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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Captains Cove, VA

July 5, 2024 5:27 PM EDT (21:27 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 3:58 AM   Moonset 7:48 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 339 Pm Edt Fri Jul 5 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late Saturday night - .

Through 7 pm - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds.

Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 7 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds.

Sat - S winds 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds.

Sat night - S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.

Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of showers after midnight.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.

Mon night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

Tue night - S winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 339 Pm Edt Fri Jul 5 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a weakening cold front will approach from the northwest through Saturday, with south to southwest winds backing to the southeast in the afternoon and evening each day, along with mainly late afternoon and evening showers and storms possible. The front washes out across the waters on Sunday into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Captains Cove, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 052003 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 403 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure lingers offshore with building heat and humidity today and Saturday. Daily chances of mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms continue into next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 330 PM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Excessive Heat Warnings remain in effect through the evening for much of the area with Heat Advisories elsewhere.

- Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening storms are possible. Potential for a few storms in the piedmont to become severe.

- Temperatures remain very warm overnight.

High pressure continues to sit off the SE this afternoon while a weak stationary front is situated well the NW. Aloft, a ridge is in place from the Gulf coast to the Mid-Atlantic with a trough dipping into the upper Midwest. A moist airmass is in place, allowing dewpoints to climb into the upper 70s. Latest mesoscale analysis indicates PWs over 2" along the coast and 1.5-2" in the piedmont.
Temps have risen into the mid to upper 90s this afternoon.
Dangerously high heat indices are evident with latest obs, which show widespread values near 110 (a few sites have occasionally shown 112 even). Thus, the Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisories will continue into the evening. Latest radar shows convection initiating in SW VA with 1 or 2 small showers starting to show along the SW border of the FA. Not expecting widespread storms this evening, but will see scattered convection primarily through the NW half of the FA. CAMs continue to favor the late evening time period for the majority of precip. Areas W of the bay have 20-40% PoPs (highest in SW) through the rest of the afternoon, then PoPs increase to 40-55% for areas W of I-95 after sunset. Later tonight, may see isolated showers/storms along northern counties. There is a marginal risk for severe storms along the western tier of counties. While shear is not favorable, plentiful MLCAPE (1500-2000J/KG) and decent low level lapse rates will allow a chance for damaging wind gusts with stronger storms.

Scattered to broken cloud cover is expected to remain in place overnight, which will aid in keeping overnight temps rather warm.
Lows tonight will be in the upper 70s. A few locations along the coast may not even drop lower than 80F.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 400 PM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Very hot conditions continue into Saturday with heat indices of up to around 110F possible along portions of eastern Virginia and northeast North Carolina with 102-107F farther west and across the Eastern Shore. A Heat Advisory is in place for much of the forecast area.

- Scattered storms are possible Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Heavy rain will the main threat with stronger storms.

The upper ridge breaks down some by Saturday allowing the upper trough and a weakening cold front to approach from the NW.
Meanwhile, an upper level low lingers off the Southeast coast. Hot and humid weather continues for the FA, though not quite as hot as today. Highs will be in the mid 90s and dewpoints will stay in the mid-upper 70s for most of the area, low 70s for NW counties. Heat indices will rise to 105-108F for much of the area with perhaps a few locations near the coast reach 110F. Went ahead and issued a Heat Advisory for most of the FA, except for NW counties and the beaches. Ahead of the front, afternoon/evening storms with higher coverage than today are expected. Highest coverage is expected along the coast where PoPs will increase to 60-70% during the early evening hours with 30-55% elsewhere. With some stronger mid- level flow approaching from the NW, better storm organization may allow for some stronger storms. That being said, the more likely threat from showers/storms will be heavy rain given the very moist environments. PWs will once again be over 2". Thus, the WPC has placed SE portions of the area in a Slight Risk for Excessive Rain.
QPF tomorrow looks like widespread values under 0.5" with localized areas of 1-2". The cold front approaches the area but stalls, allowing for PoPs to continue overnight Sat night and into Sun with the highest PoPs across SE VA/NE NC. Showers/storms gradually move offshore Sun night. With the convection allowing for rain cooled air, lows Sat night will be cooler than tonight in the lower 70s W to mid 70s along the E of I-95. Highs Sun in the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows Sun night in the low-mid 70s expected. Heat indices will be cooler on Sun (95-100F).

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Friday...

Key Message:

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures and very humid conditions continue through next week.

