favorable for rapid spread of fire.
-Schaaf/BR-y
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Excessive Heat Warning from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for ORZ024-026.
Heat Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for ORZ023- 025-029>031.
Red Flag Warning from 11 PM Wednesday to 8 AM PDT Thursday for ORZ619-620.
CA...Excessive Heat Warning from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for CAZ080-081.
Heat Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for CAZ084- 085.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Gale Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ350-370.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ370.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1045 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024
UPDATE
Updated aviation section for 06z TAFs.
DISCUSSION...Clear skies and warm temperatures continue today under a building upper level ridge. This ridge looks to remain in place and guide conditions through the forecast period.
The immediate concern is for continued warming through the weekend, and for lingering days of elevated heat into next week.
At their warmest, temperatures in Jackson, Josephine, and western Siskiyou counties are forecast to reach between 110 and 115 degrees. NBM probabilistic guidance currently has a 40% chance for temperatures in Medford to reach or exceed 115 degrees on Friday and Saturday. Notably, 115 degrees is the highest official temperature that Medford has ever seen. With constant additional daytime heating, nighttime temperatures will rise to the mid to high 60s.
This combination of daytime heat and warmer nights will result in conditions that may lead to heat-related illness for anyone in these areas. An Excessive Heat Warning is in place from Thursday at 8 AM through Monday at 9 PM to communicate these hazardous conditions.
Central and eastern Douglas County will see temperatures between 95 and 110 degrees with nighttime lows in the low to mid 60s. Areas east of the Cascades will see temperatures between 95 and 100 degrees with nighttime lows in the high 50s. Conditions in these areas pose a risk to individuals who have heat-related sensitivities. A Heat Advisory is in place for from Thursday at 8 AM through Monday at 9 PM to communicate this hazard. Additionally, there are periods of Warning-level heat around Klamath Falls and the Chemult- Crescent area on Saturday. While this increased hazard is not shown in these hazard products, people in these areas will want to take additional care on Saturday.
While there are areas not under an official hazard, this should not be interpreted as an absence of risk. NWS HeatRisk guidance does show some amount of hazard anywhere that isn't the peak of Mount Shasta from Thursday through Monday. Being aware of proper hydration and how you feel as well as being indoors during the hottest part of the day is encouraged across the coverage area.
Fire weather is also a concern during this period. High temperatures without additional moisture results in lower relative humidity levels. RH values of 15% or below will be present over most inland areas, which will help to dry out any fuels that are not already dry. The combination of low RH values and gusty afternoon winds can make any spark or ember a threat to travel and start a new fire. Any activities that pose a fire threat should be avoided. Please see the Fire Weather Discussion below for additional details.
Long-term guidance shows continuing stability, but with lower temperatures. Temperatures in Medford only have a 30% chance of being over 100 degrees on July 11th. Climate Prediction Center guidance does keeps the areas under Above Average Temperatures and Below Average Precipitation through July 26th. Long-term ECMWF and GFS meteograms do not currently forecast any events like this one in that timeframe. Small victories. -TAD
AVIATION
03/06Z TAFS...VFR will prevail through the TAF period. Gusty afternoon winds will return tomorrow afternoon, especially along the coast. Stratus is expected to build in along portions of the coast tonight with IFR conditions possible.
Confidence is low that IFR conditions will build in at North Bend due to persistent gusty north winds and a scattered ceiling continues to be the most likely outcome tonight.
-Miles
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Tuesday, July 2, 2024...A strong thermal trough will maintain strong north winds, reaching gales south of Port Orford, and steep to very steep and hazardous seas for all areas through late Wednesday. Winds will be strongest and seas will be steepest during the afternoons and evenings. Conditions improve somewhat late Wednesday night into Thursday as the thermal trough pushes inland and expands northward. North to northeast winds will ease some during this time, but seas and winds will remain hazardous to small craft through the end of the week, with hazardous warning level seas likely lingering through Thursday night.
Conditions improve further over the weekend with sub-advisory conditions possible. Strong high pressure aloft will disrupt the thermal trough pattern, keeping winds in the 15 to 20 kt range with about a 15% chance of winds approaching advisory criteria on Saturday and Sunday. The thermal trough rebounds early next week, with hazardous conditions likely returning at that time. /BR-y
FIRE WEATHER
Updated 200 PM Tuesday, July 2, 2024...
