Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Whites Landing, OH
June 14, 2024 12:54 AM EDT (04:54 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:54 AM Sunset 9:07 PM Moonrise 12:56 PM Moonset 12:53 AM |
LEZ143 Expires:202406140815;;975886 Fzus51 Kcle 140201 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-140815- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
Rest of tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers with isolated Thunderstorms late this evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 65 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-140815- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 1001 pm edt Thu jun 13 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 65 degrees.
LEZ100
No data
No data
FXUS61 KCLE 140147 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 947 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
SYNOPSIS
A ridge exits generally eastward before a cold front sweeps southeastward through our region during the predawn through mid-morning hours of Friday. Behind the front, a ridge builds from the Upper Midwest through Saturday before it begins to exit slowly toward New England on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Rain is showing a diminishing trend as it moves east this evening. As the shortwave passes to the north, the moisture axis is becoming oriented to the south where convection is ongoing across Indiana into west central Ohio. The threat of severe weather has ended with little to no instability remaining.
The cold front to our north is expected to settle south of Lake Erie by 4-5 AM with some weak instability returning. Forcing along the front looks weak and think it is more likely that showers and thunderstorms hold off until daytime heating leads to some destabilization by 14 or 15Z.
Previous discussion... Aloft, W'erly flow and embedded shortwave disturbances affect our region through Friday afternoon. Flow veers to NW'erly Friday evening with the passage of a stronger shortwave disturbance and as a subsequent ridge builds from the central U.S. and vicinity. At the surface, a ridge exits generally E'ward before a cold front sweeps generally SE'ward through our region during the predawn through mid-morning hours of Friday. Behind the front, a ridge builds from the Upper Midwest and vicinity through daybreak Saturday.
Tonight's lows are expected to reach the 60's around daybreak Friday. On Friday, low-level CAA behind the front will contribute to cooler late afternoon highs. Readings are expected to reach the lower to mid 70's in NW PA and mainly the mid 70's to mid 80's in northern OH. The warmest highs are expected in our I-75 corridor counties. Friday night's lows are forecast to reach mainly the 50's around daybreak as continued low-level cold/dry air advection and considerable clearing accompanying the building ridge contribute to efficient radiational cooling.
Primarily fair weather is expected during the near-term period due to stabilizing subsidence accompanying the pre-front and post-front ridging. However, upstream showers/thunderstorms initiating along a pre-front surface trough may overspread our I-75 corridor counties, Lake Erie, and vicinity this evening, especially after sunset. Additional isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected along the surface cold front and along the upper-reaches of the front. The frontal convection should exit gradually E'ward or SE'ward between roughly daybreak and early evening on Friday. However, a few showers/thunderstorms associated with low-level convergence/moist ascent along the prominent shortwave trough's attendant surface trough axis may enter NW OH from the northwest Friday evening before dissipating around sunset as the boundary layer stabilizes via nocturnal cooling. Showers/thunderstorms are expected to be organized given the expectation of weak to moderate instability, including elevated CAPE, amidst moderate to strong deep layer bulk shear.
Weak mid-level lapse rates and development/growth of DCIN associated with nocturnal cooling-related boundary layer stabilization should contribute to very limited potential for severe thunderstorms through Friday morning. However, during Friday afternoon through early evening, a few thunderstorms may become severe with damaging convective wind gusts, especially roughly along/south of the U.S. 30 corridor, where greater low- level moisture should yield greater MUCAPE and sufficient diurnal convective mixing of the boundary layer should yield moderate to strong DCAPE and weak or no DCIN amidst steep low-level lapse rates.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
A dominant upper level ridge will begin to push east across the region on Saturday. This will produce a large area of subsidence over the region, allowing for dry conditions to persist. The bigger story over the weekend and into next week will be the rising temperatures. Behind the departing cold front from Friday night, temperatures on Saturday will only climb into the mid 70s along and east of I71 and possible touch 80 west of I71. With dewpoints lingering in the mid 40s to low 50s, the weather will feel pleasant.
