Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 2:00 AM   Moonset 2:29 PM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 225 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
.small craft exercise caution this morning - .
Today - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots early this afternoon, then becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Tonight - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds and north 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Sunday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northwest 1 foot at 2 seconds and east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds, becoming northwest 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 225 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will remain north of the area through the weekend with occasionally gusty easterly winds and elevated seas especially during the evening into overnight easterly surges with exercise caution headlines. High pressure weakens next week with winds and seas subsiding and the afternoon seabreeze returning.

FXUS62 KTBW 010624 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 224 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Upper ridging that has been over the region is weakening as an upper shortwave moves through the MS River Valley today then moves over the FL Peninsula Sunday before moving into the W Atlantic early next week.

At the surface, high pressure centered over the Mid Atlantic states this morning will move into the W Atlantic by Sunday but the moderately tight pressure gradient will keep the occasionally gusty conditions in place with hot and mainly dry conditions today. With upper ridging and subsidence today expect fairly low rain chances limited to SW FL coastal areas with late afternoon seabreeze pinned to the coast. Rain chances increase areawide Sunday with additional upper energy associated with the upper trough moving overhead.

Next week moisture is expected to increase as Bermuda high pressure weakens and remains over the area with daytime heating and scattered seabreeze convection daily. Increased humidity will also bring higher heat index values to the area but this is normal for early June in FL.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
VFR conditions expected most terminals today with occasionally gusty easterly winds then trying to seabreeze pinned to the coast late this afternoon. Diurnal seabreeze towering cumulus and mainly ISOLD TSRA possible in SW FL late this afternoon into evening hrs but with lower confidence have left mention and flight restrictions out at this time.

MARINE
High pressure will remain north of the area through the weekend with occasionally gusty easterly winds and elevated seas especially during the evening into overnight easterly surges with exercise caution headlines. High pressure weakens next week with winds and seas subsiding and the afternoon seabreeze returning.

FIRE WEATHER
High pressure will remain north of the area through the weekend with occasionally gusty easterly winds, high dispersion values, hot temperatures and marginally low afternoon RH values. Isolated to scattered afternoon into evening showers and thunderstorm will be possible daily as well. Winds lighten early next week with the afternoon seabreeze returning as well.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 93 74 92 75 / 20 20 40 20 FMY 94 73 94 73 / 30 20 70 40 GIF 91 70 92 71 / 10 10 40 20 SRQ 94 73 95 73 / 20 20 40 30 BKV 92 65 94 67 / 10 10 30 20 SPG 91 77 92 77 / 20 20 40 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Mullet Key Channel (Skyway), Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
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Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT     -1.02 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:32 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:11 AM EDT     1.40 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:25 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:34 PM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:15 PM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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