Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM Moonrise 2:00 AM   Moonset 2:30 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 831 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Rest of tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms early this evening, then isolated showers and Thunderstorms late this evening. Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Scattered showers, mainly in the evening. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Scattered showers, mainly in the evening. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 831 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis - Increase in easterly winds overnight expected to prompt cautionary level conditions into Saturday morning before diminishing, with the evening and overnight trend for easterly surges again expected for Saturday night into Sunday. For next week winds tend to stay light and variable each night before increasing around 10 knots out of the east in the afternoon and evening hours.

FXUS62 KTBW 010026 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 826 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 825 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Current forecast remains on track requiring no changes. A few early evening showers and storms remain out there, mainly near and to the west of the Tampa Bay area, as well as near Charlotte Harbor and areas just offshore south of Sanibel in Lee County.
Despite some activity still developing, overall waning trend should set in by late evening with partly cloudy skies overnight. Trends favor slightly drier and cooler conditions for Saturday, with highs mainly in the lower to mid 90s and highest rain chances confined primarily to SWFL.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 257 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Conditions look very similiar to yesterday with it being dry and hot through the afternoon hours with some possible showers and storms mainly in Southwest. The focus of showers and storms in SW Florida is due to slight higher PWs in the area.

Drier air will start to settle into the area tomorrow which will keep the majority of the forecast area dry but an isolated shower or two can't be ruled out. Even though we will be drier a strong easterly wind will help to keep temperatures slightly cool with inland areas actually a few degrees cooler then areas along the coast.

By Sunday and into next week moisture will increase and this will help to increase shower chance. Even though we might all see some kind of shower activity as we go through next week we are not expecting any widespread activity which means the drought conditions are expected to stick around.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 739 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Early evening convection potentially impacting TPA/PIE and PGD with brief restrictions possible will give way to VFR through the remainder of the period. Easterly winds likely, 5-10 knots through late morning then increasing to 10-15 knots with higher gusts through the afternoon before diminishing during the evening.

MARINE
Issued at 257 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Winds are expected to increase overnight out of the east which will give us some exercise caution in the Gulf. These winds will start to calm down slightly but continue to stay out of the east for our Saturday. Once again winds will pick up Saturday night into Sunday morning with exercise caution expected once again before calming down Sunday afternoon. For next week wind tend to stay light and variable each night before increasing around 10 knots out of the east in the afternoon and evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 257 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Drier air continues to stick around every afternoon through the weekend and early next week. However, we should stay above critical RH levels and expected isolated shower and thunderstorm activity each afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 73 93 74 92 / 20 20 10 40 FMY 71 94 73 94 / 40 30 20 70 GIF 70 91 70 92 / 10 10 0 40 SRQ 70 94 73 95 / 40 20 20 40 BKV 66 92 65 94 / 10 10 10 30 SPG 76 91 77 92 / 30 20 20 40

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Johns Pass
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Fri -- 01:27 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     1.76 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:57 PM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:22 PM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Johns Pass, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:19 AM EDT     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EDT     1.44 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:50 PM EDT     -0.82 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:51 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.76 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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