Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Aransas, TX
July 3, 2024 4:24 AM CDT (09:24 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:36 AM Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 3:12 AM Moonset 5:48 PM |
GMZ232 Expires:202407032100;;359544 Fzus54 Kcrp 030825 Cwfcrp
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 325 am cdt Wed jul 3 2024
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz231-232-032100- baffin bay and upper laguna madre-corpus christi and nueces bays- 325 am cdt Wed jul 3 2024
Today - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots this afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Hazy late this morning and afternoon.
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Hazy.
Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Saturday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Saturday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 325 am cdt Wed jul 3 2024
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz231-232-032100- baffin bay and upper laguna madre-corpus christi and nueces bays- 325 am cdt Wed jul 3 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ200 325 Am Cdt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
expect weak to moderate southerly flow this morning, with winds becoming onshore by the afternoon. There is a small chance (10-20%) for showers this afternoon. The weak to moderate flow will become southerly again tonight, before going back to being onshore by the afternoon. Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected to continue through the end of the work week, with more moderate flow developing Sunday. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Sunday and continue through the middle of next week. There is high uncertainty on the wind and wave forecast as hurricane beryl moves into the bay of campeche, but increased wave heights and long period swell are possible late this weekend and early next week.
expect weak to moderate southerly flow this morning, with winds becoming onshore by the afternoon. There is a small chance (10-20%) for showers this afternoon. The weak to moderate flow will become southerly again tonight, before going back to being onshore by the afternoon. Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected to continue through the end of the work week, with more moderate flow developing Sunday. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Sunday and continue through the middle of next week. There is high uncertainty on the wind and wave forecast as hurricane beryl moves into the bay of campeche, but increased wave heights and long period swell are possible late this weekend and early next week.
Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 030823 AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 323 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Key Messages:
- Moderate to Major risk of heat-related impacts today and Thursday
The longwave trough at 500 mb in the center of the country will begin to set the stage for what is to come in the long term forecast section. In the short term however, the 500 mb ridge over the southern tier of states still holds sway as far as the temperatures and precipitation are concerned. Temperatures today are expected to be a couple of degrees warmer than yesterday's highs, which ranged from 89° to 102°F at the ASOS locations. The humidity is also expected to be about the same as yesterday with the PWAT values ranging from 1.50" to 2.0". So the heat indices look to be the same ranging from 100 to 111° again. So the heat risk looks to be minor to moderate again. Thursday, looks to be a little warmer by a couple of degrees, so think that the moderate to major risk of heat impacts is appropriate as the heat indices rise so that we have a large swath of 110 to 114° that includes most of the Brush Country, that southern portion of the Coastal Bend, and a bit of the Victoria Crossroads. The Rio Grande Plains look to remain about 105 to 110.
For the precipitation, this afternoon, as noted the humidity increases, as we push in more 2.0" PWAT values before they fall again tonight, and remain around 1.50" on Thursday. The added moisture today will make for the very small chance (10-20%) for showers, mainly along the Coastal Bend. Otherwise, most of the region should remain rain free. Thursday, with the drying from the sfc high over the region, the weather over the entire forecast area should remain rain free.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Key Messages:
- High uncertainty late this week into this weekend depending on the track and impacts of Major Hurricane Beryl
The ridge that has held strong across the area will finally begin to shift to the east as a trough moves across the Plains. Temperatures will begin to drop a couple of degrees each day through the weekend, with highs in the 90s along the coast to around 100 over the Brush Country Sunday. Temperatures will continue to slowly drop through the middle of the week, though the influx of deep tropical moisture will keep heat index values in the 105-109 range across the area through the middle of the week.
We'll start our weekend mainly dry, but things get very tricky as Hurricane Beryl makes its way west. High uncertainty remains with both the track and intensity of Beryl. Model guidance has been fairly consistent with low rain chances on Sunday, so confidence is moderate to high with the PoP forecast for Saturday through Sunday night. As Beryl approaches, the outer rain bands could reach South Texas as early as Monday. Rain chances increase to moderate by Tuesday. WPC has introduced a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall for Tuesday and Tuesday night. Remember, with the forecast uncertainty, convection could start a bit earlier or later: this is highly dependent on the forecast track. Currently, NHC is leaning toward the more southerly solution hinted at by most of the guidance, which would keep landfall near the Texas/Mexico border, but there are a fair share of models that will bring Beryl up into the Middle Texas coast. We'll keep watching.