Saturday night will cool into the mid to upper 50s. On Sunday, as WAA increasing, temperatures will climb into the mid 80s to low 90s, but again with dewpoints in the low 50s the apparent temperature will feel close to the actual temperature. Overnight lows will be warmer Sunday night, only falling into the mid to upper 60s, possibly not dropping below 70 in some locations.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
On Monday, a shortwave trough is expected to move along the northern edge of the ridge becoming established over the eastern US. With south-southwesterly flow expected to establish both WAA and increased moisture advection across the area, cannot rule out a few afternoon thunderstorms developing when instability is at its greatest, especially across the northern counties. Confidence in this is low, especially if the vort max shifts further north and limits upper level support. For the remainder of the period, there is a non-zero chance of isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but given the non-favorable synoptic pattern, not expecting anything widespread.
The biggest story through the long term period will be the rising temperatures to well above normal for this time of year. Monday temperatures will start in the low to mid 90s everywhere and will persist through Thursday. With dewpoints expected to linger in the 60s, possibly reaching into the 70s at times, the conditions outside will be quite muggy and the apparent temperature values will approach 100 degrees, especially across western counties. Important to note that the forecast reflects a bit warmer of a trend than some long range models to try and account for the very dry antecedent conditions at the surface and the impacts that will have on overall temperatures. As a result of these conditions, the NWS HeatRisk tool has ranked the impact from these temperatures as major to extreme, noting that people will be affected without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration and that there will be little relief overnight as temperatures linger in the 70s. The greatest impacts will be felt in some health systems, heat-sensitive industries,and infrastructure.
Please remain updated with the latest forecast and prepare for the hot conditions in advance.
AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
A mid level cloud deck will expand across the area this evening with light rain and isolated thunderstorms ongoing near TOL at 00Z. This rain is expected to decrease in coverage as it encounters drier and more stable air to the south and east.
There is a low 20-30 percent chance of a few showers and thunderstorms developing east of Lake Erie this evening through approximately 02Z. Otherwise the next round of precipitation is expected to occur after 08Z when a cold front settles south across the area. Eastern terminals could see a few showers and can not rule out a thunderstorm through 14Z but confidence in thunderstorms during the pre-dawn hours is not high enough to include in the TAFs at this time. Better chances of thunderstorms will be focused from CAK south during the midday period (15-19Z) where some instability will develop before the front pushes south on Friday. Ceilings will primarily be VFR but MVFR is possible at mainly the inland terminals between 11-15Z.
IFR visibilites will be possible in thunderstorms on Friday.
Wind gusts will drop off shortly after 00Z this evening.
Southwest winds will veer to northwesterly and eventually north/northeast behind the frontal passage overnight into Friday morning.
Outlook...VFR through this Tuesday.
MARINE
Low pressure currently centered over Lake Superior will drag a cold front east across Lake Erie tonight. Showers and thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the boundary. In addition, winds ahead of the cold front will remain from the southwest at 10-15 knots before shifting to north-northwest flow by Friday morning and weakening to 5-10 knots. This shift to northerly flow will result in waves up to 2 feet along the coast of Lake Erie. As a dominant upper level ridge and associated high pressure shift over the region, winds will shift out of the east-northeast at 5-10 knots for Saturday and Sunday. Offshore flow of 5-10 knots becomes established Sunday night and looks to persist for much of next week as the aforementioned ridge remains in place.
CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected next week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.
Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 947 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
SYNOPSIS
A ridge exits generally eastward before a cold front sweeps southeastward through our region during the predawn through mid-morning hours of Friday. Behind the front, a ridge builds from the Upper Midwest through Saturday before it begins to exit slowly toward New England on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Rain is showing a diminishing trend as it moves east this evening. As the shortwave passes to the north, the moisture axis is becoming oriented to the south where convection is ongoing across Indiana into west central Ohio. The threat of severe weather has ended with little to no instability remaining.
The cold front to our north is expected to settle south of Lake Erie by 4-5 AM with some weak instability returning. Forcing along the front looks weak and think it is more likely that showers and thunderstorms hold off until daytime heating leads to some destabilization by 14 or 15Z.
