Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Presidio, TX
March 28, 2024 7:24 PM CST (01:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:54 AM Sunset 7:17 PM Moonrise 9:47 PM Moonset 7:59 AM |
PMZ021 Southern Gulf Of California- 858 Am Pdt Thu Mar 28 2024
This afternoon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Tonight - W winds 10 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 18 seconds.
Fri - SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Period 17 seconds.
Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Period 15 seconds.
Sat - SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Sat night - S to sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Sun - SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Sun night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 13 seconds.
Mon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Mon night - NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Area Discussion for - Midland/Odessa, TX
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FXUS64 KMAF 282327 AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 627 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A beautiful day is in store for the region with warm weather and sunny skies. Mid-level ridging is setting up along the front range of the Rocky Mountains, allowing for weak subsidence to keep skies clear and increasing temperatures compared to yesterday.
Highs return to near normal as everyone sees temperatures from the mid 70s to low 80s. A shortwave trough is forecast to move across the northern Great Plains tonight. The resulting lee troughing and low- level jet across the southern Great Plains keep temperatures mild. Most locations only cool into the upper 40s and low 50s tonight. As we move into Friday, the mid-level ridge axis slides just east of the area and the low-level thermal ridge overspreads much of the region. This low-level thermal ridge and a downsloping southwest winds push temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees above normal despite some high clouds. Almost everyone sees afternoon temperatures top out in the 80s with even some 90s along the Rio Grande Valley. Cloud cover helps to keep Friday night's temperatures mild again and similar to what we expect tonight. Enjoy the warm and sunny weather!
-Chehak
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Saturday will see the return of well above normal temperatures across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas as southwesterly flow aloft develops in response to a deepening trough along the West Coast. Concurrently, Saturday afternoon, a lee surface trough intensifies over eastern Colorado, resulting in an increase in downslope southwesterly surface flow. This compressional warming will yield highs in the 80s for most of the area, with middle to upper 70s in the mountains, and 90s along the Rio Grande. In the wake of the short wave responsible for Friday's breezy conditions, Saturday will be less windy as weak subsidence develops. However, this will change on Sunday. The aforementioned trough to the west is progged to develop a pronounced positive tilt by both deterministic guidance and ensemble clusters as it translates eastward across the Great Basin. The attendant jet rounding the base of this trough will nose into the region, and while its core remains just to the northwest, its southern branch will impinge upon Southeast New Mexico and far West Texas by Sunday afternoon and early evening. Winds are progged to increase markedly across the region, and especially along and west of the Pecos River, where the strongest winds are expected given the trough's tilt and jet's southwest- northeast orientation. One factor that may somewhat limit just how windy it becomes on Sunday will be a substantial cirrus shield associated with the fetch of moisture in the southwesterly flow, which will inhibit mixing to some degree.
Further, this cirrus will also limit how warm it becomes, in spite of a low-level thermal ridge across the area Sunday afternoon. That said, Sunday continues to be the warmest day of the forecast, with widespread highs in the middle to upper 80s, and 90s working their way from the Rio Grande Valley up across the Stockton Plateau and Trans Pecos, and into eastern and southeastern portions of the Permian Basin. These areas still have medium to high (60-100%) probabilities of seeing temperatures >90F, per ensemble analysis, with the potential tapering off quickly to the north and west, with only low to medium (10-40%)
probability that Midland sees a high of 90, keeping in line with previous forecasts.
Sunday night sees temperatures on the mild side as southwesterly winds continue and the region remains beneath expansive high clouds, with lows in the 50s west and 60s east. On Monday, the aforementioned trough ejects from the Great Basin across the Four Corners Region and into the plains, with the core of its jet progged to move over Southeast New Mexico and West Texas coincident with the low's associated Pacific front. Windy to very windy conditions will overspread the region Monday, though there remain some timing uncertainties, as everything is dependent on the timing and orientation of the trough as well as when the Pacific front sweeps across the area. To be expected, temperatures Monday cool down from those on Sunday as the mild Pacific air mass moves into the area and as the thermal ridge is shunted to the east, with highs ranging from the upper 60s and 70s west to 80s east, with 90s confined to the Rio Grande. Late Monday night and Tuesday, a trailing cold front will drop southward through the region, yielding a northerly wind shift and a quick return to below normal temperatures in the 60s and 70s for most Tuesday afternoon. The cooler temperatures will stick around into Wednesday, with highs in the 60s and lower 70s roughly 10 to 15 degrees below normal for early April.
