Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 8:32 PM Moonrise 11:29 PM   Moonset 10:15 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 843 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2024
Rest of tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late. Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening. Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 843 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2024
Synopsis - A light pressure gradient remains over the eastern gulf of mexico for the next few days. This is producing a light onshore flow with winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less through the end of the week. Daily showers and storms will be possible each day through the period.

FXUS62 KTBW 260043 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 843 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 840 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

No change to the existing forecast reasoning with no adjustments made for the evening update.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 227 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Florida is sitting in a neutral location with upper ridging south and west of Florida, while upper troughing persists north of the area. On the surface, high pressure ridges south of Florida and into the central Gulf of Mexico. This is producing a light predominant onshore westerly flow over the region. This pattern will continue through the end of the week. Slow moving showers and storms continue to fire up over the coastal region and eastern gulf waters. With a light onshore flow, these showers and storms will slowly move over the coastal region and further traverse inland through the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these slow moving showers and storms could produce some localized flooding in heavy downpours.

By Sunday morning, the Atlantic ridge will shift slightly northward, while high pressure remains in the central Gulf of Mexico. This will bring some south-southeast winds over the east coast, but light onshore winds will also be possible over the west coast and eastern gulf waters. Scattered showers and isolated storms will be possible each day through the period. Daytime highs will top out in the low to mid 90's and overnight lows in the 70's.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 750 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Similar reasoning as previous cycle - VFR expected to prevail outside of thunderstorms. Slight chance of a storm for the next hour or two before activity winds down for the evening. Continued W-SW flow will support morning into early afternoon convection again on Wednesday before shifting inland and east of terminals through the afternoon and into the evening. Light and variable to west winds overnight increase to westerly 7-10 knots during the morning, highest during afternoon, before diminishing during the evening.

MARINE
Issued at 227 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

A light pressure gradient remains over the eastern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. This is producing a light onshore flow with winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less through the end of the week. Daily showers and storms will be possible each day through the period.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 227 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Pretty typical summertime pattern continues over the area with abundant moisture, warm temperatures and light winds. Scattered showers and isolated storms expected each day through the end of the week and into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 80 91 80 90 / 30 30 40 50 FMY 77 90 78 91 / 20 50 20 40 GIF 75 92 75 93 / 30 30 30 60 SRQ 78 91 79 90 / 30 40 30 50 BKV 74 92 75 91 / 20 20 40 50 SPG 82 91 82 90 / 30 30 40 50

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Safety Harbor
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Tue -- 01:46 AM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:09 AM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT     1.82 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:08 PM EDT     3.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Safety Harbor, Old Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:46 AM EDT     1.19 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:31 AM EDT     -0.35 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 12:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:16 PM EDT     0.98 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:08 PM EDT     -1.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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