Sunrise 6:52 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 9:47 PM   Moonset 7:25 AM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Rest of tonight - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Fri night - E ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E ne 15 to 20 kt well offshore. NEar shore, seas 1 to 2 ft. Well offshore, seas 2 to 3 ft building to 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft after midnight. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sat - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt near shore - .except E 15 to 20 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft well offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sat night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt near shore - .except E 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt well offshore. NEar shore, seas 1 to 2 ft. Well offshore, seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft building to 5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sun and Sun night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 ft or less near shore and 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Mon - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 1 foot near shore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Mon night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue - E se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E se 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 2 to 3 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and around 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 931 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis - Southeasterly winds continue through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. Winds are expected to strengthen this weekend, along with building seas, before gradually subsiding early next week.

FXUS62 KMFL 252310 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 710 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Models show high pressure/mid level ridging dominating the weather pattern across the region. The ridge gradually shifts eastward through the weekend with overall subsidence and dry conditions prevailing. Afternoon temperatures will again range from the lower 80s near the east coast to the mid to upper 80s over interior areas. An isolated shower or two can't be totally ruled out over the interior this afternoon, mainly along sea breeze boundaries, but chances remain very low. Given the light flow and dry airmass, another seasonably cool night can be expected tonight with lows generally in the 60s.

Reinforcing high pressure is seen in models arriving on Friday, which will increase pressure gradients across Soflo. This will result in increasing easterly winds and thus a weakening of the Gulf breeze circulation. Temperatures will remain similar over the east coast (although dewpoints will slightly increase), but slightly increase over the western half of the area, but should remain seasonable overall. Given the continued influence of mid-lvl ridging, rainfall is once again not expected.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 212 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Mid to upper level ridging establishes itself over the eastern half of the country this weekend into early next week. A strong surface high will remain over the western Atlantic, building westward during the early portion of the week which will keep breezy easterly winds through the period. The surface pressure gradient will begin to weaken during the early to middle portion of next week which should allow breezy conditions to begin to relax. Dry conditions will prevail through the period outside of a few shallow stray showers that may manage to develop in the brisk easterly flow. Temperatures will be characteristic of a strong easterly regime with the warmest highs (generally upper 80s) over the Interior/west coast with cooler highs (generally low to mid 80s) over the east coast. The reverse will be true with overnight lows with milder readings (low 70s) over the east coast and 60s over the Interior/west coast.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 704 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

VFR through the 00Z TAF period. Winds will become light and variable overnight into early Friday morning. Easterly winds increase to 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts from late morning through the afternoon. A westerly Gulf breeze is expected at APF after 19Z.

MARINE
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Current benign boating conditions will continue tonight as the moderate easterly winds become light and variable. Then on Friday, winds will increase and remain breezy through the weekend as strong high pressure north of the area builds southward.

BEACHES
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

A high risk of rip currents remains in effect for the Palm Beach coastline, and it is expected to expand into the rest of the Atlantic beaches this afternoon and through the weekend as easterly flow increases.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 700 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

A dry airmass will remain in place over South Florida through the weekend. Min RH values on Friday may drop into the mid to upper 30 percent range over interior SW FL. Despite easterly winds being below critical thresholds, dry fuels (the Significant Fire Potential Forecast remains in the brown category) combined with the lower RH values may still result in some localized fire concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 69 82 72 81 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 65 82 69 82 / 0 0 0 10 Opa-Locka 69 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 69 82 71 81 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 70 81 72 80 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 69 81 72 81 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 69 83 71 83 / 0 10 0 10 West Palm Beach 67 81 70 81 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 69 82 70 82 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 67 87 68 88 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Round Key
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Thu -- 02:57 AM EDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:21 AM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:03 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:19 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Round Key, Florida, Tide feet

Cape Romano
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Thu -- 02:46 AM EDT     3.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:13 AM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:52 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:11 PM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Romano, Florida, Tide feet

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