Regarding the chance for precipitation in the extended - there isn't much. The extended forecast remains dry, with the exception of a low (10-20%) probability of showers and thunderstorms across eastern and northern portions of the area late Monday and Tuesday, associated with the aforementioned Pacific front and cold front. This lack of precipitation does not bode well for our ongoing drought or for fire weather concerns, more on which is discussed below in the Fire Weather Discussion.
JP
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions with increasing high clouds will continue the next 24 hours. Gusty southerly to southeasterly winds will diminish this evening, except at MAF/FST, where elevated/gusty winds will continue through the night due to a low-level jet. Between 16-18Z, winds will shift to the west/southwest at all terminals, becoming gusty with gusts to 20-30kt possible.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A substantial warming and drying trend is underway, which will yield a return to above normal temperatures Friday, and temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal both Saturday and Sunday. Winds shift to the west Friday afternoon as a lee surface trough develops to the north, with a passing short wave and its 700mb jet progged to result in an uptick in winds across western areas, especially from the Guadalupe Mountains and Southeast New Mexico south across the Upper Trans Pecos and into the Davis Mountains. 20ft winds in these areas will start the day around 15 mph, increasing to 20 to 30 mph during the afternoon, with stronger gusts and higher speeds in and immediately adjacent to the mountains. Critical RH will not be hard to come by, as RHs bottom out in the 5-10% range for all but the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. ERCs are forecast to remain around the 50th to 60th percentile across western areas, but given these ERCs as well as the stronger winds and low RHs, RFTIs of 5-7 are expected across Southeast New Mexico south to the Davis Mountains, with RFTI around 3-4 extending across the Upper Trans Pecos and into the western Permian Basin. Thus, have issued a Red Flag Warning for the aforementioned areas, and while ERCs remain marginal, IA will certainly be a concern as 10-hr and 100-hr fuel moisture continue decreasing with the persistent dry, and increasingly windy conditions.
Saturday looks to be a bit of a "down day" regarding fire weather as winds decrease, though near critical conditions will remain possible in the Guadalupe Mountains where winds will be stronger.
Focus, instead, remains on Sunday when widespread critical fire weather conditions are expected to develop as southwesterly winds increase substantially areawide. The strongest winds are once again expected along and west of the Pecos River, where unfortunately nocturnal recovery will be poor to fair at best each night leading up to Sunday's event. To the east, recovery improves to very good/excellent across the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. RHs Sunday will be around 9-15% for most of the region, with ERCs continuing to slowly, but gradually increase. Of greater concern, while 10-hr fuel moisture percentiles remain low (under 25%), a marked decrease in 100-hr fuel moisture is also forecast over the coming days leading up to Sunday, dipping under 30% for most of the region by Saturday afternoon. Given widespread forecast RFTIs Sunday of 5-7 (locally 8 from the Davis Mountains area down into the Big Bend), and 3-4 for all but the northeastern Permian Basin and portions of Terrell County, Fire Weather products are all but guaranteed over the coming days. Recovery Sunday night will be fair to good, though another very windy day is expected Monday, and while RHs won't be quite as low, another day of near critical and critical fire weather conditions is anticipated for most of the region.
Relief arrives Monday night with a strong cold front that will be accompanied by a sharp northerly wind shift, increased moisture, and a return to below normal temperatures for at least Tuesday and Wednesday. Unfortunately, precipitation chances remain low, and mainly focused across far northern and eastern areas Monday night and Tuesday.
JP
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 54 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 48 85 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 51 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 54 88 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 51 75 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 47 83 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 41 80 43 81 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 53 84 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 54 84 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 50 87 51 87 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Red Flag Warning from 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Friday for Andrews-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Loving-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
NM...Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Friday for Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 627 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A beautiful day is in store for the region with warm weather and sunny skies. Mid-level ridging is setting up along the front range of the Rocky Mountains, allowing for weak subsidence to keep skies clear and increasing temperatures compared to yesterday.
