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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 1000 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning...
Rest of today..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Bay waters choppy.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Bay waters choppy.
Tue..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Bay waters rough.
Tue night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 35 kt. Bay waters rough. A chance of showers after midnight.
Wed through Thu..E ne winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Bay waters rough. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu night..E ne winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 35 kt. Bay waters rough. Showers likely late in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..E ne winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Bay waters rough. Showers likely.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2023
Synopsis..
high pressure will build in over the fl peninsula today in the wake of the cold front. Northerly winds will gradually increase up to 20 to 25 kts and turn northeasterly tonight into Tuesday. Seas will also gradually build up in excess of 7 feet by this evening, resulting in hazardous boating conditions. Northeasterly winds of near gale strength will persist across the local waters for much of the week.
gulf stream hazards: seas building to 6 to 9 feet by Tuesday. Seas could exceed 10 feet later this week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 09, 2023 at 12 utc...
18 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 5 nautical miles northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 111751 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1251 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1238 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Breezy northerly flow has developed across the peninsula in the wake of a cold front that moved through earlier this morning. Drier and cooler air will settle over South Florida as the mid-level trough responsible for the cold front shifts over the Atlantic.
Rain chances will be near zero with the dry air in place, and temperatures will be cooler, with highs struggling to reach the 70s in some areas.

Tonight, the cold air advection will lead to some mid to upper 40s across Glades and Hendry Counties, with 50s elsewhere and lower 60s along the east coast. The breezy conditions will lead to wind chill values ranging from the 40s in inland SWFL to around 60 along the Atlantic coast on Tuesday morning.

Tuesday will be another dry and brisk day with the wind becoming more northeasterly. Temperatures will warm a few degrees but most of the area will still top out in the 70s. Late in the day, the retreating frontal boundary will begin to push into the southern Atlantic waters from the Florida Straits but rain chances over the peninsula should remain minimal.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 359 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Wet, unsettled weather returns during the long term period thanks to the presence of a stationary front along the Florida Straits and the approach of a mid-level impulse on Wednesday. The boundary will help focus moisture across the area for much of the week, with PWATs potentially reaching the 2" mark on Thursday. The approach of the mid-level impulse on Wednesday will help promote convective development starting Wed afternoon thru Thursday evening. Activity may be favored over the local Atlantic waters and the East Coast where coastal convergence may favor deeper convection, but the rest of South Florida could also see isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during that time-frame.

Chances for rain will remain elevated Fri-Sun thanks to the lingering presence of the front to our south, but chances for thunderstorms look paltry at this time given lack of instability/support. This portion of the forecast will need to be monitored further as some uncertainty remains regarding potential impacts that far out in the period.

Pressure gradients between the boundary and an high pressure expanding across the SE US will remain tight through the long term period, resulting in prolonged periods of fresh breeziness across South Florida.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Generally VFR conditions through the TAF period in the wake of the cold front. Northerly winds around 10-12kts may be gusty at times, particularly this afternoon. Winds will remain breezy overnight and gradually turn northeasterly by Tuesday morning.

MARINE
Issued at 1238 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Hazardous marine conditions will continue to develop across all the local waters in the wake of a cold front. Winds are forecast to increase up to 20 to 25 kts with gusts to gale force by the middle of the week, while seas could build up to 6 to 11 feet across the Atlantic waters. With this in mind, a Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect for all local waters. The Atlantic waters will need to be monitored in case a Gale Watch and/or Warning becomes necessary at some point this week.

BEACHES
Issued at 1238 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Gusty north to northeast winds will lead to hazardous beach conditions along the Atlantic Coast for much of the upcoming week with elevated rip current risks and high surf. A high rip risk statement will go into effect starting Tuesday morning for the Atlantic beaches. Along the Gulf beaches, the rip current risk will be elevated today, but will gradually improvement later in the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 63 77 71 78 / 0 10 30 60 West Kendall 58 78 68 78 / 0 10 20 60 Opa-Locka 62 78 70 78 / 10 10 30 60 Homestead 61 78 70 78 / 0 10 30 70 Fort Lauderdale 63 77 71 78 / 10 10 20 60 N Ft Lauderdale 63 77 71 78 / 10 10 20 60 Pembroke Pines 61 78 70 78 / 10 10 20 60 West Palm Beach 61 76 69 78 / 10 10 20 50 Boca Raton 63 77 70 78 / 10 10 20 60 Naples 53 76 64 78 / 0 0 10 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for GMZ656-657-676.

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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:44 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:20 AM EST     1.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:17 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:21 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:16 PM EST     1.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Turkey Point, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:54 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:57 AM EST     1.73 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:06 PM EST     -1.76 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:35 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:21 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:50 PM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:20 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:58 PM EST     -2.41 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots

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