Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Big Pine Key, FL
May 6, 2024 9:36 AM EDT (13:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:46 AM Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 4:32 AM Moonset 5:40 PM |
GMZ032 Bayside And Gulf Side From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf Of Mexico From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To 5 Fathoms- 421 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
Today - East to southeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tonight - East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tuesday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tuesday night and Wednesday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop.
Wednesday night - Southeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a moderate chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop.
Thursday night - Southeast to south winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop.
Friday - Southeast to south winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south to southwest near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop.
Friday night - Southwest to west winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers.
GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 421 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western north atlantic will maintain moderate to occasionally fresh east to southeast breezes through midweek. Breezes will turn to the southeast and south and relax later in the week, as the high shifts southward and weakens over the western atlantic.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 3 - .
64 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 20 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 9 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 8 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 11 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 9 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 8 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream analysis courtesy of the national weather service in key west.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 3 - .
64 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 20 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 9 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 8 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 11 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 9 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 8 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream analysis courtesy of the national weather service in key west.
Area Discussion for - Key West, FL
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FXUS62 KKEY 060825 AFDKEY
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Mostly clear and warm conditions prevail along the Florida Keys on this early Monday morning, with radars detecting only a few small showers over the Straits of Florida. Temperatures are hovering in the upper 70s to near 80, with dewpoints in the lower 70s, and winds on land from the east to southeast around 15 mph. Surface analysis depicts high pressure centered over the western Atlantic, with the Keys remaining in moderate ESE flow along the southwestern flank of this high. Aloft, mid-level ridging over the Gulf of Mexico continues to dominate our local weather regime. The 00Z Key West sounding reflected this, with inversions based near 5500 and 10K feet and dry air through the mid levels. The sampled PW of 1.35 inches was near normal for the date. More recent MIMIC-TPW satellite imagery shows slightly lower PWs filtering into our region from the east.
Mostly clear, very warm and mainly dry weather will prevail through the upcoming work week, as mid level ridging persists over the Gulf of Mexico. Just enough low level moisture will remain to keep slight 10 percent rain chances in the forecast through Tuesday, then an even drier airmass during the mid to later part of the week, with moisture depth squashed below 5000 feet, should result in near zero rain chances from Tuesday night through Friday. Temps will remain a few degrees above normal, with highs in the mid-upper 80s and lows in the upper 70s to near 80.
Dewpoints will gradually creep upward through the week as our low level flow slowly veers to the SE, and peak afternoon heat indices near 100F will become likely late in the week.
Heading into the weekend, deep troughing over the eastern CONUS will suppress the subtropical ridge south of our area, with a surface frontal boundary easing down the Florida peninsula. The latest guidance consensus stalls this front near Lake Okeechobee, which is much more in accordance with climatology as we head into mid May. Some moisture pooling to the south of the front will allow slight rain chances to return for the weekend, but at this time we don't expect any significant change to our sensible weather. Temps will likely remain above normal through the weekend, with increasingly muggy dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s.
MARINE
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Overnight observations show E/SE winds of 14 to 18 knots along the reef and at Long Key C-MAN, with seas at Satan Shoal running just above 4 feet. Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) headlines remain posted for the Straits today, and will probably be needed for other areas as well tonight. From the synopsis, high pressure over the western North Atlantic will maintain moderate to occasionally fresh east to southeast breezes through midweek.
Breezes will turn to the southeast and south and relax later in the week, as the high shifts southward and weakens over the western Atlantic.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
VFR and gusty easterly breezes will prevail at the EYW and MTH terminals through the morning. Forecast soundings and MOS guidance suggest rain chances are near nil.
CLIMATE
Today's sunset will be at 759 PM in Key West. Starting tomorrow, May 7th, sunset will be at 800 PM. The sunset will be 800 PM or later in Key West until August 17th.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Mostly clear and warm conditions prevail along the Florida Keys on this early Monday morning, with radars detecting only a few small showers over the Straits of Florida. Temperatures are hovering in the upper 70s to near 80, with dewpoints in the lower 70s, and winds on land from the east to southeast around 15 mph. Surface analysis depicts high pressure centered over the western Atlantic, with the Keys remaining in moderate ESE flow along the southwestern flank of this high. Aloft, mid-level ridging over the Gulf of Mexico continues to dominate our local weather regime. The 00Z Key West sounding reflected this, with inversions based near 5500 and 10K feet and dry air through the mid levels. The sampled PW of 1.35 inches was near normal for the date. More recent MIMIC-TPW satellite imagery shows slightly lower PWs filtering into our region from the east.