Previous discussion... Aloft, W'erly flow and embedded shortwave disturbances affect our region through Friday afternoon. Flow veers to NW'erly Friday evening with the passage of a stronger shortwave disturbance and as a subsequent ridge builds from the central U.S. and vicinity. At the surface, a ridge exits generally E'ward before a cold front sweeps generally SE'ward through our region during the predawn through mid-morning hours of Friday. Behind the front, a ridge builds from the Upper Midwest and vicinity through daybreak Saturday.
Tonight's lows are expected to reach the 60's around daybreak Friday. On Friday, low-level CAA behind the front will contribute to cooler late afternoon highs. Readings are expected to reach the lower to mid 70's in NW PA and mainly the mid 70's to mid 80's in northern OH. The warmest highs are expected in our I-75 corridor counties. Friday night's lows are forecast to reach mainly the 50's around daybreak as continued low-level cold/dry air advection and considerable clearing accompanying the building ridge contribute to efficient radiational cooling.
Primarily fair weather is expected during the near-term period due to stabilizing subsidence accompanying the pre-front and post-front ridging. However, upstream showers/thunderstorms initiating along a pre-front surface trough may overspread our I-75 corridor counties, Lake Erie, and vicinity this evening, especially after sunset. Additional isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected along the surface cold front and along the upper-reaches of the front. The frontal convection should exit gradually E'ward or SE'ward between roughly daybreak and early evening on Friday. However, a few showers/thunderstorms associated with low-level convergence/moist ascent along the prominent shortwave trough's attendant surface trough axis may enter NW OH from the northwest Friday evening before dissipating around sunset as the boundary layer stabilizes via nocturnal cooling. Showers/thunderstorms are expected to be organized given the expectation of weak to moderate instability, including elevated CAPE, amidst moderate to strong deep layer bulk shear.
Weak mid-level lapse rates and development/growth of DCIN associated with nocturnal cooling-related boundary layer stabilization should contribute to very limited potential for severe thunderstorms through Friday morning. However, during Friday afternoon through early evening, a few thunderstorms may become severe with damaging convective wind gusts, especially roughly along/south of the U.S. 30 corridor, where greater low- level moisture should yield greater MUCAPE and sufficient diurnal convective mixing of the boundary layer should yield moderate to strong DCAPE and weak or no DCIN amidst steep low-level lapse rates.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
A dominant upper level ridge will begin to push east across the region on Saturday. This will produce a large area of subsidence over the region, allowing for dry conditions to persist. The bigger story over the weekend and into next week will be the rising temperatures. Behind the departing cold front from Friday night, temperatures on Saturday will only climb into the mid 70s along and east of I71 and possible touch 80 west of I71. With dewpoints lingering in the mid 40s to low 50s, the weather will feel pleasant.
Saturday night will cool into the mid to upper 50s. On Sunday, as WAA increasing, temperatures will climb into the mid 80s to low 90s, but again with dewpoints in the low 50s the apparent temperature will feel close to the actual temperature. Overnight lows will be warmer Sunday night, only falling into the mid to upper 60s, possibly not dropping below 70 in some locations.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
On Monday, a shortwave trough is expected to move along the northern edge of the ridge becoming established over the eastern US. With south-southwesterly flow expected to establish both WAA and increased moisture advection across the area, cannot rule out a few afternoon thunderstorms developing when instability is at its greatest, especially across the northern counties. Confidence in this is low, especially if the vort max shifts further north and limits upper level support. For the remainder of the period, there is a non-zero chance of isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but given the non-favorable synoptic pattern, not expecting anything widespread.
The biggest story through the long term period will be the rising temperatures to well above normal for this time of year. Monday temperatures will start in the low to mid 90s everywhere and will persist through Thursday. With dewpoints expected to linger in the 60s, possibly reaching into the 70s at times, the conditions outside will be quite muggy and the apparent temperature values will approach 100 degrees, especially across western counties. Important to note that the forecast reflects a bit warmer of a trend than some long range models to try and account for the very dry antecedent conditions at the surface and the impacts that will have on overall temperatures. As a result of these conditions, the NWS HeatRisk tool has ranked the impact from these temperatures as major to extreme, noting that people will be affected without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration and that there will be little relief overnight as temperatures linger in the 70s. The greatest impacts will be felt in some health systems, heat-sensitive industries,and infrastructure.
