Monday, December16, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kualapuu, HI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:49PM Monday December 16, 2019 2:18 AM HST (12:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:39PMMoonset 11:05AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ120 Pailolo Channel- 849 Pm Hst Sun Dec 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday night...
Rest of tonight..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Northwest swell 4 feet. Isolated showers early in the evening. Scattered showers after midnight.
Monday..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Northwest swell 4 feet increasing to 6 feet in the afternoon. Scattered showers in the morning. Isolated showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds to 30 knots. Wind waves 8 feet. Northwest swell 6 feet. Isolated showers in the evening. Scattered showers after midnight.
Tuesday..East winds to 30 knots. Wind waves 8 feet. Northwest swell 6 feet. Scattered showers in the morning. Isolated showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds to 30 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Northwest swell 5 feet. Isolated showers in the evening. Scattered showers after midnight.
Wednesday..East winds to 30 knots easing to 20 knots in the afternoon. Wind waves 7 feet. Northwest swell 4 feet. Scattered showers in the morning. Isolated showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Northwest swell 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Thursday..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Northwest swell 5 to 6 feet. Scattered showers.
Friday..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 9 feet. North swell 5 to 6 feet. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 849 Pm Hst Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. Trades will strengthen tonight and become very strong late Monday through Tuesday as a surface high passes north of the islands. Winds may approach gale force for the windier areas around the big island Monday night into Tuesday. After a brief easing Wednesday through Thursday, very strong trades are expected to return for the end of the week into next weekend, with gales possible again in some of the channels. Back to back large northwest swells are expected to build Monday and Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kualapuu, HI
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location: 21.29, -157     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXHW60 PHFO 160643 AFDHFO

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Honolulu HI 843 PM HST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. The weather story this week remains tied to variations in the strength of the trade winds. Several progressive high pressure centers are rolling through the Central Pacific north of the Hawaiian Islands. Moderate trades on Monday will become breezy on Tuesday, before returning to more moderate speeds on Wednesday and Thursday. Cool and windy weather conditions are forecast from Thursday night into next weekend. Trade wind showers will prevail through Saturday favoring windward and mountain slopes in the overnight to early morning time periods.

DISCUSSION. The satellite view of the region shows a rapidly weakening cold front roughly 300 miles north of Kauai. The southern movement on this front will stall north of the island chain. As the front passes to the east cloud bands may break apart and drift over the state later this week. East of the islands unstable clouds are drifting through the trade wind flow. These clouds will produce periods of showers mainly affecting the typical windward and mountain areas enhanced during the typical overnight and early morning time periods. A few high cirrus clouds are also shown near the Big Island, these ice crystal clouds are associated with a lingering subtropical jet stream in the upper atmosphere.

Looking at the large scale view of the weather picture this evening we see two main high pressure centers over the North Pacific basin, roughly 1000 miles northwest and northeast of the state respectively with a cold front in the middle. These large scale pressure systems will move quickly from west to east across the Pacific this week changing local area pressure gradients and in turn producing variations in trade wind speeds each day. Expect trade wind speeds to become breezy on Monday as the cold front north of the island weakens and higher pressure builds in from the west. Trades become breezy to windy on Tuesday, returning to more moderate speed on Wednesday and Thursday, as the high center passes by and then drifts eastward away from the islands. By Thursday another weak cold front will linger 300 to 400 miles north of Kauai.

Trade winds will strengthen rapidly from Thursday night into Friday as an anomalously strong high pressure center rips across the Pacific Region. The global models continue to show another interesting weather development south of this high as a deepening cut off low pressure system gets caught up south of the ridge axis approaching the state from the west. Strong trade winds are expected to develop across all islands from Friday into Saturday with the subsidence aloft enhancing the wind speeds at the surface. Wind advisories are not out of the question with this developing weather pattern.

Weather outlook Sunday through Tuesday . The deepening cut off low approaching the islands from the west has the potential to produce heavy rainfall with thunderstorms over the islands in the extended outlook range of the forecast. However, as expected, global American and European models are both showing a variety of precipitation solutions this far out in the forecast ether. Island by island weather impacts and timing will have to wait until the time period gets closer. Please continue to monitor the weather forecasts for this seven to nine day weather outlook as forecast impacts will evolve over time.

