Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM Moonrise 12:05 PM   Moonset 12:19 AM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 831 Pm Edt Wed Jun 12 2024
Overnight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers early this evening, then a chance of showers. Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 831 Pm Edt Wed Jun 12 2024
Synopsis -
most of the activity has dissipated, however, showers and Thunderstorms return overnight/early morning and continue to develop across coastal waters through the period, with hazardous winds and seas in the vicinity. Otherwise, a W to wsw flow prevails until the weekend.

FXUS62 KTBW 130027 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 827 PM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 819 PM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Most of the convection has seamer down across the CWA with only a few storms left over the interior. This trend should continue over the next few hours, but model guidance bring back showers and storms overnight and into the early morning hours. Then, chances continue to increase throughout the day with showers moving across on/off with a few breaks in between. An additional 2-3 inches of rain is anticipated on Thursday, especially in portions SWFL. In terms of temperatures, it should be similar to today with upper 80s south and low to mid 90s elsewhere.

A few adjustments to the POPs were made, otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 722 PM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

A difficult forecast with lots of uncertainty around the timing and reformation of showers and storms across terminals. Most of the convection is now inland and south with only a few storms developing along weak outflow boundaries, which should dissipate over the next few hours. Some activity is expected to develop later tonight and into the early morning hours of Thursday, perhaps continuing on and off through the day. Intermittent MVFR to IFR conditions are anticipated during this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 78 90 78 89 / 50 60 50 90 FMY 76 87 76 87 / 60 90 80 100 GIF 76 89 75 90 / 50 70 50 90 SRQ 77 89 76 89 / 70 80 70 90 BKV 72 92 72 92 / 40 60 60 80 SPG 80 89 80 90 / 60 60 60 90

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT Thursday for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Flood Watch through Thursday evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee- Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.

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Anna Maria Key
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Thu -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:04 AM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:28 AM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:21 PM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Anna Maria Key, city pier, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
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Thu -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:40 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:04 AM EDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:21 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:17 PM EDT     -0.28 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:19 PM EDT     0.52 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:46 PM EDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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