- Remaining a bit unsettled with a chance for mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms each day.

Not as hot through the period, but high temps will still be slightly above normal ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s (most in the lower 90s). Humidity sticks around with dew points in the 70s continuing through the week. Additionally, with lee troughs and/or weak frontal boundaries in the vicinity of the region, expect chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers/storms each day. Best chance for relatively widespread showers/storms looks to be late in the week when low pressure potentially impacts the region. Heat indices will mainly range from the mid 90s to around 100s through the week. Warm and muggy nights continue as well with lows ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s.

AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 150 PM EDT Friday...

Scattered CU (VFR CIGs around 7000-10000 ft) have started building in from SW to NE this afternoon and will continue to expand across the region into the evening. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible this afternoon into this evening. Highest coverage in storms will likely be west of local terminals. Confidence in coverage is too low to go with more than VCSH/VCTS at RIC/SBY. Mostly cloudy skies move in tonight with MVFR (and potentially IFR) CIGs possible across portions of SE VA and NE NC as well as SBY.

A weakening and slow moving cold front settles into the region Saturday. This will bring a higher chance of afternoon/evening showers/storms. This front settles near the coast Sunday and washes out, with a remnant boundary lingering over the area Monday/Tuesday. Unsettled weather continues through the week with daily chances for showers/storms.

MARINE
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...

Late this aftn, winds were SSE 5-15 kt with gusts to 20-25 kt across the waters. Waves were 1-2 ft and seas were 3-4 ft.

SSE winds will increase to 10-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, as a cold front begins to slowly approach from the NW, tightening the gradient over the waters. Winds will first increase across the southern waters early this evening, with the higher gusts spreading north later through this evening. Latest local wind probs show the best potential for 25 kt gusts (70-80% chance)
out 20 nm, with lower probabilities closer to the coast. In addition to the wind, seas will also increase to around 5 feet this evening into tonight. SCAs remain in effect for the lower Ches Bay and Currituck Sound through this evening, and the srn two coastal zns into tonight. Have extended the SCA for the nrn three coastal zns into Sat night, due to 5 feet seas lingering.

Similar conditions are expected on Sat, with S winds again ramping up later Sat aftn into Sat night, mainly over the coastal waters. Lighter winds are then expected Sun into early next week, as the cold front dissipates over the local waters.

A moderate rip current risk is in place for all beaches through Sat.

CLIMATE
No record highs or record high mins were set today/July 4th.

Record High Temperatures Fri and Sat (July 5-6)

7/5 7/6 - RIC 102/2012 105/1977 - ORF 98/2012 102/1881 - SBY 102/2012 102/2010 - ECG 100/2012 99/2012

Record High Minimum Temperatures Through Sat (July 4-6)

7/5 7/6 - RIC 79/2012 80/2012 - ORF 80/1999 80/1999 - SBY 81/2012 77/2012 - ECG 77/2018 78/1999

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ021>024.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday for MDZ021>024.
NC...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ102.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday for NCZ012>017- 030>032.
Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ012>017-030>032.
VA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ048-060-061- 099-100-509-510.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Saturday for VAZ062- 064>069-075>090-092-093-095>098-511>525.
Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ062- 064>069-075>090-092-093-095>098-511>525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ632>634.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ650-652-654.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
44089 16 mi61 min 71°F3 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 29 mi57 minSSW 12G14 72°F 77°F29.78
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 30 mi57 minS 12G14 84°F 86°F29.81
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 38 mi57 minSSE 13G15 85°F 85°F29.80
44084 43 mi57 min 70°F 63°F3 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi57 minSE 9.9G11 29.85


Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 5 sm33 minS 16G228 smClear84°F75°F74%29.82


Tide / Current for Franklin City, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
   
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Franklin City
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Fri -- 04:47 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:02 AM EDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:15 PM EDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Franklin City, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.1
4
am
0
5
am
-0
6
am
0.1
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.1
4
pm
0
5
pm
0
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.8


Tide / Current for Harbor of Refuge, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
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Harbor of Refuge
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Fri -- 02:25 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:15 AM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:16 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT     3.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Harbor of Refuge, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
0.4
2
am
-0
3
am
0
4
am
0.4
5
am
1
6
am
1.7
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.5
9
am
2.4
10
am
2
11
am
1.4
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
2.8
8
pm
3.1
9
pm
3.1
10
pm
2.8
11
pm
2.1


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