AVIATION. Strengthening trade winds expected over the next twenty-four hours as a high pressure system north of Hawaii settles to the northeast of the area. Trade wind flow will focus incoming low clouds and showers along windward slopes and coasts. A 6000 ft inversion aloft will inhibit shower shower activity. No AIRMETs for mountain obscuration are in effect or anticipated at this time.

AIRMET Tango for leeward mountain turbulence will likely become necessary late tonight or Monday due to the strengthening trade wind flow.

MARINE. High pressure building north of the state will bring an increase in trade winds tonight, and very strong trades Monday through Tuesday night. Winds may reach gale force Monday night into Tuesday across the Alenuihaha Channel and waters south of the Big Island, therefore a Gale Watch is in effect for these waters. Winds are expected to trend down Wednesday into Thursday, but a new and stronger high building north of state will lead to another round of blasting trades towards the end of the week into the weekend. Gale force winds are likely for the typical windy areas around Maui County and the Big Island Friday into Saturday. Strong winds will likely continue across the marine area through the remainder of the upcoming weekend. The combination of strong trade winds and large northwest swells will bring widespread Small Craft Advisory conditions through most of the week.

Forerunners from a large northwest swell will begin to fill in late tonight, with the swell steadily building through the day Monday. Surf is expected to reach high end advisory levels along north and west facing shores exposed to the swell Monday night as the swell peaks. This swell will lower Tuesday though Wednesday, with another northwest swell expected to steadily build Wednesday and Wednesday night, and peaking near advisory levels on Thursday. This swell will then gradually lower Friday through the weekend while shifting to a more northerly direction.

With the expected boost in trades, surf along east facing shores will be on the rise this week. Surf may approach High Surf Advisory (HSA) levels Monday night through Tuesday night, but most likely will remain just below HSA thresholds. Stronger trades late in the work week, will likely result in surf reaching advisory criteria along east facing shores Friday through the upcoming weekend. Very rough and choppy conditions are expected across the waters through most of the week.

HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Gale Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon for Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Monday for Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Monday to 7 PM HST Wednesday for Kauai Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Channel-Oahu Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters- Kaiwi Channel-Maui County Windward Waters-Maui County Leeward Waters-Big Island Windward Waters.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM HST Wednesday for Maalaea Bay- Pailolo Channel.



DISCUSSION . Bohlin AVIATION . Bedal MARINE . Jelsema


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
51205 36 mi48 min 79°F7 ft
51202 - Mokapu Point, HI (098) 37 mi48 min 79°F7 ft
51213 37 mi48 min 79°F2 ft
KLIH1 - 1615680 - Kahului Bay, Maui, HI 39 mi54 min N 8 G 13 76°F 1015.6 hPa
51207 42 mi48 min 79°F6 ft
51210 42 mi48 min 79°F6 ft
MOKH1 - 1612480 - Mokuoloe, HI 43 mi42 min NE 12 G 14 77°F 79°F1016.2 hPa
OOUH1 - 1612340 - Honolulu, HI 46 mi54 min NE 4.1 G 5.1 77°F 80°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Kahului, Kahului Harbor, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kaunakakai, Molokai Airport, HI11 mi24 minNE 8 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F68°F79%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PHMK

Wind History from HMK (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Kaunakakai, Molokai (Hawaii)
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Kaunakakai
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:57 AM HST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:15 AM HST     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:04 AM HST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:47 PM HST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM HST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:14 PM HST     0.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:39 PM HST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.60.91.41.82.12.22.221.61.10.70.40.20.10.20.40.60.70.80.70.60.5

Tide / Current Tables for Kaunakakai, Molokai (Hawaii) (2)
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Kaunakakai
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:57 AM HST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:16 AM HST     2.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:04 AM HST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:56 PM HST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM HST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:20 PM HST     0.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:39 PM HST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.611.41.92.22.32.321.71.20.80.40.20.10.20.40.60.70.80.80.70.5

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Molokai, HI
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