Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Everglades, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:58PM Thursday August 22, 2019 1:40 PM EDT (17:40 UTC) Moonrise 11:25PMMoonset 11:58AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1016 Am Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Rest of today..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms
showers likely
Tonight..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely.
Saturday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday through Monday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1033 Am Cdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis..A light and predominately southerly wind flow will continue through much of the week. Gulf seas will range between one and two feet outside of Thunderstorm activity. Shower and Thunderstorm coverage will generally be greatest from late night through noon each day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Everglades, FL
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location: 25.86, -81.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 221413
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1013 am edt Thu aug 22 2019

Update
Updated the forecast based on current radar trends. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms over the atlantic waters and the east
coast will begin to shift towards the interior and west coast
sections as the day progresses. More shower and thunderstorm
activity will occur this afternoon as the east and west coast sea
breezes move inland. The main hazards with the thunderstorms today
will be lightning and heavy downpours. The heavy downpours could
lead to some flooding across the low lying and poor drainage areas
of the west coast. The chances of showers and thunderstorms will
increase for Friday and into the upcoming weekend as a trough of
low pressure associated with a tropical disturbance will move
towards the florida peninsula. The weather prediction center
continues to have south florida under a marginal risk for heavy
rainfall on Friday. Some flooding will be possible across the
region on Friday and into the upcoming weekend especially in the
low lying and poor drainage areas.

Prev discussion issued 726 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
aviation...

vfr conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.

Easterly flow will start to increase by the late morning hours to
around 10 knots. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
to develop today. The highest concentration will shift from the
east coast this morning to the interior and west coast this
afternoon. At kapf, winds will shift around to a southwesterly
direction as the sea breeze moves inland this afternoon.

Prev discussion... Issued 325 am edt Thu aug 22 2019
discussion...

today: persistent easterly flow across the region with the atlantic
high pressure continuing to dominate. This has allowed showers to
move in over the east coast from the atlantic along the breeze
overnight. Showers over the atlantic moving over the east coast
will be possible this morning. Sufficient moisture across the
region will allow for higher coverage of showers and thunderstorms
across south florida this afternoon and evening. Greatest coverage
will be over the interior and gulf coast along the gulf coast sea
breeze.

Friday and Saturday: the increased rain chances will continue as
we end the week and enter the weekend. A trough of low pressure
associated with a disturbance over the central bahamas will move
towards the florida peninsula. With this increase in tropical
moisture overall shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase
across the area. The national hurricane center has this
disturbance having a 0% chance of formation in the next 48 hours
and 20% in the next 5 days. The important thing is that regardless
of formation of this disturbance there is increased potential for
heavy rainfall Friday into the weekend. The weather prediction
center has placed much of south florida under a marginal risk of
excessive rainfall fro Friday. There is potential that the heavy
rainfall from storms may cause flooding across the region, with
localized street flooding and flooding in low-lying poor drainage
areas. The disturbance will begin to move NE away from the region
by Saturday but lingering moisture will remain with elevated rain
chances throughout the weekend.

We will have to continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance
as it approaches south florida and just how close the deeper
moisture does get to the southeast coast of florida. As of now the
deepest moisture is forecasted to stay offshore but a slight shift
west may lead to higher moisture and increased rainfall totals
across the area.

Early next week: high pressure will build in the gulf Sunday into
early next week. This will lead to a shift in flow with winds
becoming southerly to southwesterly. Convection will develop along
both seabreezes with the main focus of convection being over the
interior lake okeechobee and palm beach regions.

Marine...

east to southeasterly winds will prevail throughout the rest of
the week. Seas will be generally 2-3 feet in the atlantic, and 2
feet or less in the gulf. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible throughout the forecast period over the local south
florida waters. Increased moisture Friday into the weekend will
bring elevated precipitation chances as a tropical disturbance
approaches the area. Gusty and erratic winds with locally higher
seas are possible in and around any convection.

Aviation...

with an easterly flow across south florida, any convection that
develops over the eastern side of the peninsula, will trek
westward, causing the highest chances for shra TS to be in the
interior and along the gulf coast. Some of the +shra +ts may bring
localized ifr conditions, mainly in the afternoon hours.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 89 77 89 77 40 40 60 50
fort lauderdale 89 78 89 78 50 40 60 50
miami 90 78 90 77 40 40 60 50
naples 90 76 90 76 60 20 60 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 13 mi101 min 88°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 15 mi101 min 89°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 21 mi176 min NNE 4.1 85°F 1018 hPa78°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 24 mi101 min 88°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 26 mi101 min 84°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 29 mi59 min 87°F 87°F1017 hPa
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 34 mi101 min 87°F
HREF1 35 mi101 min 85°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi101 min 85°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 38 mi101 min 85°F
SREF1 38 mi101 min 87°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 38 mi161 min 85°F
CWAF1 44 mi161 min 87°F
NRRF1 44 mi101 min 84°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 46 mi107 min NE 8 G 9.9 86°F 1018.2 hPa
LRIF1 48 mi101 min 86°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL28 mi48 minN 710.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F73°F54%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W9--W7SW8S8NE5N3Calm----Calm----------NE4CalmN3NE5----N7
1 day agoSE6E9NE7----SW6N5E6----Calm------------E3E6--------E7
2 days ago------NE8NE7E9SE7E6E7--------------NE4E7E9E8E8SE10SE7SE9

Tide / Current Tables for Everglades City, Barron River, Florida
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Everglades City
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Thu -- 01:44 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM EDT     2.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:32 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:00 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.60.60.91.52.22.72.92.72.41.91.510.70.50.50.81.31.92.32.52.42.11.7

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Key, Florida
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Indian Key
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:20 AM EDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:26 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:32 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.52.33.13.94.34.23.83.22.51.81.2111.422.73.33.73.73.42.92.21.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.