Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Florida City, FL
December 6, 2023 12:08 PM EST (17:08 UTC)
Sunrise 6:53AM Sunset 5:32PM Moonrise 1:02AM Moonset 1:32PM
GMZ657 Expires:202312070400;;002865 Fzus52 Kmfl 061501 Cwfmfl
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service miami fl 1001 am est Wed dec 6 2023
atlantic coastal waters from jupiter inlet to ocean reef out to 60 nm and gulf coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee out 20 nm and chokoloskee to bonita beach out 60 nm...including the waters of biscayne bay and lake okeechobee.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz656-657-676-070400- coastal waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee fl out 20 nm- waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1001 am est Wed dec 6 2023
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Rest of today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore...except N 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..N ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt nearshore and N ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu night..E ne winds 5 to 10 kt near shore... Except E ne 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sat and Sat night..E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sun..NEar shore, se winds 10 to 15 kt becoming S sw. Well offshore, S sw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W sw in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms.
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service miami fl 1001 am est Wed dec 6 2023
atlantic coastal waters from jupiter inlet to ocean reef out to 60 nm and gulf coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee out 20 nm and chokoloskee to bonita beach out 60 nm...including the waters of biscayne bay and lake okeechobee.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz656-657-676-070400- coastal waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee fl out 20 nm- waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1001 am est Wed dec 6 2023
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Rest of today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore...except N 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..N ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt nearshore and N ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu night..E ne winds 5 to 10 kt near shore... Except E ne 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore...except E 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sat and Sat night..E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sun..NEar shore, se winds 10 to 15 kt becoming S sw. Well offshore, S sw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W sw in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms.
GMZ600 948 Am Cst Wed Dec 6 2023
Synopsis..A moderate to strong northerly flow will continue through the morning hours before diminishing during the afternoon. Light to moderate northeasterly flow will persist through tonight and then become southeasterly during the latter part of the work week. The onshore flow pattern will strengthen Saturday ahead of the next approaching cold front. A moderate to strong northwesterly to northerly flow likely returns Sunday into Sunday night following the passage of the front.
Synopsis..A moderate to strong northerly flow will continue through the morning hours before diminishing during the afternoon. Light to moderate northeasterly flow will persist through tonight and then become southeasterly during the latter part of the work week. The onshore flow pattern will strengthen Saturday ahead of the next approaching cold front. A moderate to strong northwesterly to northerly flow likely returns Sunday into Sunday night following the passage of the front.
Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMFL 061354 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 854 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 851 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
Only forecast change made with the morning update was to increase cloud cover through the morning to account for cirrus deck (although this will thin out from north to south by the afternoon). Otherwise a rather mild and dry day is expected (by South Florida standards) behind a reinforcing a cold front.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A potent short-wave trough, initially positioned over the Great Lakes region, is forecast to advance southward, extending into subtropical latitudes. Concurrently, a surface high-pressure ridge, infused with a continental polar air mass, will migrate equatorward, closely aligned with the trajectory of the trough.
This incursion of colder air is expected to envelop South Florida, resulting in a significant decline in temperatures and a substantially reduced probability of precipitation across the region. Daytime high temperatures today are anticipated to hover just above 70 degrees in several areas, with projected highs varying from the mid/upper-60s to the lower 70s. The likelihood of rainfall will be notably low, due to both diminished moisture levels and a lack of mechanisms for atmospheric uplift.
By Thursday, the previously mentioned trough is projected to shift eastward toward the western Atlantic waters, facilitating a gradual increase in atmospheric heights across the region. A low- level ridge of high pressure will mirror the eastward movement of this trough, resulting in a subtle wind directional change from northwest to north-northeast. This shift is likely to induce a slight warming trend as a relatively milder maritime air mass begins to influence the County Warning Forecast Area (CWFA). The forecast period is expected to remain predominantly dry, with large-scale atmospheric subsidence and a lack of moisture inhibiting the development of convection. A substantial cooldown is anticipated this morning, particularly in the interior regions where apparent temperatures may fall into the mid to upper 40s.
While most metropolitan areas are likely to maintain temperatures just above 50 degrees, it is possible that certain areas within Collier and Palm Beach counties could experience temperatures marginally below this threshold. Todays high temperatures are forecast to be mild, with maximums ranging from the upper 60s to mid-70s.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
The colder conditions are anticipated to be transient, as an upper short-wave ridge traverses the Gulf of Mexico, while a surface high simultaneously slides eastward. This will result in a transition of wind patterns from a northerly component to an easterly flow by Friday. This shift is expected to facilitate a temperature increase of 5 to 10 degrees relative to Thursday mornings lows. However, the rise in daytime highs will be gradual, with the region experiencing another day of temperatures predominantly in the 70s.
