Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Goodland, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 5:37PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 2:08 PM EST (19:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:39PMMoonset 5:23AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 327 Am Est Tue Dec 10 2019
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of light showers in the morning, then chance of light showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and northeast 5 to 15 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of light showers in the evening.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and east 5 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. Slight chance of light showers in the evening, then chance of light showers after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of light showers in the morning, then slight chance of light showers in the afternoon.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1214 Pm Cst Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis..Areas of dense fog will continue over much of mobile bay and adjacent near shore waters through mid afternoon. Light west to southwest flow will shifting northerly in the wake of a cold front late this afternoon and early evening, and increase in strength. The small craft advisory will likely need to begin earlier as the front has been progressing faster then forecast. Winds become northeast to east and will remain moderate to strong into mid week as a strong high pressure system expands across the eastern states. Unsettled weather pattern continues through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goodland, FL
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location: 25.84, -81.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 101738 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1238 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

Aviation. General VFR conditions through the afternoon or evening . with a few periods of brief MVFR along the east coast terminals through 20Z. Brisk 12-15kt winds from the southeast will slacken with sunset this evening . generally below 10kts. Lighter winds allow for some patchy fog after midnight . however . no significant visibility concerns at the forecast terminals themselves. Great concern for fog will be over inland areas through 13/14Z.

Prev Discussion. /issued Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL/

Update . Inherited forecast appears on track as stacked ridging remain in control of south Florida for one final days.

15z water vapor and H4 RAP analysis showing mid and upper level ridging extending from the Bahamas, over south Florida, and then into the SE Gulf of Mexico. The presence of this protective ridge was sampled by the 12Z KMFL RAOB this morning . with a well- defined subsidence inversion located around 825mb. Above this level, the column becomes rather dry . although the overall PW value is not all that low for the time of year.

Closer to the surface we find an Atlantic high pressure ridge axis stretching westward across the central FL peninsula and eastern Gulf of Mexico. Our position to the south of this ridge axis is providing a moist southeasterly flow. A sct-bkn shallow cumulus field is expanding across the landmass as diurnal heating warms temperatures through the 70s . on the way to the lower/middle 80s this afternoon.

Generally speaking, the ridging/dry air aloft, and lack of any appreciable forcing for ascent should keep the majority of the region dry through the afternoon/evening hours. The only exception to this may be over the interior northern zones . mainly over and around Lake Okeechobee Despite the fact that it is December. strong diurnal heating . and a weak pressure gradient up toward the lake . in closer proximity to the surface ridge axis is expected to allow for a west-coast sea- breeze to develop and propagate inland. Higher resolution guidance members are mostly in agreement that the collision of this boundary with the more synoptic southeasterly flow later this afternoon . combined with some added directional convergence caused by a feeble lake breeze . may be enough to support a few updrafts capable of supporting brief showers. The most likely areas to see a brief shower after 19-20Z would be Glades/Hendry counties. Convective allowing guidance is generally too aggressive with this type of activity, however, given the degree of heating today and fact that even a few of the parameterized members have their schemes tripped in this scenario . will continue to show some slight chance to chance PoPs in this northern region.

Prev Discussion . /issued 546 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019/

Aviation . Generally VFR conditions are expected through the period. A few brief showers will be possible along the east coast sites, and some fog will be possible across the interior both this morning and overnight tonight.

Prev Discussion . /issued 349 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019/

Short Term (Today Through Wednesday Night) . Some fog has begun to develop across portions of the interior this morning and could become dense in a few places before dissipating after sunrise. Breezy southeasterly flow is expected today as surface high pressure continues to push eastward over the Atlantic and a cold front pushes into the state. Increasing moisture out ahead of this front will allow for a few showers to develop today and tonight, primarily along the east coast. The increased moisture will likely allow for more fog development across the interior overnight tonight and again could become dense in some areas. The front will ultimately stall out to the north over Central Florida tomorrow, with deeper moisture remaining overhead. This will lead to a slight increase in showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, with a few thunderstorms possible Wednesday afternoon.

Long Term .

Thursday and Friday .

