Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 2:41 PM   Moonset 1:40 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 406 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots late. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms this evening. Monday - East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - East winds around 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Wednesday night - East winds around 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Thursday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon. Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening. Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 406 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
Synopsis - Winds will become easterly Monday as a ridge of high pressure settles in from the northeast of florida. Winds will increase to exercise caution to advisory levels at times by late Monday and remain there through most of the week. Main hazard throughout the forecast period will be isolated to scattered Thunderstorms which may cause locally gusty winds and rough seas.

FXUS62 KTBW 161741 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 141 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

DISCUSSION
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Light ENE flow is in place across the area with the sea breeze trying to start up along the west coast. The east coast already has a few storms firing, and despite the lack of a Cu field currently across the central and southern zones, expect to see scattered to numerous showers and storms develop later this afternoon and continue into the evening as they push westward toward our coast.

Stronger high pressure will continue to build into the region over the next couple of days, with some drier air also moving over the state. This will bring stronger easterly flow, limiting any sea breeze development, as well as lowering rain chances more into the 30-40 percent range each afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland, to the lower to mid 90s near the coast. Lows in the 70s.

Wednesday night/Thursday is dependent on how the westward moving trough/upper low off the eastern FL coast evolves and moves.
Ridging should remain in place/return for the end of the week and into the weekend with scattered to numerous showers and storms possible each afternoon.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Easterly flow in place will turn onshore over the next hour or so as the sea breeze develops along the coast. Later afternoon and evening showers and storms will be possible across the terminals, generally 21-03Z, then conditions clearing and winds returning to a light ENE through 14Z Monday. VFR conditions prevail, but MVFR to IFR possible in storms.

MARINE
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Stronger high pressure will be building into the region for the first half of the week. This will bring a stronger easterly wind and some evening surges that will bring winds near SCEC levels for a few hours each night. Scattered later afternoon and evening showers and storms will also be pushing offshore from the diurnal convection each day. The end of the week will then be dependent on if the trough or area of low pressure develops off the east Florida coast and how that might evolve. Mariners should stay up to date of this potential system through the week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Some drier air is expected to move into the area for the first half of the week, but enough moisture should remain to keep minimum afternoon humidities above critical values and allow for some scattered afternoon storms each day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 93 77 93 / 40 20 10 30 FMY 76 92 77 92 / 30 30 10 40 GIF 75 91 75 91 / 30 20 10 30 SRQ 75 94 76 95 / 40 30 10 40 BKV 72 94 72 94 / 40 20 0 30 SPG 80 94 80 94 / 40 30 10 30

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 3

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Safety Harbor
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Sun -- 12:09 AM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:59 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:36 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Safety Harbor, Old Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:36 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:39 AM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:31 PM EDT     -0.97 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:10 PM EDT     0.73 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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