Highs return to near normal as everyone sees temperatures from the mid 70s to low 80s. A shortwave trough is forecast to move across the northern Great Plains tonight. The resulting lee troughing and low- level jet across the southern Great Plains keep temperatures mild. Most locations only cool into the upper 40s and low 50s tonight. As we move into Friday, the mid-level ridge axis slides just east of the area and the low-level thermal ridge overspreads much of the region. This low-level thermal ridge and a downsloping southwest winds push temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees above normal despite some high clouds. Almost everyone sees afternoon temperatures top out in the 80s with even some 90s along the Rio Grande Valley. Cloud cover helps to keep Friday night's temperatures mild again and similar to what we expect tonight. Enjoy the warm and sunny weather!
-Chehak
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Saturday will see the return of well above normal temperatures across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas as southwesterly flow aloft develops in response to a deepening trough along the West Coast. Concurrently, Saturday afternoon, a lee surface trough intensifies over eastern Colorado, resulting in an increase in downslope southwesterly surface flow. This compressional warming will yield highs in the 80s for most of the area, with middle to upper 70s in the mountains, and 90s along the Rio Grande. In the wake of the short wave responsible for Friday's breezy conditions, Saturday will be less windy as weak subsidence develops. However, this will change on Sunday. The aforementioned trough to the west is progged to develop a pronounced positive tilt by both deterministic guidance and ensemble clusters as it translates eastward across the Great Basin. The attendant jet rounding the base of this trough will nose into the region, and while its core remains just to the northwest, its southern branch will impinge upon Southeast New Mexico and far West Texas by Sunday afternoon and early evening. Winds are progged to increase markedly across the region, and especially along and west of the Pecos River, where the strongest winds are expected given the trough's tilt and jet's southwest- northeast orientation. One factor that may somewhat limit just how windy it becomes on Sunday will be a substantial cirrus shield associated with the fetch of moisture in the southwesterly flow, which will inhibit mixing to some degree.
Further, this cirrus will also limit how warm it becomes, in spite of a low-level thermal ridge across the area Sunday afternoon. That said, Sunday continues to be the warmest day of the forecast, with widespread highs in the middle to upper 80s, and 90s working their way from the Rio Grande Valley up across the Stockton Plateau and Trans Pecos, and into eastern and southeastern portions of the Permian Basin. These areas still have medium to high (60-100%) probabilities of seeing temperatures >90F, per ensemble analysis, with the potential tapering off quickly to the north and west, with only low to medium (10-40%)
probability that Midland sees a high of 90, keeping in line with previous forecasts.
Sunday night sees temperatures on the mild side as southwesterly winds continue and the region remains beneath expansive high clouds, with lows in the 50s west and 60s east. On Monday, the aforementioned trough ejects from the Great Basin across the Four Corners Region and into the plains, with the core of its jet progged to move over Southeast New Mexico and West Texas coincident with the low's associated Pacific front. Windy to very windy conditions will overspread the region Monday, though there remain some timing uncertainties, as everything is dependent on the timing and orientation of the trough as well as when the Pacific front sweeps across the area. To be expected, temperatures Monday cool down from those on Sunday as the mild Pacific air mass moves into the area and as the thermal ridge is shunted to the east, with highs ranging from the upper 60s and 70s west to 80s east, with 90s confined to the Rio Grande. Late Monday night and Tuesday, a trailing cold front will drop southward through the region, yielding a northerly wind shift and a quick return to below normal temperatures in the 60s and 70s for most Tuesday afternoon. The cooler temperatures will stick around into Wednesday, with highs in the 60s and lower 70s roughly 10 to 15 degrees below normal for early April.
Regarding the chance for precipitation in the extended - there isn't much. The extended forecast remains dry, with the exception of a low (10-20%) probability of showers and thunderstorms across eastern and northern portions of the area late Monday and Tuesday, associated with the aforementioned Pacific front and cold front. This lack of precipitation does not bode well for our ongoing drought or for fire weather concerns, more on which is discussed below in the Fire Weather Discussion.
