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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pole Ojea, PR

July 3, 2024 3:32 AM CST (09:32 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:21 AM   Sunset 6:08 PM
Moonrise 5:25 AM   Moonset 2:25 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pole Ojea, PR
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Area Discussion for - San Juan, PR
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FXCA62 TJSJ 030912 AFDSJU

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Juan PR 512 AM AST Wed Jul 3 2024

SYNOPSIS

Dry weather conditions and the presence Saharan Dust will promote hazy skies and hot conditions today. Above-normal temperatures in combination with the available moisture will result in warm to hot heat indices. Therefore, a Heat Advisory will be in effect for portions of Puerto Rico and St. Croix. A tropical wave (Invest 96L) is expected to approach the area tonight, enhancing the potential for showers and isolated thunderstorms across the region.

SHORT TERM
Today through Friday...

Calm weather conditions prevailed overnight, with warmer-than-normal low temperatures across Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Additionally, we had variably cloudy skies due to a mid- to upper- level cloud deck associated with Major Hurricane Beryl, located south of Hispaniola. The winds were mainly from the east to east- northeast at 10 mph or less. Additionally, a drier air mass with suspended Saharan dust particles began producing hazy skies and limiting rain activity across the region.

The mid to upper-level clouds and the suspended dust particles limit the nighttime cooling, resulting in warmer-than-normal low temperatures. Thus, we can expect maximum temperatures to rise to near or above-normal values today. The arrival of a Saharan Air Layer will reduce the available moisture, but the lingering moisture will still lead to warm and hot heat indices. This has prompted a Heat Advisory for most of the coastal areas and western sections of Puerto Rico and St Croix. Virgin Islands. However, expect a few trade wind showers across the windward sections and isolated to scattered afternoon showers across the interior and western PR.

A tropical wave, the Invest 96L, will cross the Lesser Antilles later today, with its leading moisture arriving late tonight across the local islands. The wave's axis should cross the region around early Thursday morning, promoting an unstable weather pattern through the 4th of July. This wave may bring strong thunderstorms, producing downpours and frequent lightning, especially during the day and afternoon of the 4th. Urban and small stream flooding may also be observed. Residents and visitors should monitor the weather conditions for additional updates.

The wave's trailing moisture will linger across the regions through Friday morning, when additional suspended dust particles from the African deserts will arrive, creating hazy skies once more. However, the interaction of the available moisture and the dust particles will enhance the formation of afternoon and evening convection, especially across western PR and the surrounding waters. A drier air mass with Saharan Dust Particles will result in hazy skies affecting visibilities, lowering them around 6 SMi. SHRA/TSRA could develop across the interior and western PR between 03/17-21z. A tropical wave will deteriorate weather conditions after 04/06z onward. The winds will remain calm to light and variable through 12z, returning from the E to ENE at 15-20 kt with gusts between 20 and 30 kt and sea breeze variations.

LONG TERM
Saturday through Wednesday

A strong high pressure located in the central Atlantic will maintain the wind flow from the east southeast for most of the long-term period. Dry conditions are expected to prevail for the first half of the period as a drier airmass moves into the region with moderate to high concetrations of Saharan Air Layer (SAL). Hazy skies will dominate until at least Monday, resulting in lower visibilities. Very hot conditions are expected too, with temperatures rising to the 90s along the coastal and urban portions of the islands. This in combination with the available moisture will result in higher heat indices across the region surpassing the mid 100s. By the second half of the period a vigorous tropical wave is anticipated to approach the local islands. The precipitable water content analysis suggest values between 1.90 to 2.15 inches from Tuesday to Wednesday. This wave will move relatively fast across the region on Tuesday. Moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected across the western and northwestern portions of Puerto Rico during the afternoon hours. The US Virgin Islands can expect passing showers throughout the morning hours and isolated shower activity during the afternoon. After wave passage, a drier pattern will establish and will persist through the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS)

A drier air mass with Saharan Dust Particles will result in hazy skies affecting visibilities, lowering them around 6 SMi. SHRA/TSRA could develop across the interior and western PR between 03/17-21z.
A tropical wave will deteriorate weather conditions after 04/06z onward. The winds will remain calm to light and variable through 12z, returning from the E to ENE at 15-20 kt with gusts between 20 and 30 kt and sea breeze variations.

MARINE

Fresh to locally strong easterly winds will continue today as Major Hurricane Beryl continues moving westward across the Caribbean Basin south of Hispaniola. This will cause hazardous marine and coastal conditions to prevail especially for the Caribbean Waters and Passages. A tropical wave will move across the Eastern Caribbean later today, deteriorating the local weather and marine conditions late tonight into Thursday.

BEACH FORECAST

Coastal condtions will gradually improve as Hurricane Beryl continues to move westward. A high risk of life-threatening rip currents remain in effect until this afternoon for southern Puerto Rico. Elsewhere, a moderate risk of rip currents is in effect.

SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PR...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM AST this afternoon for PRZ001-005-008-010.

High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for PRZ003-007-011.

VI...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM AST this afternoon for VIZ002.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM AST early this morning for AMZ711.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM AST Thursday for AMZ723-733-735- 741.




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