.Near critical fire weather possible today through the next week for much of southern Oregon and northern California...
.RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR OREGON FIRE WEATHER ZONES 619/WESTERN 620 FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY...
Fire weather concerns will remain elevated through the week, though due to two different patterns. First, a strong thermal trough along the coast will persist through Wednesday night. This will bring moderate to locally poor overnight RH recoveries to ridges along with gusty northeast winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30-40 mph to the Coast Range/Kalmiopsis Wilderness tonight and again Wednesday night. As is typical with this pattern, it tends to take a night or two of persistent northeast winds to bring down RHs enough to present critical conditions, and that will be the case this time as well. Of the winds/RH combo required for critical conditions tonight, gusty winds will meet the criteria, but RH recoveries won't quite be low enough (30-50%). The pattern starts to transition Wednesday night, so winds will be weaker compared to tonight, but RH recoveries will be lower (20-35%). Still, guidance suggested enough of an overlap that critical fire weather conditions were identified in these areas Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Have upgraded the fire weather watch into a Red Flag Warning in effect 11pm Wednesday through 8 AM Thursday.
In the meantime, this pattern will also lead to near critical conditions for portions of the area this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. Minimum humidities of 10-15% are expected in western and central Siskiyou County with north winds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph (strongest in the Shasta Valley near Montague).
Similarly, northeast winds also be near critical thresholds in the Illinois Valley on Wednesday afternoon at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph, and with minimum humidities of 10-15%. However, Intel on fuels remains that the live fuels are not quite there while dead fuels are. Therefore, will continue to headline the near-critical conditions this week.
Strong high pressure aloft moves over the region for the latter half of the week and through the weekend. The thermal trough will expand northward, with weaker winds expected along the coast. Very hot temperatures (100-110 degrees) and very low (low teens/single digit)
humidities are expected during this time away from the immediate coast. While afternoon breezes won't be quite as strong as today and Wednesday, the extreme heat, and long duration of the heat will allow even typically breezy afternoon conditions to result in dangerous weather that is favorable for rapid spread of fire.
-Schaaf/BR-y
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Excessive Heat Warning from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for ORZ024-026.
Heat Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for ORZ023- 025-029>031.
Red Flag Warning from 11 PM Wednesday to 8 AM PDT Thursday for ORZ619-620.
CA...Excessive Heat Warning from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for CAZ080-081.
Heat Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 9 PM PDT Monday for CAZ084- 085.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Gale Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ350-370.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ370.
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KOTH
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KOTH
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KOTH
Wind History graph: OTH
(wind in knots)Bandon
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:13 AM PDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:11 AM PDT -1.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:43 AM PDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:55 AM PDT 5.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:31 PM PDT 2.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:37 PM PDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:30 PM PDT 7.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:13 AM PDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:11 AM PDT -1.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:43 AM PDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:55 AM PDT 5.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:31 PM PDT 2.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:37 PM PDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:30 PM PDT 7.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bandon, Coquille River, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5.8 |
| 1 am |
| 4.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| -0.5 |
| 5 am |
| -1.1 |
| 6 am |
| -0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 2.8 |
| 10 am |
| 4.1 |
| 11 am |
| 4.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 3 |
| 5 pm |
| 3 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 6.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 7.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 7.5 |
Charleston
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:12 AM PDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:15 AM PDT -1.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 AM PDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:01 PM PDT 5.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:42 PM PDT 3.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:38 PM PDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:45 PM PDT 8.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:12 AM PDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:15 AM PDT -1.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 AM PDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:01 PM PDT 5.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:42 PM PDT 3.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:38 PM PDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:45 PM PDT 8.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Charleston, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 6.5 |
| 1 am |
| 4.7 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| -0.7 |
| 5 am |
| -1.3 |
| 6 am |
| -1.1 |
| 7 am |
| -0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.3 |
| 9 am |
| 2.9 |
| 10 am |
| 4.3 |
| 11 am |
| 5.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 7.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 8 |
| 11 pm |
| 8.2 |
Medford, OR,
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