Sunday, January19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:55PM Sunday January 19, 2020 8:06 AM EST (13:06 UTC) Moonrise 2:16AMMoonset 1:38PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 347 Am Est Sun Jan 19 2020
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tonight..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..North winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Period 10 seconds becoming 5 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Tuesday..North northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Along the coast, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. In the gulf stream, seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet building to 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of light showers in the morning, then slight chance of light showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..North northwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots along the coast to north northwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet along the coast and 7 to 9 feet with occasional to 11 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of light showers.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots along the coast to north northeast 15 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet along the coast and 8 to 10 feet with occasional to 13 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of light showers.
Wednesday night and Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 7 to 9 feet with occasional to 11 feet in the gulf stream. North northeast swell 4 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of light showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 347 Am Est Sun Jan 19 2020
Synopsis.. A ridge of high pressure north of the region will move east as a cold front moves across the south florida waters on Monday. Marine conditions will improve across the atlantic waters today through Monday but will deteriorate once again towards the middle of the week as another strong high pressure ridge builds to the north.
Gulf stream hazards..Across the palm beach waters, seas will remain at 7 feet or higher today. Isolated Thunderstorms capable of producing gusty winds, locally higher waves, and lightning will be possible tonight into Monday ahead of the cold front. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 16, 2020 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east of lake worth. 5 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 191130 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 630 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2020

Aviation. VFR should prevail today with winds going from a southeasterly to southerly direction before turning southwesterly ahead of the front tonight and then westerly at the end of the period. Showers and possible some isolated thunderstorms are not out of the question with the frontal passage tonight into Monday with PROB30 groups in this issuance. Sub-VFR conditions are possible with the convection and trailing low cigs as well.

Prev Discussion. /issued 326 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2020/

..Showers and storms with cold front on Monday with colder weather behind the front mid-week .

Short Term (Today through Monday) . One more day under the influence of Atlantic surface high pressure and Caribbean high pressure aloft. This will allow for a generally dry and sunny day across South Florida. Wind will shift from the southeast to the south and then eventually become southwesterly by tonight. Temperatures will reach into the 80s across a good portion of the area, though some coastal areas may remain a bit cooler thanks to the onshore flow.

As the cold front enters the area tonight into Sunday, rain chances will accordingly climb with the potential for thunderstorms as well. The mid and upper level support for thunderstorms appears fairly limited with the expectation that most convection associated with the front and any pre-frontal troughs remaining mainly showers. As the front moves through on Monday and exits the region by Monday evening, cooler and drier air will quickly return over the peninsula of Florida. Temperatures on Monday night/Tuesday morning will reach into the 40s across much of Southwest Florida and the inland South Florida with the South Florida metro areas remaining in the 50s. Winds will remain in the 5 to 10 mph range which could produce wind chills below 40 degrees over portions of inland Southwest Florida and below 50 degrees elsewhere except for the east coast metro.

Long Term (Tuesday through Saturday) . Cooler and drier air continues to plunge southward across the area during the day on Tuesday as a mid-level shortwave rotating southeastward across the SE CONUS helps push the high pressure in the wake of the front further southward. This will end up making Tuesday night into Wednesday morning the coldest of the period, with low temperatures ranging from the mid 30s west of the Lake and across interior Southwest Florida to the upper 40s/near 50 right along the East Coast. With northerly winds not expected to decouple overnight, wind chill values could dip into the low 30s to mid 40s. On the other hand, frost shouldn't really be of much concern with winds around 10-15 mph expected.

As the mid-level shortwave rotates out over the western Atlantic on Tuesday night, a surface low pressure system develops and deepens off the Carolina coast, keeping the gradient tight and our winds fairly breezy into Wednesday. The surface low pushes quickly off further into the Atlantic with the parent mid-level trough Wednesday night, allowing our winds to become more easterly by Thursday. A gradual warming and moistening trend is expected through the end of the forecast period, with chances for showers over the Atlantic spreading into the East Coast and the rest of South Florida later in the week.

Towards the end of the forecast period, another system begins to develop over the Plains with deep layer troughing inducing and deepening a surface low around OK/KS on Thursday. On Friday this system is working it's way eastward across the CONUS, pushing into Florida on Saturday and likely dragging another front through the area this weekend. One thing to watch though will be the possibility of a second surface low to develop along the front over the Gulf due to some splitting jet structure occurring ahead of the trough. Still have a ways to go for it, but it could be something to watch.

Marine . As marine conditions improve over the Atlantic waters today with diminishing wind, swell, and seas, the respite will be short-lived as advisory level winds return behind the front by Tuesday with elevated seas remaining until Wednesday in the Gulf and through late week in the Atlantic due to swell from surface low pressure forecast to develop north of the Bahamas before pushing northeastward into the open Atlantic.

Aviation . VFR should prevail through most of the period with winds going from a southeasterly to southerly direction before turning southwesterly ahead of the front and then westerly. Some showers may get near APF at the end of the forecast period which could produce sub-VFR conditions.

Beach Forecast . Southeasterly wind flow and a northeasterly Atlantic swell will allow the high risk of rip currents to continue along the Atlantic beaches today. Surf heights off the Palm Beaches should diminish this morning, falling below High Surf Advisory criteria which will be allowed to expire at 7 AM EST this morning. The Miami-Dade and Broward beaches may see some improvement in the rip current risk over the next couple of days, but the Palm Beaches appear to have the high risk linger through a good portion of the week. Behind the front, the Gulf beaches could see an elevated rip current risk develop and eventually the angry Atlantic returns to bring an elevated risk along all the Atlantic beaches mid to late week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 81 62 73 54 / 10 30 30 20 Fort Lauderdale 81 65 75 56 / 10 30 30 10 Miami 81 65 75 54 / 10 30 30 10 Naples 80 58 70 47 / 10 30 20 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Monday morning for FLZ172-173.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for FLZ168.

High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for FLZ168.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-670.

GM . None.

Aviation . 02/RAG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi55 min ESE 8 G 9.9 73°F 73°F1020.3 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 13 mi67 min SE 13 G 14 74°F 76°F1020.6 hPa (-0.0)
PEGF1 22 mi55 min SE 7 G 11 73°F 1020.9 hPa
MDKF1 36 mi67 min 71°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 39 mi67 min 71°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi67 min 71°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi127 min 72°F
THRF1 41 mi127 min 72°F
JBYF1 43 mi67 min 72°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 44 mi127 min 71°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 44 mi127 min 71°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 45 mi127 min 71°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi67 min 71°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi67 min 72°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi67 min 71°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi67 min 73°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi67 min 71°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi14 minESE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F61°F68%1021 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi14 minN 010.00 miFair64°F62°F93%1021.2 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL17 mi14 minN 010.00 miFair63°F63°F100%1020.9 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi14 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds65°F60°F84%1021.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi14 minSSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F62°F71%1020.4 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi11 minESE 310.00 miFair64°F61°F90%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMIA

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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E15E11--E10E11SE9E7E6E7E6SE3E5E6SE4E5
1 day agoCalmE9E9E12
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2 days ago3E8E7E65E9E11
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E10E10E74NE5NE4NE3NE4NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN5

Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:49 AM EST     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:51 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:37 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:58 PM EST     1.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 11:16 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.61.11.51.81.91.71.410.50.20.20.30.611.41.71.81.71.30.90.4-0-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:10 AM EST     1.99 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:01 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:51 AM EST     -1.34 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:37 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:31 PM EST     1.63 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:03 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:04 PM EST     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:26 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.821.810-0.6-0.9-1.2-1.3-1011.51.61.610.1-0.7-1.1-1.4-1.6-1.4-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.