The onset of the next weather disturbance is forecast over the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, positioned along the periphery of the surface high and in conjunction with a mid-level shortwave trough exiting South Texas and Mexico. The moisture associated with this disturbance is expected to increase incrementally through the weekend, in advance of an approaching longwave mid-level trough from the central United States, which is projected to extend southward upon reaching the eastern portion of the country. Model guidance presents some variability regarding the location of the associated surface low, with some models indicating a more northerly position near Ontario, while others suggest a southerly trajectory in the Ohio River Valley, south of the Great Lakes.
Given this uncertainty, the forecast will continue to include significant chances of rain for Sunday into Monday, aligning with the anticipated timeframe of the frontal passage through the region. A slight chance of thunderstorms is also being maintained in the forecast, as a more southerly track of the low could extend the range of conditions conducive to thunderstorms and potentially more robust convection. Currently, the dynamics most favorable for strong storms appear to remain north of South Florida, but rapid changes are possible with a forecast extending this far into the future. Residents and interested parties are advised to stay informed of forecast updates throughout the week and into the weekend, in case a significant threat of heavy rainfall or strong storms emerge across parts of South Florida.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 553 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
VFR conditions will prevail today with only some high lvl cloud cover present. Generally NW winds sustained 10-15kts with gusts up to 20-25kts are expected during the daytime hours. N-NW winds 5-10kts are then expected this evening into tonight.
MARINE
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A strong cold front will sweep through the region today, bringing about gusty northwesterly winds across a wide fetch. This will foster hazardous marine conditions, primarily due to elevated winds and seas across the local waters. Seas may reach as high as 7 to 10 ft (primarily over the Atlantic waters). Conditions may linger into Thursday, but will gradually subside thereafter as a ridge of high pressure builds in over the region.
BEACHES
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A high risk for rip currents is in effect from Thursday through Friday along the east coast, as winds maintain a modest onshore component through this period. This threat may persist into the weekend as winds gradually shift out of the east/southeast with time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 57 76 66 / 0 10 0 0 West Kendall 74 53 76 62 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 72 56 75 65 / 0 10 0 0 Homestead 73 55 76 65 / 0 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 73 56 74 66 / 0 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 72 57 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 73 54 75 64 / 0 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 71 56 73 64 / 0 10 0 0 Boca Raton 72 56 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Naples 72 51 74 59 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GMZ656-657- 676.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 854 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 851 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
Only forecast change made with the morning update was to increase cloud cover through the morning to account for cirrus deck (although this will thin out from north to south by the afternoon). Otherwise a rather mild and dry day is expected (by South Florida standards) behind a reinforcing a cold front.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A potent short-wave trough, initially positioned over the Great Lakes region, is forecast to advance southward, extending into subtropical latitudes. Concurrently, a surface high-pressure ridge, infused with a continental polar air mass, will migrate equatorward, closely aligned with the trajectory of the trough.
This incursion of colder air is expected to envelop South Florida, resulting in a significant decline in temperatures and a substantially reduced probability of precipitation across the region. Daytime high temperatures today are anticipated to hover just above 70 degrees in several areas, with projected highs varying from the mid/upper-60s to the lower 70s. The likelihood of rainfall will be notably low, due to both diminished moisture levels and a lack of mechanisms for atmospheric uplift.
By Thursday, the previously mentioned trough is projected to shift eastward toward the western Atlantic waters, facilitating a gradual increase in atmospheric heights across the region. A low- level ridge of high pressure will mirror the eastward movement of this trough, resulting in a subtle wind directional change from northwest to north-northeast. This shift is likely to induce a slight warming trend as a relatively milder maritime air mass begins to influence the County Warning Forecast Area (CWFA). The forecast period is expected to remain predominantly dry, with large-scale atmospheric subsidence and a lack of moisture inhibiting the development of convection. A substantial cooldown is anticipated this morning, particularly in the interior regions where apparent temperatures may fall into the mid to upper 40s.