We know that we have not really addressed the question of winds. The official forecast track indicates Beryl will move into an area with higher shear and will move across the Yucatan. These will both serve to weaken Beryl, with the current forecast indicating a weakening to a tropical storm. Once again, the uncertainty makes this difficult as Beryl is likely to move over water long enough to restrengthen into a hurricane before landfall. How much will Beryl strengthen? We just don't know at this point. We'll keep watching for this, too.
One of the only certainties with Beryl is that, as it moves into the southwest Gulf of Mexico, it will bring increased swell to our area.
This is likely to result in an increased risk of dangerous rip currents, high surf, and minor coastal flooding.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
VFR CIGs are expected to prevail through a majority of the TAF period. Overnight into early Monday morning, brief periods of MVFR CIGs and/or VSBYs will be possible due to patchy fog from ALI to VCT. Light winds expected most of the night becoming south to southeast by Wednesday afternoon, with gusts around 20 knots.
MARINE
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Expect weak to moderate southerly flow this morning, with winds becoming onshore by the afternoon. There is a small chance (10-20%) for showers this afternoon. The weak to moderate flow will become southerly again tonight, before going back to being onshore by the afternoon. Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected to continue through the end of the work week, with more moderate flow developing Sunday. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Sunday and continue through the middle of next week. There is high uncertainty on the wind and wave forecast as Hurricane Beryl moves into the Bay of Campeche, but increased wave heights and long period swell are possible late this weekend and early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 94 80 95 79 / 10 10 10 0 Victoria 95 78 96 76 / 10 0 10 0 Laredo 101 78 102 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 98 77 99 76 / 10 0 10 0 Rockport 94 83 94 82 / 10 10 10 0 Cotulla 102 78 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 96 78 97 77 / 10 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 91 83 92 82 / 10 10 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 323 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Key Messages:
- Moderate to Major risk of heat-related impacts today and Thursday
The longwave trough at 500 mb in the center of the country will begin to set the stage for what is to come in the long term forecast section. In the short term however, the 500 mb ridge over the southern tier of states still holds sway as far as the temperatures and precipitation are concerned. Temperatures today are expected to be a couple of degrees warmer than yesterday's highs, which ranged from 89° to 102°F at the ASOS locations. The humidity is also expected to be about the same as yesterday with the PWAT values ranging from 1.50" to 2.0". So the heat indices look to be the same ranging from 100 to 111° again. So the heat risk looks to be minor to moderate again. Thursday, looks to be a little warmer by a couple of degrees, so think that the moderate to major risk of heat impacts is appropriate as the heat indices rise so that we have a large swath of 110 to 114° that includes most of the Brush Country, that southern portion of the Coastal Bend, and a bit of the Victoria Crossroads. The Rio Grande Plains look to remain about 105 to 110.
For the precipitation, this afternoon, as noted the humidity increases, as we push in more 2.0" PWAT values before they fall again tonight, and remain around 1.50" on Thursday. The added moisture today will make for the very small chance (10-20%) for showers, mainly along the Coastal Bend. Otherwise, most of the region should remain rain free. Thursday, with the drying from the sfc high over the region, the weather over the entire forecast area should remain rain free.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Key Messages:
- High uncertainty late this week into this weekend depending on the track and impacts of Major Hurricane Beryl
The ridge that has held strong across the area will finally begin to shift to the east as a trough moves across the Plains. Temperatures will begin to drop a couple of degrees each day through the weekend, with highs in the 90s along the coast to around 100 over the Brush Country Sunday. Temperatures will continue to slowly drop through the middle of the week, though the influx of deep tropical moisture will keep heat index values in the 105-109 range across the area through the middle of the week.