Mostly clear, very warm and mainly dry weather will prevail through the upcoming work week, as mid level ridging persists over the Gulf of Mexico. Just enough low level moisture will remain to keep slight 10 percent rain chances in the forecast through Tuesday, then an even drier airmass during the mid to later part of the week, with moisture depth squashed below 5000 feet, should result in near zero rain chances from Tuesday night through Friday. Temps will remain a few degrees above normal, with highs in the mid-upper 80s and lows in the upper 70s to near 80.
Dewpoints will gradually creep upward through the week as our low level flow slowly veers to the SE, and peak afternoon heat indices near 100F will become likely late in the week.
Heading into the weekend, deep troughing over the eastern CONUS will suppress the subtropical ridge south of our area, with a surface frontal boundary easing down the Florida peninsula. The latest guidance consensus stalls this front near Lake Okeechobee, which is much more in accordance with climatology as we head into mid May. Some moisture pooling to the south of the front will allow slight rain chances to return for the weekend, but at this time we don't expect any significant change to our sensible weather. Temps will likely remain above normal through the weekend, with increasingly muggy dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s.
MARINE
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Overnight observations show E/SE winds of 14 to 18 knots along the reef and at Long Key C-MAN, with seas at Satan Shoal running just above 4 feet. Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) headlines remain posted for the Straits today, and will probably be needed for other areas as well tonight. From the synopsis, high pressure over the western North Atlantic will maintain moderate to occasionally fresh east to southeast breezes through midweek.
Breezes will turn to the southeast and south and relax later in the week, as the high shifts southward and weakens over the western Atlantic.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
VFR and gusty easterly breezes will prevail at the EYW and MTH terminals through the morning. Forecast soundings and MOS guidance suggest rain chances are near nil.
CLIMATE
Today's sunset will be at 759 PM in Key West. Starting tomorrow, May 7th, sunset will be at 800 PM. The sunset will be 800 PM or later in Key West until August 17th.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL | 16 mi | 49 min | E 7G | 81°F | 82°F | |||
SMKF1 - Sombrero Key, FL | 17 mi | 47 min | 29.97 | |||||
KYWF1 - 8724580 - Key West, FL | 24 mi | 49 min | SE 8G | 83°F | 81°F | 30.01 | ||
LONF1 - Long Key, FL | 30 mi | 47 min | E 14G | 79°F | 29.98 | 72°F | ||
SANF1 - Sand Key, FL | 31 mi | 47 min | ESE 15G | 80°F | 29.98 | 71°F | ||
42095 | 37 mi | 67 min | 81°F | 81°F | 3 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMTH THE FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON INTL,FL | 19 sm | 43 min | E 13 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 81°F | 72°F | 74% | 30.00 | |
KNQX KEY WEST NAS /BOCA CHICA FIELD/,FL | 19 sm | 43 min | ESE 12 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 82°F | 73°F | 74% | 29.99 | |
KEYW KEY WEST INTL,FL | 22 sm | 43 min | ESE 10 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 81°F | 72°F | 74% | 30.00 |
Tide / Current for Howe Key, south end, Harbor Channel, Florida
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Howe Key
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:01 AM EDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:40 PM EDT 1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:01 AM EDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:40 PM EDT 1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Howe Key, south end, Harbor Channel, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
1 |
2 am |
1 |
3 am |
1 |
4 am |
0.8 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.3 |
7 am |
0.2 |
8 am |
0.2 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
1 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.4 |
2 pm |
1.4 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
0.6 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
-0.1 |
8 pm |
-0.3 |
9 pm |
-0.2 |
10 pm |
-0 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:39 AM EDT -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:13 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 08:10 AM EDT 0.82 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:37 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:43 PM EDT -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:19 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT 1.20 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:37 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:39 AM EDT -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:13 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 08:10 AM EDT 0.82 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:37 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:43 PM EDT -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:19 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT 1.20 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:37 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots
12 am |
-0.7 |
1 am |
-1 |
2 am |
-1.1 |
3 am |
-0.9 |
4 am |
-0.6 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
0.3 |
7 am |
0.7 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
-0.2 |
12 pm |
-0.9 |
1 pm |
-1.2 |
2 pm |
-1.3 |
3 pm |
-1.1 |
4 pm |
-0.7 |
5 pm |
-0.2 |
6 pm |
0.4 |
7 pm |
0.8 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
1.2 |
10 pm |
1 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Key West, FL,
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