The stalled frontal zone to the north of the CWA will assist in keeping elevated moisture across the region along with some lift. This will promote the development of rain showers on Thursday and Friday that may be diurnally enhanced. Instability associated with this frontal zone will be limited over South Florida; however, differential heating over the interior and southern portions of the peninsula may allow for the development of isolated thunderstorms.

Throughout the day on Friday, a major shortwave trough is forecast to progress ESE towards the northern Gulf of Mexico. As this trough traverses over the aforementioned frontal zone, cyclogenesis will likely materialize near the Big Bend region of Florida. Dynamic lift associated with this new area of low pressure is forecast to remain north of the CWA on Friday as it lifts to the NE. Therefore, this feature will likely enhance rain showers on Friday due to a brief increase in moisture advection and mass convergence over South Florida.

This Weekend Into Early Next Week .

By early this weekend, the aforementioned area of low pressure will continue to lift NE, dragging a weak frontal boundary across Florida. This will allow for elevated moisture to stick around over South Florida and promote the development of rain showers across the area on Saturday. By Sunday, drier air will advect over the peninsula as high pressure briefly builds over the region. Temperatures will be slightly cooler on Sunday due to the passage of this weak frontal boundary.

By next Tuesday, an area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the Mid-South and progress eastward. This will lead to a well- defined frontal boundary approaching South Florida by the end of the forecast period, bringing additional rain showers across the region.

Marine . Generally benign boating conditions are expected for the next several days. Conditions deteriorate across the Atlantic waters Thursday as northeasterly swell from a deepening low off the CONUS East Coast arrives to our local waters. This swell will cause wave heights to increase to around 6 to 9 feet, with the highest in the Gulf Stream. The influence from the swell is short-lived, and benign marine conditions are expected for the weekend and into early next week.

Beaches . A high risk of rip currents is forecast for the Palm Beaches today with a moderate risk forecast for the rest of the Atlantic beaches due to breezy southeasterly winds. Northeast swell will likely cause an increased rip current risk and rough surf for the Atlantic beaches, primarily the Palm Beaches, Thursday and Friday of this week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 69 82 69 80 / 30 40 50 40 Fort Lauderdale 72 82 71 80 / 30 40 40 40 Miami 71 83 71 81 / 20 40 30 30 Naples 67 82 67 81 / 10 20 20 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EST this evening for FLZ168.

AM . None. GM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 16 mi84 min S 8.9 85°F 1019 hPa75°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 19 mi129 min 73°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 22 mi69 min 75°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 24 mi57 min SSE 5.1 G 13 80°F 72°F1018 hPa
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 29 mi69 min 73°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 33 mi129 min 72°F
HREF1 39 mi69 min 72°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi69 min 73°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 42 mi75 min SSW 13 G 16 79°F 1018.7 hPa
SREF1 42 mi69 min 73°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 43 mi69 min 73°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 44 mi69 min 70°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 44 mi129 min 73°F
CWAF1 48 mi129 min 76°F
NRRF1 49 mi69 min 72°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL24 mi76 minSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F69°F57%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SW8S6SW3CalmNE3E4E3E4E3E5E6E5E6E5E6E5E7SE8SE10SE13
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1 day agoW8SW7W4CalmE5SE7CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4NE4NE3NE3CalmNE3E4E7E7SE9SE8SE7SE7
2 days agoW7W9W6W3NW4CalmN3E3CalmNE6NE4NE6E6E6NE4NE6NE6NE7E6E8NE7SE95W9

Tide / Current Tables for Round Key, Florida
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Round Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:22 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:05 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:25 PM EST     3.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:50 PM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:23 PM EST     4.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.12.31.40.5-0.1-0.4-0.20.51.52.53.43.83.83.32.51.81.21.11.42.12.93.64.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Romano, Florida
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Cape Romano
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:23 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:57 AM EST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:14 PM EST     3.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:42 PM EST     1.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:12 PM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.92.41.70.90.2-0.3-0.4-0.20.41.22.12.83.132.62.11.61.31.21.522.63.13.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.