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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Avalon, NJ

July 15, 2024 9:51 PM EDT (01:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 3:12 PM   Moonset 12:45 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ453 Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 928 Pm Edt Mon Jul 15 2024

Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds.

Tue night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 6 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 8 seconds. Tstms, showers.

Thu - W winds around 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 8 seconds. Showers and tstms likely.

Thu night - W winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.

Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Fri night - S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Sat night - S winds around 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 928 Pm Edt Mon Jul 15 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - A thermal trough will remain in place across the east coast through Wednesday as bermuda high pressure remains offshore. A cold front is expected to move across the mid atlantic states Wednesday night into Thursday, and likely stall to our south through the weekend. Weak high pressure may briefly build into the area Friday, before weakening Saturday into Sunday as a weakening cold front approaches from the north. High pressure may briefly build into the region early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avalon , NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 152317 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 717 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
A thermal trough will remain in place across the east coast through Wednesday as Bermuda high pressure remains offshore. A cold front is expected to move across the Mid Atlantic states Wednesday night into Thursday, and likely stall to our south through the weekend. Weak high pressure may briefly build into the area Friday, before weakening Saturday into Sunday as a weakening cold front approaches from the north. High pressure may briefly build into the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Some changes with this update, the severe threat has diminished and not expecting severe weather for the rest of today. A very strong QLCS with a history of significant damage will miss the area just to the north and showers/thunderstorms that were over the DC metro have fizzled out. With the loss of daytime heating, not expecting any significant redevelopment, though can't rule out a passing shower.

The excessively hot and humid stretch continues through Tuesday which is expected to be the hottest and most oppressive of this stretch. Highs will largely be in the upper 90s to near 100, most likely in the I-95 urban corridor with dew points remaining in the lower 70s, support peak heat indices of 105-110 degrees across much of the area. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories are up for essentially the entire region, with the exception of the Jersey Shore from Ocean County to Cape May. Whichever headline you have in place, the takeaway is this: it will be dangerously hot and humid Tuesday afternoon!

Additionally, the latest hi res guidance shows another shortwave trough pushing across the Mid Atlantic Tuesday afternoon, which will bring another round of thunderstorms across the region. The timing of the storms will be during the mid afternoon through early evening, a much more favorable timeframe for severe weather potential. With CAPE values at least over 1500 J/kg, sufficient shear, and steep low-level lapse rates, the atmosphere will be primed again for strong to severe thunderstorms with locally damaging wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning. Coverage overall is expected to be more widespread with this round as well thanks to the earlier onset time allowing storms to persist and develop across the Delaware Valley. A Slight Risk from the SPC is in place where the greatest severe thunderstorms risk is (north and west of the I-95 corridor) with a Marginal covering everywhere else.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Another hot and humid day is expected for much of the area on Wednesday as a thermal trough remains across the area with Bermuda high pressure offshore. We will upgrade the Excessive Heat Watch to a Warning for most of the area, with the exception of the Poconos and Sussex, NJ where a Heat Advisory will be extended. This will be a situation where portions of the area will not meet the exact criteria, i.e. the Poconos may not reach 100 Heat Index for the Heat Advisory, and the Lehigh Valley may not reach 105 Heat Index for the Heat Warning, but the Heat Index will be close and the impacts of the multi-day heat event could make it worse than usual.

In addition to the heat impacts Wednesday, we will also have a thunderstorm threat later in the day and into the evening. With the thermal trough in place, there will be strong instability with CAPE values 1000-2000+ J/kg, along with an approaching short wave/vorticity impulse, and decent shear with 30-40 knots, some storms could be strong to severe.

The front continues to slowly move across the area later Wednesday night into Thursday, before pushing south of the area later in the day Thursday. There will continue to be a chance of showers and thunderstorms through the night Wedensday into the first half of Thursday. While the main severe threat will diminish through the evening Wednesday, there will be a threat for heavy rain until the front passes to the south later in the day Thursday.

Dry conditions are expected to move into the area later in the day Thursday into Thursday night as PW values lower and high pressure builds to our west.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
High pressure is expected to briefly affect the area Friday into Friday night as high pressure builds into the region which will keep dry weather across the area. However, this will only be temporary as the high breaks down into Saturday and Saturday night, and moisture begins to increase across the area again, which could lead to a slight chance to chance of showers across the area. The shower chances will continue into Sunday as a weak frontal boundary is expected to move into the area from the north. By Monday, dry weather could return again as high pressure again briefly builds into the region.

AVIATION /23Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Took any mention of thunder out of the TAFs as any convection looks like it will miss all terminals. Should be VFR through the night with a light southwest flow around 5 kt or less. Moderate to high confidence.

Tuesday...VFR through most of the day though afternoon showers/thunderstorms possible. Model guidance has slowed with the progression of thunderstorms and only have thunder mentioned in the TAFs for KRDG/KABE and KPHL. Showers/thunderstorms look to get into the Lehigh Valley by 22z and the I-95 corridor around 23z-00z. Winds will be out of the southwest around 10 kt, with gusts around 20 kt. Moderate confidence in wind/prevailing VFR through most of the day, low confidence in where convection will develop.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...Mostly VFR. Chance of showers and thunderstorms which could temporarily lead to lower conditions.

Wednesday-Wednesday night...Mostly VFR. Showers and thunderstorms likely later in the day and into the evening which could temporarily lead to lower conditions.

