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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1000 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Rest of today..W sw winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Period 2 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tonight..Along the coast, W winds 5 to 10 kt becoming N nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. In the gulf stream, W sw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming N nw after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 2 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tue..Winds N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tue night..N nw winds 15 to 20 kt. Along the coast, seas 1 to 2 ft. In the gulf stream, seas 2 to 3 ft building to 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft after midnight. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wed..N nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft along the coast and 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt along the coast to N 15 to 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft along the coast and 5 to 8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Thu..E ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft along the coast and 5 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Thu night and Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft along the coast and 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis..
mariners can expect winds gradually transitioning out of the west/northwest through today, and generally maintaining this direction through the first half of the week. Outside of isolated showers, conditions at sea will be relatively calm and characterized by gentle to moderate winds today. Winds and waves could increase during the middle portion of the work-week behind the next cold front, ushering in potentially hazardous marine conditions.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 02, 2023 at 12 utc...
33 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 041744 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1244 PM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

With the continued advection of the mid-level trough across the northeastern United States, synoptic forcing will allow for the surface low associated with the frontal boundary to advect into the western Atlantic waters and the frontal boundary to sweep southward across the Florida Peninsula. While moisture remains meager with the frontal boundary, a few isolated showers along the boundary cannot be ruled out given that the frontal passage is currently forecast after peak diurnal heating with warm temperatures and ample low level moisture. High temperatures will remain several degrees above average with forecast temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. These forecast high temperatures could once again come close to tie-ing or break climatological records for the date (88F at MIA, 88F at FLL, 89 at PBI). These values remain quite toasty for an early December day in South Florida and are a direct result of westerly flow and plentiful warm air advection across the region. Winds behind the frontal passage will swing to a northwesterly direction with a drier continental airmass beginning to filter into the region.

This will usher in a period of cooler weather beginning on Tuesday.
The limited fetch behind the first front will lead to a reduction in maximum temperatures by a few degrees, but a more notable drop in dewpoints - into the mid-50s/lower 60s. This, coupled with near zero rainfall chances across much of the region, should yield a quiescent and temperate day overall, with little to no weather impacts of concern during this period. Temperatures will be reduced compared to prior days, with maximum temperatures reaching the upper 70s/lower 80s across much of the region. A second frontal boundary will approach the region which will provide an additional injection of dry air and cold air advection across the region into the extended period.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 120 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

On Wednesday, a secondary frontal system is anticipated to usher in a transient phase of notably cool and exceptionally dry air over South Florida. High temperatures for the day are forecast to range only in the low to mid-70s, while dewpoints are expected to descend into the 30s and 40s. The subsequent night leading into Thursday morning is projected to be the coldest interval of this period, with temperatures potentially dropping to the mid-40s in areas near the lake and to the mid-50s in the proximity of the east coast metropolitan regions.

As the high-pressure system situated to our north migrates eastward from Thursday into the latter part of the week, an easterly wind shift is expected. This alteration will introduce a maritime influence, moderating dewpoints and overnight temperatures. By Friday morning, low temperatures are predicted to vary from the mid-50s near the lake to the mid-60s in the east coast metropolitan areas. Despite this, the prevailing air mass, characterized by the continuance of cold 850 mb temperatures (around the lower 10th percentile), will maintain cool conditions, resulting in mild daytime highs around the mid-70s on Thursday, with a slight increase to the mid to upper 70s forecast by Friday.
By Saturday, the high-pressure system will have advanced significantly into the Atlantic, fostering a regime of warm advection and leading to highs exceeding the seasonal norms, returning to the 80s.

Throughout the extended forecast period, predominantly dry conditions are expected. However, from Friday into Saturday, the interaction of a weak southern stream wave and modest coastal convergence may suffice to trigger isolated showers near the east coast.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Generally VFR through the period as a cold front moves through the region today into tonight. Wind will become northerly to northwesterly by the end of the period. Some lighter wind flow overnight could allow for directional variability, particularly away from the coast.

MARINE
Issued at 1208 PM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

As a frontal boundary approaches the region today, there's a possibility of isolated showers occurring over the local waters, with the greatest chances over the Gulf waters. A north/northwesterly wind shift will develop in the wake of this cold front, with another stronger cold front moving through the region by Wednesday. Most of this week remains dry, with cautionary conditions being possible with the front moving through the region in the middle of this week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 70 82 60 73 / 10 0 0 0 West Kendall 67 83 56 73 / 10 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 68 83 58 73 / 10 0 0 0 Homestead 68 82 58 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 69 82 59 72 / 10 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 68 82 59 72 / 10 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 67 82 58 73 / 10 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 65 81 56 71 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 67 82 58 72 / 10 0 0 0 Naples 63 79 58 72 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Port Everglades
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Mon -- 12:37 AM EST     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:44 AM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:31 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:09 PM EST     2.61 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:29 PM EST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Everglades, Turning Basin, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 02:11 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:23 AM EST     -0.88 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:25 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:53 AM EST     1.48 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:31 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:42 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:01 PM EST     -0.85 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:00 PM EST     -0.84 knots Min Ebb
Mon -- 06:57 PM EST     -0.85 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:01 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:19 PM EST     1.32 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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