Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 1:30 AM   Moonset 2:01 PM

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GMZ552 Expires:202406011615;;230929 Fzus54 Klix 010323 Cwflix
coastal waters forecast national weather service new orleans la 1023 pm cdt Fri may 31 2024
pascagoula to atchafalaya river out to 60 nm
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz550-552-011615- coastal waters from port fourchon la to lower atchafalaya river la out 20 nm- coastal waters from the southwest pass of the mississippi river to port fourchon louisiana out 20 nm- 1023 pm cdt Fri may 31 2024
Overnight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Saturday - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Monday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Tuesday - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Tuesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the evening.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 1023 Pm Cdt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure will remain in place to the northeast through the weekend. This will result in continued south to southeast winds across the coastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage somewhat Saturday and Sunday. Any stronger Thunderstorms could produce gusts up to gales.

FXUS64 KLIX 010430 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1130 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Tonight through Saturday... Generally, a couple more upper level impulses will move through over the next couple of days. There is still a ton of model uncertainty in the timing of these storms. And in general, the models, especially the CAMs, are going to continue to struggle to pinpoint timing until storms are ongoing and start firing up (real-time to near-time weather basically). So, the timing is a factor that will remain quite uncertain over the next few days.
But overall, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours with peak daytime heating. These storms will have the risk of hail and damaging winds (30-60mph), based on the lapse rates and instability available. Locally heavy rainfall will be a concern (PWs are quite high, climatologically) and could cause minor flooding or ponding on local roads and make visibility while driving difficult.
The localized flooding risk would be higher for urban or vulnerable locations, as is common for this time of year. Overall, stay weather aware over the next few days as we continue in this unsettled pattern for the atmosphere. MSW

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Sunday through mid-week... Sunday and Monday, several more upper level impulses will be moving through the area. These will look pretty similar to the last few days, and there are still a lot of uncertainties in the models regarding timing of the best convection.
Generally though, scattered to numerous showers and storms will be expected, especially during the afternoon/evening hours on Sunday and Monday. On Monday, the bulk of the rainfall will be more for our northern areas, but this could change as we get closer. These storms will, based on model soundings, likely have the risk of locally heavy rainfall, small hail, and winds (30-60mph). Stay weather aware on Sunday and Monday of next week.

Tuesday through mid-week, conditions should be a bit drier as a weak ridge starts to build in over the area. Generally, rain chances will be lower. An isolated shower will be possible, but likely will not be severe at this time, looking at the models. Temperatures will be a little warmer though, as a result. Highs are forecast to be in the low 90s with lows in the mid 70s. MSW

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Rain and thunderstorms have completely cleared the area leaving VFR conditions. This should hold through the late night hours, with likely MVFR ceilings and visibilites at KBTR and KMCB early morning before sunrise. Daytime tomorrow will see widespread SHRA and VCTS in the late morning through the end of the period.

MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Benign marine conditions overall. Generally, southerly to southeasterly winds will prevail with moderate to calm winds (10-15kts) throughout the forecast period. Showers and storms will be possible every day, especially in the afternoon and evening hours, through Tuesday which could produce locally higher gusts.
MSW

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 86 68 83 67 / 70 60 80 20 BTR 89 73 89 73 / 80 30 80 20 ASD 89 73 88 71 / 50 60 90 30 MSY 89 76 88 75 / 60 40 90 30 GPT 88 75 85 73 / 30 70 90 50 PQL 90 73 86 71 / 20 70 90 50

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Caminada Pass (bridge)
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Sat -- 02:17 AM CDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:12 AM CDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:26 PM CDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caminada Pass (bridge), Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

Bayou Rigaud
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Sat -- 12:31 AM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:52 AM CDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:23 PM CDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bayou Rigaud, Grand Isle, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

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