Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Homestead Base, FL

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Strong deep-layer ridging will gradually weaken as the Southern Stream spreads through the Gulf over the coming days. However, low/mid level flow will remain generally easterly as the ridge axis elongates through the western Atlantic. Without much of a trajectory change, we'll remain under the influence of dry air and subsequently no rain chances.

Highs each afternoon will be in the middle 80s across the east coast, with low 90s expected across portions of western south Florida. Lows will drop into the low 60s across the interior and west coasts (away from the easterly maritime influence).

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Models depict a busy weather pattern across much of the Nation to start the long term with a trough/low complex moving into the E CONUS and pushing further south the ridge across the region. But the ridge remains strong enough to keep SoFlo under overall subsidence, with model soundings still showing PWATs below or around 1 inch, and generally dry air above 850mb through Thursday morning. Therefore, dry and stable weather should continue through that time.

By Thursday afternoon and through Friday, ensembles and Euro guidance show fair agreement in having the aforementioned trough pushing the ridge further to the ENE of SoFlo while eroding it. This will allow for moisture to begin filtering into the area, especially with returning robust onshore flow/sea breeze circulations in the afternoon hours. Unfortunately, the air mass is not expected to modify enough to result in significant rain activity. Latest POps/Wx coverage remains in the 15-25% range Thursday and Friday, and 20-30% by Saturday. Can't rule out an isolated thunderstorm or two with daytime heating, and with sea breeze boundaries becoming the main focal point for taller/deeper convection.

Expect afternoon high temperatures to remain in the mid to upper 80s through much of SoFlo, except for a few interior locations potentially reaching the low 90s at times. Morning lows should remain in the mid-upper 60s inland, and upper 60s to low 70s near the coasts.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 721 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

VFR will prevail through the TAF with easterly winds 10-15 knots.
APF should have a brief period of onshore winds later in the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Advisory level winds will weaken to Cautionary levels later this morning, with period of Cautionary conditions persisting through much of the week. So while boating conditions are expected to slightly improve, they're expected to remain at least somewhat hazardous to small craft.

BEACHES
Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Moderate easterly flow will continue through the week and will support a higher than usual risk for life threatening rip currents. A High Rip Current Risk remains in effect today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 82 72 83 72 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 85 68 85 69 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 84 70 85 71 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 82 70 83 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 81 72 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 82 72 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 85 72 87 73 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 82 70 83 70 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 82 71 83 71 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 87 66 86 66 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for AMZ630-650- 651-670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657- 676.