Thursday-Thursday night...Mostly VFR. Chance of showers and thunderstorms which could temporarily lead to lower conditions.

Friday-Friday night...VFR conditions expected.

Saturday...Mostly VFR. Chance of showers and thunderstorms which could temporarily lead to lower conditions.

MARINE
Should be a mainly quiet night on the waters, though some patchy marine fog is possible. Will keep an eye on the waters to see if a Marine Dense Fog Advisory is needed, but will not issue one yet. Winds out of the southwest around 10-20 kt and seas around 3 feet.

Essentially another repeat Tuesday with conditions remaining generally below SCA criteria, but afternoon and evening thunderstorms could bring locally heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...Conditions likely remain below advisory levels, but will be close with winds gusting in the low 20s and seas around 4 feet.

Wednesday-Wednesday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible with wind gusts near 25 knots and seas near 5 feet.

Thursday-Saturday...Conditions drop below advisory levels early Thursday and remain below advisory levels through Saturday.

Friday...Conditions are expected to be below SCA criteria.

Rip Currents...

For Tuesday, south to southwest flow will average 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph are possible during the daytime hours. Wave heights will average 1 to 3 feet and a 5 to 7 second period.
Therefore, there is a MODERATE RISK for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents for the Jersey Shore in Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May counties, and a LOW risk for the Jersey Shore in Monmouth county and Delaware Beaches.

Late day showers and thunderstorms are possible, mainly for the Jersey Shore in Monmouth and Ocean counties.

For Wednesday, the south-southwest flow will increase to around 15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wave heights in the surf zone are again forecast to be around 1-3 feet with a 5-7 second period. Therefore, a MODERATE RISK for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents is again in place for the Jersey Shore in Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May counties, and a LOW risk for the Jersey Shore in Monmouth county and Delaware Beaches.

Some areas of fog at times will cause reduced visibility along the shoreline.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

CLIMATE
Georgetown and Reading tied their record highs today. Georgetown and Mount Pocono currently have tied their record warm lowest temperature. Will see if they get below that before midnight. Near record breaking temperatures are forecast from through Wednesday. Records for our climate sites are listed below.

Record Warmest Low Temperatures July 15 Site Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 79/1995 AC Airport (ACY) 78/1995 AC Marina (55N) 80/1995 Georgetown (GED) 75/2012 & 2016 Mount Pocono (MPO) 69/2013 Philadelphia (PHL) 81/1995 Reading (RDG) 79/1995 Trenton (TTN) 78/1995 Wilmington (ILG) 78/1995

Record High Temperatures July 16 Site Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 101/1988 AC Airport (ACY) 100/1983 AC Marina (55N) 100/1983 Georgetown (GED) 97/1953 & 1992 Mount Pocono (MPO) 93/1988 Philadelphia (PHL) 102/1988 Reading (RDG) 100/1900 Trenton (TTN) 102/1988 Wilmington (ILG) 100/1983

Record Warmest Temperatures July 16 Site Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 76/1983 AC Airport (ACY) 77/1983 AC Marina (55N) 80/2013 Georgetown (GED) 80/1955 Mount Pocono (MPO) 70/1955 Philadelphia (PHL) 80/2013 Reading (RDG) 78/1955 Trenton (TTN) 78/1983 Wilmington (ILG) 77/2013

Record High Temperatures July 17 Site Record/Year Allentown (ABE) 99/1999 AC Airport (ACY) 99/2012 AC Marina (55N) 95/1937 Georgetown (GED) 100/2019 Mount Pocono (MPO) 91/1999 Philadelphia (PHL) 102/1988 Reading (RDG) 102/1988 Trenton (TTN) 100/1988 Wilmington (ILG) 100/1988

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ060>062- 070-071-101>106.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for PAZ070-071- 101>106.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ054-055.
NJ...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ007>010- 012-013-015>020-027.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ008>010- 012>027.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ001-014-021>023.
DE...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ001>003.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001>004.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ004.
MD...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for MDZ012-015- 019-020.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for MDZ012-015- 019-020.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 15 mi52 minS 8G12 85°F 70°F29.84
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 22 mi52 minSW 14G15 84°F 29.84
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 24 mi52 min 73°F 61°F29.78
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 30 mi52 minSW 5.1G7 87°F 68°F29.85
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 33 mi82 minSSE 6 83°F 29.8681°F
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 36 mi52 minSSW 12G14 87°F 29.84
44084 43 mi52 min 80°F 66°F2 ft
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 45 mi42 minSSW 14G18 77°F 74°F29.8674°F


Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KWWD CAPE MAY COUNTY,NJ 11 sm55 minSSW 0810 smClear86°F73°F66%29.84


Tide / Current for Ingram Thorofare, Townsends Inlet, New Jersey
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Ingram Thorofare, Townsends Inlet, New Jersey, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Sluice Creek, Route 47 bridge, Dennis Creek, Delaware Bay, New Jersey
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Sluice Creek
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Mon -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:31 AM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:20 PM EDT     5.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sluice Creek, Route 47 bridge, Dennis Creek, Delaware Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
1.6
2
am
2.2
3
am
2.9
4
am
3.6
5
am
4.1
6
am
4.1
7
am
3.8
8
am
3.1
9
am
2.3
10
am
1.5
11
am
1
12
pm
1
1
pm
1.4
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
3
4
pm
3.9
5
pm
4.7
6
pm
5.1
7
pm
5
8
pm
4.5
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
2.6
11
pm
1.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Dover AFB, DE,




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