Sunrise 6:59 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 3:26 PM   Moonset 3:42 AM

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GMZ032 Bayside And Gulf Side From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf Of Mexico From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To 5 Fathoms- 426 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight - East to southeast winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop.Saturday - East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop. Saturday night - East to southeast winds near 10 knots, becoming southeast. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light chop.Sunday - Southeast to south winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a light chop.Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Monday - Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest to west. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Monday night - Northwest winds near 10 knots, becoming north to northeast and increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot, building to 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop.Tuesday - North to northeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Tuesday night - North to northeast winds near 10 knots, becoming northeast to east. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop.Wednesday - East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers. Wednesday night - Northeast to east winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 426 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western north atlantic will maintain gentle to occasionally moderate east to southeast breezes across the florida keys coastal waters through the weekend. Gentle southerly breezes on Monday will become northerly Monday night, as a weak frontal boundary decays over south florida. Another area of high pressure will build in the west-central north atlantic early next week, resulting in a return to gentle east to southeast breezes.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.

FXUS62 KKEY 191906 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 306 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024 GOES-16 visible satellite imagery is highlighting cumulus lines streaming off several of the Florida Keys islands. Earlier today, mentioned the chance for possible cloud line formation. However, mean-steering flow was too east southeasterly to allow the clouds to align along the islands. Skies are generally partly cloudy across the Keys, with temperatures reaching the advertised mid 80s.

A routine forecast through early next week on tap. Surface high pressure in the west-central Atlantic along with a stubborn mid- level ridge stationed in the western Gulf of Mexico will result in continued nil rain chances and near average temperatures.
Things get a tad more complicated as we approach Tuesday night through Wednesday, stemming from a split in the evolution of this mid- level ridge. Some solutions suggest a breakdown of this ridge, allowing for a potential shortwave trough to pivot through the Gulf of Mexico. Other solutions suggest the ridge will remain dominant over the Gulf, resulting in a continued benign weather pattern. Given run-to-run consistency in this split, did elect to nudge PoPs up for this timeframe, but will not make drastic changes at this time. This will continued to be monitored over the next several forecast cycles, and adjustments will be made as necessary. It should be of note that this is the time of year where a "sneak attack" from an mesoscale convective system (MCS)
can try to propagate through our neck of the woods.

Ironically, despite being later in the forecast period, confidence increases in the ridge re-fortifying over the Gulf. Near-nil rain chances seem to be a good bet for this period, although will nudge towards climatological dimes for now.

MARINE
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024 There are currently no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high pressure over the western Atlantic will maintain gentle to occasionally moderate east to southeast breezes across the Keys coastal waters through the weekend. Gentle southerly breezes on Monday will become northerly Monday night as a weak front dissipates over South Florida.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024 VFR conditions with east to southeast winds near 10 knots continue through the TAF period at both island terminals. Skies onsite remain clear, but observations may reflect FEW to SCT clouds between 2k and 3k feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 84 75 84 76 / 0 0 0 0 Marathon 84 75 85 77 / 0 0 0 0

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.

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Gopher Key
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:14 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:45 AM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:14 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gopher Key, Cudjoe Bay, Florida, Tide feet

No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:21 AM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:10 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.65 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:44 PM EDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:28 PM EDT     0.67 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots

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Key West, FL,