Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port O'Connor, TX
June 18, 2024 4:16 AM CDT (09:16 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:28 AM Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 4:32 PM Moonset 2:35 AM |
GMZ330 Matagorda Bay- 1037 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024
.tropical storm watch in effect - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers early in the morning, then showers likely in the late morning and afternoon.
Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 30 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. Showers likely in the evening. Thunderstorms likely. Showers after midnight.
Wednesday - East winds 20 to 30 knots with higher gusts. Bay waters rough. Showers with Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts. Gusts to 35 knots in the evening. Bay waters rough. Showers and Thunderstorms until early morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms late.
Thursday - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Bay waters rough, easing to choppy in the afternoon. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, easing to around 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy, easing to slightly choppy after midnight. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers in the late evening and overnight.
Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely until late afternoon, then a chance of showers late.
Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday - East winds around 10 knots, rising to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth, rising to slightly choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, easing to around 10 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy, easing to smooth after midnight. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1037 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern gulf of mexico will bring unsettled weather to the gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper texas coastal waters over the next few days. With the exception of galveston bay, a tropical storm watch is in effect due to the broad. Even though the center of the potential storm should remain well to our south, an expansive wind field stretches well north of this system. Small craft advisory remains in effect for galveston bay, but some gusts above 30 knots are possible at times. Water levels will be rising and would anticipate some coastal flooding in the bays and along the beaches. Small craft should consider remaining in port until weather conditions start improving later this week.
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern gulf of mexico will bring unsettled weather to the gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper texas coastal waters over the next few days. With the exception of galveston bay, a tropical storm watch is in effect due to the broad. Even though the center of the potential storm should remain well to our south, an expansive wind field stretches well north of this system. Small craft advisory remains in effect for galveston bay, but some gusts above 30 knots are possible at times. Water levels will be rising and would anticipate some coastal flooding in the bays and along the beaches. Small craft should consider remaining in port until weather conditions start improving later this week.
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Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 180914 AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 414 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Short term forecast remains on PTC1. Tropical Storm watches have been upgraded to Tropical Storm warnings this morning as we wait on a low level closed circulation to develop. Quite a bit of convection noted with it early this morning, stretching north from the Yucatan toward the Texas/Louisiana border. Isolated convection does spread toward the Middle Texas coast, but not seeing much activity at this time. Expect that to increase as this system drifts eastward over the next couple of days. Satellite derived PWAT values indicate PWAT values around 1.8" along the coast this morning with 2.2 inches a bit offshore before we lose the data to cloud cover. Model guidance still indicates we could approach 3 inches by Wednesday morning.
Along those lines, heavy rain continues to be the primary concern with this system, and rainfall totals of 6-9" are expected along the Coastal Bend with localized higher amounts possible where some of the healthier bands set up. Rainfall rates will be a concern with 2- 3"/hour rates increasing the concern for flash flooding. Most widespread/heaviest convection looks to be after midnight Tuesday night through late Wednesday.
The next notable impact from this system will be coastal flooding.
We're already seeing water reaching the dunes along the coast (as best we can in the dark anyway). Tide levels at Port Aransas have topped 2" MSL which is already coastal flood advisory criteria. We are likely to see another foot or two on top of this by tonight into Wednesday. These levels would completely shut off beach roads, and push water over many low/coastal flood prone areas along the bays including Rockport, North Beach and Port O'Connor. Tide levels will begin to subside on Thursday.
Not much has changed with the wind forecast. Highest winds associated with system remain displaced well north of the center, so while landfall of an eventual cyclone is expected to be in Mexico, the strongest winds will be pushing into the Middle Texas Coast.
Over the waters, winds gusting to 55 mph or higher are possible, but winds will quickly diminish over land, with 45 to 50 mph gusts possible along the coast, especially within some of the convective bands.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Monday)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
By late Thursday into Thursday night we'll be winding down impacts from the PTC, though moisture will linger and we'll keep rain chances through at least Friday, and possibly into the weekend as the surface ridge remains over the eastern US instead of the southeastern US, allowing general weakness to persist over the western Gulf. High temperatures that will be in the low to mid-80s for mid- week will creep back up into the 90s by the weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
This TAF cycle will start off fairly easy with generally VFR conditions and isolated MVFR ceilings. There is a low to moderate chance of showers, with chances increasing to moderate to high across ALI, CRP, and VCT Tuesday afternoon and then into LRD and COT Tuesday night. MVFR conditions will prevail Tuesday and will deteriorate late Tuesday into Wednesday as heavy rain moves into South Texas.
Winds will be elevated with gusts 25-30 knots expected through the day Tuesday; however, there is a Tropical Storm Watch in effect across the coast, so expect winds to increase through Wednesday, mainly over CRP.
MARINE
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect. Onshore winds will continue to increase today through Wednesday. Strong to very strong winds today approach gale force tonight and tomorrow. Gale force gusts are expected. Wave heights are expected to increase to 10-15 feet occasionally up to 18 feet across the coastal waters Tuesday through Thursday. Deep moisture will move into the area resulting in widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday. Rain chances trend down slightly heading into the weekend but we will still hold onto moderate rain chances through the weekend
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 91 77 84 79 / 50 80 100 90 Victoria 91 74 81 77 / 40 70 100 70 Laredo 99 78 86 76 / 10 10 90 90 Alice 94 76 83 77 / 50 60 100 90 Rockport 92 80 89 81 / 60 90 100 90 Cotulla 99 79 86 77 / 10 10 80 90 Kingsville 93 76 83 78 / 60 70 100 100 Navy Corpus 90 80 87 82 / 60 90 100 100
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for TXZ242>247-342>347-442-443-447.
Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday afternoon for TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447.
Coastal Flood Warning until 7 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ245-342>345- 347-442-443-447.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for TXZ345-442- 443-447.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 414 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Short term forecast remains on PTC1. Tropical Storm watches have been upgraded to Tropical Storm warnings this morning as we wait on a low level closed circulation to develop. Quite a bit of convection noted with it early this morning, stretching north from the Yucatan toward the Texas/Louisiana border. Isolated convection does spread toward the Middle Texas coast, but not seeing much activity at this time. Expect that to increase as this system drifts eastward over the next couple of days. Satellite derived PWAT values indicate PWAT values around 1.8" along the coast this morning with 2.2 inches a bit offshore before we lose the data to cloud cover. Model guidance still indicates we could approach 3 inches by Wednesday morning.
Along those lines, heavy rain continues to be the primary concern with this system, and rainfall totals of 6-9" are expected along the Coastal Bend with localized higher amounts possible where some of the healthier bands set up. Rainfall rates will be a concern with 2- 3"/hour rates increasing the concern for flash flooding. Most widespread/heaviest convection looks to be after midnight Tuesday night through late Wednesday.
The next notable impact from this system will be coastal flooding.
We're already seeing water reaching the dunes along the coast (as best we can in the dark anyway). Tide levels at Port Aransas have topped 2" MSL which is already coastal flood advisory criteria. We are likely to see another foot or two on top of this by tonight into Wednesday. These levels would completely shut off beach roads, and push water over many low/coastal flood prone areas along the bays including Rockport, North Beach and Port O'Connor. Tide levels will begin to subside on Thursday.
Not much has changed with the wind forecast. Highest winds associated with system remain displaced well north of the center, so while landfall of an eventual cyclone is expected to be in Mexico, the strongest winds will be pushing into the Middle Texas Coast.
Over the waters, winds gusting to 55 mph or higher are possible, but winds will quickly diminish over land, with 45 to 50 mph gusts possible along the coast, especially within some of the convective bands.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Monday)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
By late Thursday into Thursday night we'll be winding down impacts from the PTC, though moisture will linger and we'll keep rain chances through at least Friday, and possibly into the weekend as the surface ridge remains over the eastern US instead of the southeastern US, allowing general weakness to persist over the western Gulf. High temperatures that will be in the low to mid-80s for mid- week will creep back up into the 90s by the weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
This TAF cycle will start off fairly easy with generally VFR conditions and isolated MVFR ceilings. There is a low to moderate chance of showers, with chances increasing to moderate to high across ALI, CRP, and VCT Tuesday afternoon and then into LRD and COT Tuesday night. MVFR conditions will prevail Tuesday and will deteriorate late Tuesday into Wednesday as heavy rain moves into South Texas.
Winds will be elevated with gusts 25-30 knots expected through the day Tuesday; however, there is a Tropical Storm Watch in effect across the coast, so expect winds to increase through Wednesday, mainly over CRP.
MARINE
Issued at 413 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect. Onshore winds will continue to increase today through Wednesday. Strong to very strong winds today approach gale force tonight and tomorrow. Gale force gusts are expected. Wave heights are expected to increase to 10-15 feet occasionally up to 18 feet across the coastal waters Tuesday through Thursday. Deep moisture will move into the area resulting in widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday. Rain chances trend down slightly heading into the weekend but we will still hold onto moderate rain chances through the weekend
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 91 77 84 79 / 50 80 100 90 Victoria 91 74 81 77 / 40 70 100 70 Laredo 99 78 86 76 / 10 10 90 90 Alice 94 76 83 77 / 50 60 100 90 Rockport 92 80 89 81 / 60 90 100 90 Cotulla 99 79 86 77 / 10 10 80 90 Kingsville 93 76 83 78 / 60 70 100 100 Navy Corpus 90 80 87 82 / 60 90 100 100
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for TXZ242>247-342>347-442-443-447.
Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday afternoon for TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447.
Coastal Flood Warning until 7 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ245-342>345- 347-442-443-447.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for TXZ345-442- 443-447.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PCNT2 - 8773701 - Matagorda Bay; Port O'Connor, TX | 0 mi | 47 min | E 19G | 84°F | 86°F | 29.77 | ||
MBET2 | 4 mi | 47 min | SE 19G | 84°F | 87°F | 29.74 | ||
SDRT2 - 8773037 - Seadrift, TX | 17 mi | 47 min | E 8G | 82°F | 86°F | 29.75 | ||
VCAT2 | 18 mi | 47 min | SE 20G | 83°F | 85°F | 29.75 | ||
AWRT2 | 26 mi | 47 min | ESE 14G | 83°F | 85°F | 29.75 | ||
EMAT2 | 32 mi | 47 min | E 16G | 82°F | 85°F | 29.78 | ||
RCPT2 - 8774770 - Rockport, TX | 45 mi | 47 min | SE 14G | 84°F | 88°F | 29.71 |
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Wind History graph: PKV
(wind in knots)Port O'Connor
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Tue -- 03:35 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:28 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM CDT 0.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:25 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 10:34 PM CDT -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:35 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:28 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM CDT 0.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:31 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:25 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 10:34 PM CDT -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port O'Connor, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
-0.2 |
1 am |
-0.1 |
2 am |
0 |
3 am |
0.1 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
0.5 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.6 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
0.5 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
0.1 |
6 pm |
-0 |
7 pm |
-0.2 |
8 pm |
-0.3 |
9 pm |
-0.3 |
10 pm |
-0.4 |
11 pm |
-0.4 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Lavaca, Lavaca Causeway, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet
Corpus Christi, TX,
![](https:\/\/radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KCRP_loop.gif)
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