Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 2:01 AM   Moonset 1:18 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1000 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Thu night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Fri - E winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E ne 15 to 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Fri night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Sat - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Sun and Sun night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly wind flow will prevail over the local waters through the end of the work week. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 30, 2024 at 12 utc - .
18 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 012329 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 729 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 722 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Some fairly robust convection developed this afternoon along primarily the Lake breeze/east coast sea breeze intersection and then later this afternoon near the Gulf breeze in SW Florida. This activity may linger through 9PM or so over SW Florida, but should become increasingly cold pool dominant thereafter and wane with lack of heating. Generally dry conditions are then expected overnight although a few showers can't be ruled out over the Atlantic waters and east coast late tonight into early Thursday morning.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

We will continue to see a teaser of the upcoming wet season in the short term period, with showers and a few afternoon thunderstorms possible each day. Thursday will generally be less active, as drier air starts to filter in with a mid-level ridge building over the area in the wake of a trough passing through today. Convective activity will generally initiate along East Coast sea breeze boundaries before moving inland and over the Gulf Coast areas later in the day. The primary hazards with any thunderstorm would be heavy downpours and gusty winds. Other than the convective activity, conditions will be pleasant with an easterly breeze and mostly clear skies.

Temperatures will range from the low to mid 80s over the East Coast metro areas to the upper 80s and near 90 over the interior sections today and tomorrow.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

As we wrap up the week, the trough will make it's exit eastward into the Atlantic as a mid-level ridge gradually moves into the Southeast. With easterly flow and remnant moisture, there is a chance for isolated light showers late Thursday before a dry day on Friday. Through the majority of the long term, a weak body of surface high pressure will have an influence on the conditions over the Peninsula, thus keeping it drier and warm. The high will be situated over the western Atlantic which will lead to consistent easterly flow near the surface. With the E/SE flow and a quick moving shortwave trough, there will be a chance (15-30%) for isolated to scattered showers over the weekend, due to modest moisture advection and pooling. By late Monday, strong, mid-level ridging builds back in over the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast. There is potential for daily isolated showers and storms enhanced by gulf and sea breezes as we move into the new week. At this point, however, ensembles indicate that next week will begin mostly dry as we quickly move towards the wet season which begins mid-month.

Temperatures will be near to just above normal through the extended period. The highs will rise into the upper 80s across SW FL and interior, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 722 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Generally VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.
Isolated-Scattered showers will be possible at the east coast terminals late tonight through early Thursday afternoon although confidence only lends itself to VCSH at this point. Winds will generally become light and variable overnight and then trend easterly on Thursday, apart from KAPF which will see a shift to the SW in the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week. There will be chances for showers and a few thunderstorms each day, which could create locally hazardous conditions. Other than the convective threat, there is not expected to be concerns for marine conditions. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters.
Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

A high risk of rip currents will be present for the Palm beaches today with a lingering swell and onshore flow. The rest of the coast will see a moderate risk and it is likely that at least an elevated risk continues for all beaches along the Atlantic coast through the end of the week as breezy onshore flow continues.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 73 84 73 84 / 20 20 10 10 West Kendall 70 86 70 85 / 20 20 10 10 Opa-Locka 72 86 72 86 / 20 20 10 10 Homestead 72 85 72 84 / 20 20 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 73 83 73 83 / 20 20 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 73 84 73 83 / 20 20 10 10 Pembroke Pines 72 87 72 87 / 20 20 10 10 West Palm Beach 70 84 71 83 / 20 20 10 0 Boca Raton 72 85 72 85 / 20 20 10 10 Naples 71 89 70 88 / 30 40 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday morning for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Miami
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Wed -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:47 AM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 09:54 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:07 PM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Wed -- 12:18 AM EDT     1.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 10:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:45 PM EDT     1.56 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:48 PM EDT     -1.12 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:48 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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