Wednesday, February19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Dania Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:16PM Wednesday February 19, 2020 4:29 AM EST (09:29 UTC) Moonrise 4:07AMMoonset 2:51PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 339 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Today..East southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to east southeast 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of light showers after midnight.
Thursday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 20 knots after midnight. Along the coast, seas around 2 feet. In the gulf stream, seas around 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet after midnight. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of light showers in the evening. Chance of light showers after midnight.
Friday..North winds 15 to 25 knots. Along the coast, seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. In the gulf stream, seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet building to 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas to 13 feet in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots along the coast to north northeast 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 10 to 12 feet with occasional to 15 feet in the gulf stream. North swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Showers likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet along the coast and 9 to 11 feet with occasional to 14 feet in the gulf stream. North swell 3 to 7 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers.
Saturday night..East northeast winds around 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet along the coast and 9 to 11 feet with occasional to 14 feet in the gulf stream. North swell 3 to 7 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. North swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 339 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Synopsis.. Gentle to moderate breezes are anticipated on Wednesday into Thursday with a few showers possible. Hazardous marine conditions will develop behind a cold front on Friday into the weekend as strong breezes with gale force gusts are possible along with high seas.
Gulf stream hazards..High winds and seas developing on Friday into the weekend. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 15, 2020 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dania Beach city, FL
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location: 26.09, -80.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 190856 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 356 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

Short Term (Today through Thursday).

A mid to upper level area of high pressure centered around Cuba and the northern Caribbean Sea will keep convection fairly shallow today. Southeasterly flow around a surface high in the Atlantic will allow the warm, moist airmass over the region to persist and another warm day is forecast with the potential for another record at Naples to be on the line. Morning showers from the Atlantic could push into the east coast metro before the convective focus shifts westward for the afternoon with the State Road 29 corridor being a target for showers later in the day. A Gulf sea breeze is expected to develop and advance which could contribute to a few more showers in this area.

The frontal boundary over the southeastern United States will eventually gain a push forward as a mid-level longwave trough pushes through the central United States on Tuesday. The mid-level high centered to our south will eventually cede to the frontal boundary with Thursday serving as a pattern transition day. The surface flow remains with a southerly component ahead of the front on Thursday, so the warm and moist airmass will remain with temperatures rising into the 80s across the area. Ahead of the mid-level longwave trough, a shortwave trough will push off the south Atlantic coast of the United States, helping to spur a surface low off Georgia and the Carolinas late on Thursday.

Long Term (Friday through Wednesday).

Friday through Sunday .

By late Thursday evening into overnight Friday, a mid/upper-level positively tilted trough will progress southeastward across the eastern CONUS, leading to cyclogenesis off the South Carolina/Georgia coastline. As the surface low forms and rapidly deepens, winds across South Florida will veer from the E/SE to the N/NW and begin to increase in magnitude. Boundary layer moisture will remain in place across South Florida as the veering occurs, leading to the development of isolated to scattered showers across the eastern portions of South Florida.

The aforementioned surface low pressure is forecast to quickly progress northeastward with the main upper-level steering flow as it drags a frontal boundary across South Florida throughout the day on Friday. As this occurs, winds will continue to veer from a N/NW direction to a northerly direction in conjunction with a rapidly tightening pressure gradient across South Florida. Wind gusts are currently forecast to be at or above 30 mph for most areas of South Florida on Friday afternoon, with higher gusts over the Atlantic waters of South Florida. This will introduce hazardous marine conditions (see Marine section below). A relatively shallow band of moisture is forecast to advect across the region with the frontal boundary, allowing for the development of isolated to scattered showers. Shower coverage is forecast to be greatest over the eastern portions of South Florida and the adjacent Atlantic waters. High temperatures on Friday are forecast to be in the 70s across most areas of South Florida.

By Saturday, winds across South Florida will veer from a northerly direction to a northeasterly direction, allowing for moisture to advect from the Atlantic waters across the eastern portions of South Florida. This will allow for the continuation of isolated to scattered showers across the eastern portions of South Florida in addition to the potential for an isolated thunderstorm over the northern Atlantic waters of South Florida where thermodynamic instability may be maximized. Saturday will be another breezy day with wind gusts forecast to be near 25 mph throughout the day across most of South Florida. Higher gusts can be expected across the Atlantic and Gulf waters of South Florida leading to a continuation of hazardous marine conditions. Minimum temperatures on Saturday morning will be in the low 50s near Lake Okeechobee and inland South Florida, while the eastern areas will experience the low 60s. High temperatures on Saturday will be slightly cooler than Friday, in the low 70s across much of South Florida.