JP
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions with increasing high clouds will continue the next 24 hours. Gusty southerly to southeasterly winds will diminish this evening, except at MAF/FST, where elevated/gusty winds will continue through the night due to a low-level jet. Between 16-18Z, winds will shift to the west/southwest at all terminals, becoming gusty with gusts to 20-30kt possible.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A substantial warming and drying trend is underway, which will yield a return to above normal temperatures Friday, and temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal both Saturday and Sunday. Winds shift to the west Friday afternoon as a lee surface trough develops to the north, with a passing short wave and its 700mb jet progged to result in an uptick in winds across western areas, especially from the Guadalupe Mountains and Southeast New Mexico south across the Upper Trans Pecos and into the Davis Mountains. 20ft winds in these areas will start the day around 15 mph, increasing to 20 to 30 mph during the afternoon, with stronger gusts and higher speeds in and immediately adjacent to the mountains. Critical RH will not be hard to come by, as RHs bottom out in the 5-10% range for all but the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. ERCs are forecast to remain around the 50th to 60th percentile across western areas, but given these ERCs as well as the stronger winds and low RHs, RFTIs of 5-7 are expected across Southeast New Mexico south to the Davis Mountains, with RFTI around 3-4 extending across the Upper Trans Pecos and into the western Permian Basin. Thus, have issued a Red Flag Warning for the aforementioned areas, and while ERCs remain marginal, IA will certainly be a concern as 10-hr and 100-hr fuel moisture continue decreasing with the persistent dry, and increasingly windy conditions.
Saturday looks to be a bit of a "down day" regarding fire weather as winds decrease, though near critical conditions will remain possible in the Guadalupe Mountains where winds will be stronger.
Focus, instead, remains on Sunday when widespread critical fire weather conditions are expected to develop as southwesterly winds increase substantially areawide. The strongest winds are once again expected along and west of the Pecos River, where unfortunately nocturnal recovery will be poor to fair at best each night leading up to Sunday's event. To the east, recovery improves to very good/excellent across the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. RHs Sunday will be around 9-15% for most of the region, with ERCs continuing to slowly, but gradually increase. Of greater concern, while 10-hr fuel moisture percentiles remain low (under 25%), a marked decrease in 100-hr fuel moisture is also forecast over the coming days leading up to Sunday, dipping under 30% for most of the region by Saturday afternoon. Given widespread forecast RFTIs Sunday of 5-7 (locally 8 from the Davis Mountains area down into the Big Bend), and 3-4 for all but the northeastern Permian Basin and portions of Terrell County, Fire Weather products are all but guaranteed over the coming days. Recovery Sunday night will be fair to good, though another very windy day is expected Monday, and while RHs won't be quite as low, another day of near critical and critical fire weather conditions is anticipated for most of the region.
Relief arrives Monday night with a strong cold front that will be accompanied by a sharp northerly wind shift, increased moisture, and a return to below normal temperatures for at least Tuesday and Wednesday. Unfortunately, precipitation chances remain low, and mainly focused across far northern and eastern areas Monday night and Tuesday.
JP
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 54 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 48 85 52 83 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 51 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 54 88 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 51 75 52 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 47 83 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 41 80 43 81 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 53 84 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 54 84 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 50 87 51 87 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Red Flag Warning from 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Friday for Andrews-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Loving-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
NM...Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Friday for Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Topolobampo
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:17 AM MST -0.18 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:10 AM MST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM MST Moonset
Thu -- 11:20 AM MST 0.70 meters High Tide
Thu -- 04:25 PM MST 0.23 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:31 PM MST Sunset
Thu -- 09:47 PM MST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:33 PM MST 1.15 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:17 AM MST -0.18 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:10 AM MST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM MST Moonset
Thu -- 11:20 AM MST 0.70 meters High Tide
Thu -- 04:25 PM MST 0.23 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:31 PM MST Sunset
Thu -- 09:47 PM MST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:33 PM MST 1.15 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Topolobampo, Sinaloa, Mexico, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
0.7 |
2 am |
0.4 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
-0.2 |
6 am |
-0.1 |
7 am |
-0 |
8 am |
0.2 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.6 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.6 |
2 pm |
0.5 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.4 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
0.8 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
1.1 |
11 pm |
1.1 |
Yavaros
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:06 AM MST -0.08 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:12 AM MST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM MST Moonset
Thu -- 11:23 AM MST 0.88 meters High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 PM MST 0.35 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:33 PM MST Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM MST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:37 PM MST 1.17 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:06 AM MST -0.08 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:12 AM MST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM MST Moonset
Thu -- 11:23 AM MST 0.88 meters High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 PM MST 0.35 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:33 PM MST Sunset
Thu -- 09:51 PM MST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:37 PM MST 1.17 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Yavaros, Sonora, Mexico, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
0.8 |
2 am |
0.5 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
-0 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
0.4 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.9 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
0.8 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.4 |
6 pm |
0.5 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
0.8 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
1.1 |
11 pm |
1.2 |
Tucson, AZ,
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