We'll start our weekend mainly dry, but things get very tricky as Hurricane Beryl makes its way west. High uncertainty remains with both the track and intensity of Beryl. Model guidance has been fairly consistent with low rain chances on Sunday, so confidence is moderate to high with the PoP forecast for Saturday through Sunday night. As Beryl approaches, the outer rain bands could reach South Texas as early as Monday. Rain chances increase to moderate by Tuesday. WPC has introduced a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall for Tuesday and Tuesday night. Remember, with the forecast uncertainty, convection could start a bit earlier or later: this is highly dependent on the forecast track. Currently, NHC is leaning toward the more southerly solution hinted at by most of the guidance, which would keep landfall near the Texas/Mexico border, but there are a fair share of models that will bring Beryl up into the Middle Texas coast. We'll keep watching.
We know that we have not really addressed the question of winds. The official forecast track indicates Beryl will move into an area with higher shear and will move across the Yucatan. These will both serve to weaken Beryl, with the current forecast indicating a weakening to a tropical storm. Once again, the uncertainty makes this difficult as Beryl is likely to move over water long enough to restrengthen into a hurricane before landfall. How much will Beryl strengthen? We just don't know at this point. We'll keep watching for this, too.
One of the only certainties with Beryl is that, as it moves into the southwest Gulf of Mexico, it will bring increased swell to our area.
This is likely to result in an increased risk of dangerous rip currents, high surf, and minor coastal flooding.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
VFR CIGs are expected to prevail through a majority of the TAF period. Overnight into early Monday morning, brief periods of MVFR CIGs and/or VSBYs will be possible due to patchy fog from ALI to VCT. Light winds expected most of the night becoming south to southeast by Wednesday afternoon, with gusts around 20 knots.
MARINE
Issued at 314 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Expect weak to moderate southerly flow this morning, with winds becoming onshore by the afternoon. There is a small chance (10-20%) for showers this afternoon. The weak to moderate flow will become southerly again tonight, before going back to being onshore by the afternoon. Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected to continue through the end of the work week, with more moderate flow developing Sunday. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Sunday and continue through the middle of next week. There is high uncertainty on the wind and wave forecast as Hurricane Beryl moves into the Bay of Campeche, but increased wave heights and long period swell are possible late this weekend and early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 94 80 95 79 / 10 10 10 0 Victoria 95 78 96 76 / 10 0 10 0 Laredo 101 78 102 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 98 77 99 76 / 10 0 10 0 Rockport 94 83 94 82 / 10 10 10 0 Cotulla 102 78 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 96 78 97 77 / 10 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 91 83 92 82 / 10 10 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRAS MUSTANG BEACH,TX | 2 sm | 29 min | S 11G15 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 84°F | 77°F | 79% | 29.93 | |
| KNGP CORPUS CHRISTI NAS/TRUAX FIELD,TX | 16 sm | 28 min | SSW 06 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 29.91 | ||||
| KRKP ARANSAS CO,TX | 17 sm | 31 min | S 05 | 9 sm | Clear | 84°F | 75°F | 74% | 29.91 | |
| KCRP CORPUS CHRISTI INTL,TX | 23 sm | 33 min | S 06 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 79°F | 75°F | 89% | 29.91 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRAS
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRAS
toggle option: (graph/table)
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRAS
Wind History graph: RAS
(wind in knots)Aransas Channel
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT 1.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:48 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:46 PM CDT -0.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT 1.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:48 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:46 PM CDT -0.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Aransas Channel, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.2 |
| 2 am |
| 1.5 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.5 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:28 AM CDT 2.34 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:01 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:48 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:57 PM CDT -2.47 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:28 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:11 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:28 AM CDT 2.34 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:01 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:48 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:57 PM CDT -2.47 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:28 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| 1.2 |
| 2 am |
| 1.8 |
| 3 am |
| 2.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2.3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 2.2 |
| 7 am |
| 2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -2.4 |
| 7 pm |
| -2.5 |
| 8 pm |
| -2.4 |
| 9 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 11 pm |
| -1 |
Corpus Christi, TX,
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