Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 2:28 PM   Moonset 1:30 AM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024
Rest of tonight - W nw winds around 5 kt becoming N ne after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: nw 1 foot at 3 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers late in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N ne 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon - E ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: N ne 4 ft at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon night through Wed night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave detail: E 6 ft at 6 seconds and N nw 2 ft at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu - E se winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: E se 5 ft at 6 seconds and N nw 2 ft at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A chance of tstms in the morning. Showers likely. Tstms likely in the afternoon. Thu night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024
Synopsis -
a gentle to moderate south to southwesterly wind flow will gradually shift and become east northeasterly overnight. These winds will become moderate to fresh during the early portion of the week. Morning showers and Thunderstorms over the atlantic waters will move westward with the focus moving inland and then into the gulf waters during the afternoon and evening. Winds and seas could be locally higher in and around showers and Thunderstorms.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 13, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 160530 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 130 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 652 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Precipitation trends over land have diminished with some activity still continuing in the Gulf. Cancelled the Flood Watch a bit early since the east coast metro is looking to remain generally dry for the rest of the evening. No major changes other than to adjust the hourly grids to account for observed temperature and dewpoint trends. Have a wonderful Saturday evening!

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1201 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

It's a very un-June like day across South FL today, with cooler conditions and light stratiform rain falling over the southern half of the area due to a weak low/surface trough over the eastern Gulf.
12Z sounding and ACARS data shows plenty of dry air up through about 700 mb and then saturated at the mid and upper levels. Forecast soundings show the low levels trying to moisten up this afternoon south of Alligator Alley, but there's plenty of uncertainty on how well that will occur. Not enough confidence at this point to eliminate the remaining Flood Watch over the Broward/Miami-Dade metro, especially with some convection trying to drift northward from the FL Straits, but if the fairly stable conditions hold it's likely the Watch will be cancelled early.

Mainly dry conditions overnight with most shower activity remaining over the Atlantic and Gulf waters. It'll be another mild evening across the metro areas with lows in the upper 70s to around 80, but low to mid 70s over interior South FL.

On Sunday the mid/upper level high moves over the southeast US, which will help bring some drier air into the region. While there will still be plenty of cloud cover, expect some more peaks of sun during the day and overall lower PoPs, with the best chances for scattered showers and storms being over the interior and SW FL with the E/NE flow. Much warmer temps expected, with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to around 90.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 314 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Models show fair agreement in pushing a mid level trough/low complex northeastward across the E CONUS, and into the west Atlantic to start the long term. This will result in a gradual shift of winds over SoFlo to a more easterly/northeasterly, which will signal a return to a more closer-to-normal weather pattern for this time of the year.

For the first half of the work week, model solutions suggest a sfc high pressure building across the peninsula from the west Atlantic and into the E GOMEX, bringing back the aforementioned more normal summertime weather regime of afternoon seabreeze activity. The prevailing easterly wind direction should favor better chances for showers and thunderstorms over interior areas as the east coast seabreezes should early in the afternoon and quickly push inland.
However, a few strong storms could still affect some of the east coast metro areas, especially on days with a weak start of the sea breeze circulations.

Highs temperatures are expected to warm up into the upper 80s to low 90s, with heat indices in the upper 90s or even triple digits towards the middle and latter portions of the work week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 126 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Light and variable winds will increase out of the east later this morning. Scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon, however, they should remain away from the terminals as they push towards the interior. The exception to this will be at KAPF, where showers and thunderstorms may develop near the terminal heading into the mid to late afternoon hours.

MARINE
Issued at 1201 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

A gentle to moderate south to southwest flow early today will become north to northeasterly late today as mid/upper level high pressure starts to build in to our north. Scattered thunderstorms are possible this weekend which may result in locally hazardous winds and seas. Outside of thunderstorms, seas will be generally 2 ft or less this weekend.

BEACHES
Issued at 1201 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

An elevated risk of rip currents is possible beginning Sunday along the east coast beaches as onshore flow returns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 88 79 88 80 / 30 20 40 30 West Kendall 90 77 89 78 / 30 10 40 30 Opa-Locka 90 79 89 79 / 30 10 40 30 Homestead 88 79 88 79 / 30 20 40 30 Fort Lauderdale 87 80 87 80 / 30 20 40 30 N Ft Lauderdale 88 80 88 80 / 30 20 40 30 Pembroke Pines 91 80 91 80 / 30 20 40 20 West Palm Beach 88 78 88 78 / 40 20 40 30 Boca Raton 89 79 88 79 / 30 20 40 30 Naples 92 77 92 77 / 60 30 50 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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West Palm Beach Canal
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Sat -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:47 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:37 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:32 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

West Palm Beach Canal, Florida (2), Tide feet

Palm Beach
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Sat -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:47 AM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:19 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:32 PM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Palm Beach, Florida, Tide feet

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