Sunrise 6:24 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 2:23 AM   Moonset 3:22 PM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E ne 2 ft at 5 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Mon night - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Tue - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: N ne 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely in the morning. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely through the night. A slight chance of tstms after midnight. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds and N nw 1 foot at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night and Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming sw in the morning. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri - Along the coast, sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, W sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri night - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W sw 5 to 10 kt in the morning. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis -
building high pressure north of the area will result in east- northeast winds, with fresh breezes persisting through much of the weekend. Hazardous conditions may impact the gulf stream waters due to elevated winds and building seas. Quick-moving showers and isolated Thunderstorms may also develop, resulting in locally enhanced winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards - Elevated winds and seas near Thunderstorms.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 01, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMLB 021902 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 302 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Rest of Today-Monday...Scattered showers have developed along the sea breeze as it moves inland across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County early this afternoon. This activity is forecast to continue inland, with a collision with the west coast sea breeze occurring over the western half of the peninsula. CAMs continue to show showers and storms then drifting back towards the coast Treasure and southern Space Coasts along westerly mid to upper level flow late this evening into the overnight hours. The highest PoPs are forecast in this area (30-50%) with areas to the north (20-30%) having a lower chance for activity. The main threats with any storms will be gusty winds and lightning strikes.
Light onshore flow overnight will keep low temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s early Monday morning.

As the ridge drifts farther into the western Atlantic, the ridge axis will settle in over north Florida, maintaining onshore flow through the day. Winds will continue to diminish, but the east coast sea breeze developing in the late morning and early afternoon will enhance winds to around 10-15mph, with gusts to around 20mph along the coast. Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue, with PoPs 30-40%. The highest chances look to be across the interior in the afternoon, which will be closest to the sea breeze collision over the western half of the peninsula. The warming trend continues, with highs forecast to reach the upper 80s along the coast and lower 90s inland. Increased moisture will allow for heat indices to creep into the upper 90s inland from the Treasure Coast and in Okeechobee County.

Tuesday-Saturday...(modified previous) The ridge axis drifts from north Florida to south FL through the period, as a weak frontal boundary pushes into the deep South, supported by a deep upper cut- off low rotating into the Great Lakes. Moisture looks fairly limited so the daily 30-50% PoPs may be a bit generous. Have more confidence that max temperatures will continue a warming trend with highs reaching mid 90s Tue thru the end of the week. These low to mid 90s will spread to the east coast by late week as the sea breeze onset gets more and more delayed. This will also shift the daily sea breeze collisions to our (east) side of the peninsula. Provided there is sufficient moisture, scattered sea breeze storms may result but residual mid level dry air may produce strong storms, accompanied by gusty winds and of course lightning strikes which could spark add'l brush fires. This is the typical story as we transition to the wet season. Heat Risk will become a concern once again late this week with peak heat indices reaching 100-105 Thu-Fri and 102-107 on Sat.

MARINE
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure will drift farther into the western Atlantic through mid-week, with the ridge axis forecast to extend towards the Florida peninsula through late week. A weak cool front is forecast to approach the area Friday into Friday night, though this feature will likely stall before making it to east central Florida. Thus, boating conditions will continue to improve into Monday, with onshore flow remaining under 15kts through Wednesday.
By Thursday, winds veer southeasterly, as the ridge axis moves southward, with winds then veering southerly on Friday. Seas 3-4ft tonight becoming 2-3ft through the remainder of the period. Daily shower and thunderstorm chances are forecast, with some activity pushing offshore in the evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure influence will persist into mid week, maintaining sensitive fire weather conditions. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms this afternoon, mainly south and west of Orlando. Onshore flow will aid the east coast sea breeze, keeping the collision on the west side of the peninsula. Breezy conditions behind the sea breeze, with gusts up to around 20 to 25mph behind it. Sensitive fire weather conditions persist due to min RH between 40-45% over the interior. Very good to excellent dispersion expected.

Daily shower and thunderstorm chances through mid week, as a high temperatures gradually warm each day, becoming near 90 along the coast and lower 90s inland. Onshore flow will continue, enhanced each day by the sea breeze. Min RH values remaining around 45% over the interior, with higher min RH towards the coast. Good to very good dispersion each afternoon.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Dense cu layer has developed across the entire area this afternoon with a eastward-moving cirrus deck over northern terminals. Isolated showers have developed on the northern and eastern shores of Lake Okeechobee towards KFPR/KSUA, which will be the focus for any organized activity through the afternoon. Confidence is not high enough to include any TEMPO groups with this package, but may need addition beyond 20Z for VRB/FPR/SUA. Activity along the west coast sea breeze will push inland over the next few hours, but including only vicinity mentions for interior terminals. East winds up of 10- 15 knots gusting above 20 knots at coastal sites through 00Z, with winds diminishing overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 71 88 / 20 30 10 30 MCO 71 90 71 92 / 20 40 10 40 MLB 73 87 73 88 / 30 40 20 40 VRB 71 88 71 89 / 40 40 20 40 LEE 72 91 71 93 / 20 50 20 40 SFB 71 90 71 92 / 20 40 10 40 ORL 72 91 72 92 / 20 40 10 40 FPR 71 87 70 88 / 40 40 20 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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A1A highway bridge
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Sun -- 12:02 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:05 AM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:26 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:51 PM EDT     2.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

A1A highway bridge, Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

Hobe Sound
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Sun -- 01:20 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:47 AM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:44 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hobe Sound, Jupiter Island, Florida, Tide feet

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