Sunrise 6:42 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 2:39 AM   Moonset 2:23 PM

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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Tonight - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Sat night - E se winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A slight chance of showers through the night. Tue - E se winds around 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night and Wed - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Wed night - E se winds around 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly flow continues to prevail across the local waters through tonight. A few occasional isolated showers and Thunderstorms may be possible at times. Easterly winds could increase to near hazardous levels at times over the atlantic waters this weekend as high pressure builds over the western atlantic.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 02, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east of lake worth. 17 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 032355 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 755 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

A rather benign weather pattern remains in place across South Florida today with continued light to moderate easterly flow with surface high pressure to the east. Southwest Florida has the best opportunity for any isolated showers or weak convection with the sea breeze this afternoon. An upper level disturbance advancing towards and into the Florida panhandle tonight will open a small weakness in the upper level flow across the Florida peninsula from Saturday into Saturday night. This weak upper level disturbance combined with an increase in the moisture profile between 850 and 700 mb should induce some slightly greater PoPs during Saturday afternoon into the 20 to 40 percent range. With the continued moderate easterly flow, this activity will be most favored across the interior/western portions of South Florida. Expect for the afternoon highs to top out in the mid 80s to near 90 degrees. The overnight lows will trend in the low to mid 70s along the coast while interior locations dip into the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

The weak upper level disturbance lingers through Sunday atop the Florida peninsula before becoming more diffuse. The 500 mb heights then increase into mid to late week as upper level ridging will build into the region from the west. Surface high pressure stays focused to the east in the Atlantic, maintaining the light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow across the region. Like Saturday, Sunday will feature around 20 to 40 percent chance for showers and convection across the interior and western portions portions of South Florida. Early next week keeps some isolated opportunities but solely with any lift from the afternoon sea breeze. The PoPs then look to diminish even more into mid to late next week as the upper level ridge strengthens. The temperatures also respond as afternoon highs could reach the mid 90s across interior locations by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 750 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Generally VFR conditions through the 00Z TAF period. Isolated showers will be possible at times along the east coast terminals, but confidence is too low to include at this time. Easterly flow around 10 kts will prevail, with gusts to 20 kts during the day.
KAPF will again see a W-SW wind shift during the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Besides occasional times of gusty easterly winds, anticipate for marine conditions to stay rather benign through the weekend and entering into early next week. Isolated to scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. Winds are likely to peak in the 13-18 kts range out of the east and likely induce periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to an elevated risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches through the remainder of the today and this upcoming weekend. Highest rip current risk today will be maximized across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 84 74 84 / 10 20 20 40 West Kendall 70 86 71 85 / 10 20 20 40 Opa-Locka 72 86 72 85 / 10 20 20 40 Homestead 73 83 73 84 / 10 20 20 40 Fort Lauderdale 74 83 74 83 / 20 20 20 40 N Ft Lauderdale 73 83 74 83 / 20 20 20 40 Pembroke Pines 73 86 73 86 / 10 20 20 40 West Palm Beach 71 84 72 84 / 20 20 20 40 Boca Raton 73 85 73 85 / 20 20 20 40 Naples 70 88 71 88 / 10 30 30 40

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Ocean Reef Harbor
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:51 AM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:13 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:25 PM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:44 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocean Reef Harbor, Key Largo, Florida, Tide feet

Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:21 AM EDT     1.15 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:02 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:19 AM EDT     -1.81 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:51 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:49 PM EDT     1.27 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:31 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:50 PM EDT     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots

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