Sunrise 5:11 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 2:14 AM   Moonset 2:47 PM

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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 103 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
This afternoon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Mon - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Tue through Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 103 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - Dry and calm conditions continue this weekend as high pressure builds in. High pressure looks to remain in control to start next week with the next chance for precip at the end of next week.

FXUS61 KBOX 011848 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 248 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure continues to move east tonight and tomorrow over New England keep the region dry. Low chance for showers Sunday night with a weak low passing over the region. High pressure brings warm and dry weather through the middle of next week, then the weather pattern becomes unsettled toward the end of the week as a frontal system approaches from the west.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
June 1st, marks the official start to the North Atlantic Hurricane Season. Should go without saying it's only a matter of when, not if, a hurricane makes landfall along our coastline.
While there have had numerous topical storms, August of 1991 brought Hurricane Bob, the last landfalling hurricane in southern New England. Take time today, this weekend, or this month to review whether or not you reside in an evacuation zone and what items you can buy right now to build out your emergency kit. Because, let's be honest, waiting to last minute will feel as you are out shopping/fighting the crowds on Black Friday, minus the deals/savings. For details on how to prepare for this hurricane season please visit this link: noaa.gov/hurricane-prep

Upper level ridge, rising heights, and subsidence aloft has lead to an absolutely gorgeous day with little to no clouds in the sky. This trend of no clouds will continue into tonight which will allow for good radiational cooling. With dew points only in the 30s and 40s across the region, overnight lows will drop into the low 50s region wide, with our typical radiators in the mid to upper 40s. There is a low chance that patchy radiation fog forms overnight in eastern Massachusetts, however, low dewpoints and early sunrises should keep it from becoming more widespread.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Ridge axis shifts east tomorrow allowing for high clouds to filter in ahead of a weak shortwave trough. Shouldn't have a huge effect on high temperatures tomorrow still expected to reach the low 80s inland and low 70s along the coasts. Light SSW winds tomorrow with Localized sea breezes developing again in the late morning/early afternoon.

The weak shortwave moves through Sunday night. This could allow for some weak rain showers overnight mainly across western MA and CT.
Not expecting a soaking rain with weak forcing and dry low levels.
Temps overnight stay in the upper 50s to low 60s with mostly cloudy skies.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Highlights:

* Tranquil and dry weather Mon thru Wed with mild temps inland, cooler near the coast.

* Increasing threat of rain/t-storms late in the week and early weekend - timing still a bit unclear.

Details:

Overall tranquil weather conditions through at least Wed looks to be on tap for Southern New England based on the 12z global ensembles.
High pressure over the Gulf of Maine looks to bring a couple days of onshore flow near the coast for Mon and Tue, perhaps with scattered low clouds near the immediate coast. Full sun inland with temps being considerably warmer (e.g. lower to mid 80s inland, vs upper 60s/lower 70s coastal areas). 500 mb heights then start to rise Tue into Wed with SWly flow developing at sfc, favoring more widespread upper 70s to lower 80s.

Pattern change toward more unsettled weather then develops around Thurs into late week/early weekend. 500 mb ridging weakens and shifts eastward, to be replaced by pretty strong 500 mb height falls associated with an anomalous closed upper low located over the Gt Lakes region as we move into Fri which stays more or less in place into Sat. A frontal system is expected to move across Southern New England, and while the exact timing is still a bit unclear and sensitive to how quickly the 500 mb ridge breaks down, felt NBM PoPs into the solid Chance range Wed night through the first part of Thurs were a bit too aggressive given the rather amplified pattern.
Reduced these favoring a drier Thurs, although PoPs then increase more significantly into Thurs night into Fri following loose consensus in the individual global models. Thus late in the week looks to be our next chance for showers or t-storms, and while 925- 850 mb temps favor warmer temps than indicated, more cloud cover around should keep highs in the 70s although with a bit of an uptick in humidity level.



AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Rest of Today... High confidence.

VFR and dry. NNW winds less than 10 knots with seabreezes along the coast.

Tonight... High confidence.

VFR, dry weather and light/variable winds. Winds may become gusty near the coasts out of the SE. Low chance for patchy fog to form tonight mainly in eastern MA for Bedford and Norwood.

Sunday... High confidence.

VFR and dry. WSW to SW winds less than 10 knots will give way to afternoon seabreezes along the coast.

KBOS TAF... High confidence.

VFR light SSE winds

KBDL TAF... High confidence.

VFR light and variable winds

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Monday through Wednesday: VFR.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Sunday night... High confidence.

Winds turn ESE this evening and become gusty up to 20 knots through about sunrise tomorrow. Otherwise tomorrow is shaping up to be another nice day with light southerly winds and filtered sunshine with high clouds. Seas remain 1-2 feet for the entire period.

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Monday through Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

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Providence, State Pier no.1, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet

Nayatt Point
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Sat -- 02:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:54 AM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:23 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT     5.39 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

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