Please remain updated with the latest forecast and prepare for the hot conditions in advance.
AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
A mid level cloud deck will expand across the area this evening with light rain and isolated thunderstorms ongoing near TOL at 00Z. This rain is expected to decrease in coverage as it encounters drier and more stable air to the south and east.
There is a low 20-30 percent chance of a few showers and thunderstorms developing east of Lake Erie this evening through approximately 02Z. Otherwise the next round of precipitation is expected to occur after 08Z when a cold front settles south across the area. Eastern terminals could see a few showers and can not rule out a thunderstorm through 14Z but confidence in thunderstorms during the pre-dawn hours is not high enough to include in the TAFs at this time. Better chances of thunderstorms will be focused from CAK south during the midday period (15-19Z) where some instability will develop before the front pushes south on Friday. Ceilings will primarily be VFR but MVFR is possible at mainly the inland terminals between 11-15Z.
IFR visibilites will be possible in thunderstorms on Friday.
Wind gusts will drop off shortly after 00Z this evening.
Southwest winds will veer to northwesterly and eventually north/northeast behind the frontal passage overnight into Friday morning.
Outlook...VFR through this Tuesday.
MARINE
Low pressure currently centered over Lake Superior will drag a cold front east across Lake Erie tonight. Showers and thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the boundary. In addition, winds ahead of the cold front will remain from the southwest at 10-15 knots before shifting to north-northwest flow by Friday morning and weakening to 5-10 knots. This shift to northerly flow will result in waves up to 2 feet along the coast of Lake Erie. As a dominant upper level ridge and associated high pressure shift over the region, winds will shift out of the east-northeast at 5-10 knots for Saturday and Sunday. Offshore flow of 5-10 knots becomes established Sunday night and looks to persist for much of next week as the aforementioned ridge remains in place.
CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected next week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.
Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 45202 | 7 mi | 35 min | 7.8G | 73°F | 71°F | 1 ft | 29.85 | 65°F |
| CMPO1 | 10 mi | 85 min | SW 5.1G | 70°F | ||||
| MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH | 12 mi | 55 min | WSW 2.9G | 73°F | 70°F | 29.84 | 58°F | |
| 45201 | 13 mi | 35 min | 9.7G | 73°F | 71°F | 1 ft | 29.89 | 65°F |
| SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH | 14 mi | 55 min | SW 12G | 72°F | 29.85 | |||
| HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH | 19 mi | 55 min | WSW 8.9G | 73°F | 29.82 | |||
| 45203 | 21 mi | 35 min | W 7.8G | 73°F | 69°F | 1 ft | 64°F | |
| OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH | 21 mi | 70 min | 0 | 67°F | 29.86 | 64°F | ||
| 45165 | 27 mi | 45 min | SW 5.8G | 71°F | 70°F | 0 ft | ||
| OWMO1 | 27 mi | 55 min | WSW 4.1 | 73°F | 60°F | |||
| TWCO1 | 27 mi | 36 min | 5.1G | 70°F | 70°F | 66°F | ||
| THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH | 31 mi | 115 min | SSW 8.9G | 72°F | 29.84 | 65°F | ||
| 45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH | 32 mi | 45 min | SW 7.8G | 71°F | 68°F | 29.85 | 65°F | |
| 45200 | 32 mi | 45 min | 5.8G | 72°F | 71°F | 0 ft | 29.86 | 66°F |
| THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH | 35 mi | 55 min | WSW 6G | 71°F | 29.83 | 65°F | ||
| LORO1 | 38 mi | 65 min | WNW 2.9G | 74°F | ||||
| 45204 | 42 mi | 35 min | WSW 3.9G | 69°F | 1 ft |
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Cleveland, OH,
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