While most metropolitan areas are likely to maintain temperatures just above 50 degrees, it is possible that certain areas within Collier and Palm Beach counties could experience temperatures marginally below this threshold. Todays high temperatures are forecast to be mild, with maximums ranging from the upper 60s to mid-70s.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
The colder conditions are anticipated to be transient, as an upper short-wave ridge traverses the Gulf of Mexico, while a surface high simultaneously slides eastward. This will result in a transition of wind patterns from a northerly component to an easterly flow by Friday. This shift is expected to facilitate a temperature increase of 5 to 10 degrees relative to Thursday mornings lows. However, the rise in daytime highs will be gradual, with the region experiencing another day of temperatures predominantly in the 70s.
The onset of the next weather disturbance is forecast over the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, positioned along the periphery of the surface high and in conjunction with a mid-level shortwave trough exiting South Texas and Mexico. The moisture associated with this disturbance is expected to increase incrementally through the weekend, in advance of an approaching longwave mid-level trough from the central United States, which is projected to extend southward upon reaching the eastern portion of the country. Model guidance presents some variability regarding the location of the associated surface low, with some models indicating a more northerly position near Ontario, while others suggest a southerly trajectory in the Ohio River Valley, south of the Great Lakes.
Given this uncertainty, the forecast will continue to include significant chances of rain for Sunday into Monday, aligning with the anticipated timeframe of the frontal passage through the region. A slight chance of thunderstorms is also being maintained in the forecast, as a more southerly track of the low could extend the range of conditions conducive to thunderstorms and potentially more robust convection. Currently, the dynamics most favorable for strong storms appear to remain north of South Florida, but rapid changes are possible with a forecast extending this far into the future. Residents and interested parties are advised to stay informed of forecast updates throughout the week and into the weekend, in case a significant threat of heavy rainfall or strong storms emerge across parts of South Florida.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 553 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
VFR conditions will prevail today with only some high lvl cloud cover present. Generally NW winds sustained 10-15kts with gusts up to 20-25kts are expected during the daytime hours. N-NW winds 5-10kts are then expected this evening into tonight.
MARINE
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A strong cold front will sweep through the region today, bringing about gusty northwesterly winds across a wide fetch. This will foster hazardous marine conditions, primarily due to elevated winds and seas across the local waters. Seas may reach as high as 7 to 10 ft (primarily over the Atlantic waters). Conditions may linger into Thursday, but will gradually subside thereafter as a ridge of high pressure builds in over the region.
BEACHES
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
A high risk for rip currents is in effect from Thursday through Friday along the east coast, as winds maintain a modest onshore component through this period. This threat may persist into the weekend as winds gradually shift out of the east/southeast with time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 57 76 66 / 0 10 0 0 West Kendall 74 53 76 62 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 72 56 75 65 / 0 10 0 0 Homestead 73 55 76 65 / 0 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 73 56 74 66 / 0 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 72 57 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 73 54 75 64 / 0 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 71 56 73 64 / 0 10 0 0 Boca Raton 72 56 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Naples 72 51 74 59 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GMZ656-657- 676.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from HST
(wind in knots)Shark River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:02 AM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 02:46 AM EST 1.88 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 07:26 AM EST 3.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:32 PM EST Moonset
Wed -- 03:15 PM EST 1.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 08:22 PM EST 3.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:02 AM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 02:46 AM EST 1.88 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 07:26 AM EST 3.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:32 PM EST Moonset
Wed -- 03:15 PM EST 1.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 08:22 PM EST 3.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shark River entrance, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.5 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.9 |
| 4 am |
| 2.2 |
| 5 am |
| 2.8 |
| 6 am |
| 3.4 |
| 7 am |
| 3.8 |
| 8 am |
| 3.8 |
| 9 am |
| 3.6 |
| 10 am |
| 3.3 |
| 11 am |
| 2.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.3 |
Cape Sable
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:02 AM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 02:51 AM EST 1.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 08:02 AM EST 3.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:32 PM EST Moonset
Wed -- 03:20 PM EST 1.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 08:58 PM EST 3.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:02 AM EST Moonrise
Wed -- 02:51 AM EST 1.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Wed -- 08:02 AM EST 3.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:32 PM EST Moonset
Wed -- 03:20 PM EST 1.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST Sunset
Wed -- 08:58 PM EST 3.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cape Sable, East Cape, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.2 |
| 1 am |
| 1.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 2.2 |
| 6 am |
| 2.7 |
| 7 am |
| 3 |
| 8 am |
| 3.2 |
| 9 am |
| 3.1 |
| 10 am |
| 2.9 |
| 11 am |
| 2.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.9 |
Miami, FL,
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