The pressure gradient will relax slightly on Sunday leading to a decrease in wind speeds across South Florida as surface high pressure settles over the Tennessee Valley. Easterly surface winds will allow for isolated showers to move onshore along the Atlantic coastline of South Florida, especially early in the day. The Atlantic and Gulf waters of South Florida will still see wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph throughout the day on Sunday leading to the continuation of hazardous marine conditions.

The aforementioned surface high pressure will weaken and shift eastward into the western Atlantic waters as a deepening low pressure system traverses the central CONUS on Sunday.

Early next week .

The aforementioned low pressure system is forecast to lift northeastward, keeping the dynamic forcing for ascent and appreciable thermodynamic instability well to the north of the South Florida CWA. Surface winds will veer to a southeasterly direction through this period, allowing for a slight uptick in boundary layer moisture. Therefore, a slight chance of showers may exist on Tuesday and Wednesday across the northern portions of South Florida ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. High temperatures will be back in the 80s during this period.

Marine.

Cautionary conditions remain possible, particularly with easterly surges, over the next day or so. A front will push across the region late in the week with strong winds, elevated seas, and swell in its wake. Hazardous marine conditions will develop by the weekend with the potential for at least Small Craft Advisory. Some portions of the Atlantic could see winds approaching Gale force with seas reaching 10 to 15 feet as swell from a low off the Carolinas pushes into the local waters this weekend. The hazardous conditions could linger into early next week in the Atlantic waters off South Florida.

Beach Forecast.

An elevated rip current risk will remain today along the Atlantic beaches. There is some improvement expected for Thursday before the rip current risk begins to creep upward on Friday into the weekend. Increasing swell and building northeasterly winds will create a high risk of rip currents for much of the weekend along with the potential for high surf and beach erosion along the Atlantic beaches. These hazardous beach conditions could linger into early next week as well.

Another concern is the potential for coastal flooding with high tide due to the new moon this weekend. The northeasterly to easterly wind, persistent swell, and high seas will contribute to the potential for higher-than-normal tides which could create minor coastal impacts for at least this weekend.

Climate.

NWS FORECAST Today HIGH RECORD YEAR AVE +-

***NAPLES 87 87 IN 1997 78 9 WEST PALM BEACH 84 88 IN 2017 77 7 FORT LAUDERDALE 83 89 IN 1926 78 5 MIAMI 84 87 IN 2012 79 5

Prev Discussion. /issued 1252 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020/

Aviation .

Generally VFR with some sub-VFR cigs possible overnight. APF could also experience some sub-VFR low cigs or fog tonight into the early morning hours. Light flow out of the east to southeast except for the potential of a Gulf sea breeze at APF again today. Some showers could develop from east to west through the day, particularly along the interior in the afternoon.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 84 69 84 65 / 20 20 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 83 71 84 67 / 10 20 20 20 Miami 84 71 84 67 / 20 20 20 20 Naples 87 68 83 63 / 20 20 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 02/RAG Aviation . 02/RAG Beach Forecast . 02/RAG Climate . 02/RAG Short Term . 02/RAG Long Term . 18/Weinman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 0 mi65 min 78°F 1019.2 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 25 mi65 min 78°F 79°F1019.6 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 35 mi89 min SE 16 G 17 77°F 77°F1019.7 hPa (-0.7)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 36 mi59 min 78°F 78°F1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL2 mi36 minSSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds76°F70°F82%1019.1 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL8 mi36 minSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F70°F84%1019.7 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL9 mi36 minESE 510.00 miFair76°F70°F82%1019.8 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL11 mi36 minSE 910.00 miA Few Clouds77°F70°F79%1019.6 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL15 mi36 minSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F70°F84%1019.6 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL20 mi36 minESE 710.00 miA Few Clouds77°F69°F77%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFLL

Wind History from FLL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE11SE13E11SE15SE12SE14SE14SE14E13SE12SE14E12SE11SE11SE10SE12SE11SE11SE11SE10SE7SE9SE8
1 day agoCalmS3CalmN3N3SE4E4SE10E11
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2 days agoE11E16
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E13E18E13SE9SE13SE13SE12S10S11S5S3S4S3S4S4CalmCalmCalmN3

Tide / Current Tables for Port Everglades, Turning Basin, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Port Everglades
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:11 AM EST     2.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:18 AM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:51 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:16 PM EST     2.20 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:15 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:34 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.51.11.72.22.42.31.91.40.90.50.20.30.61.11.622.22.11.81.30.70.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:01 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:49 AM EST     1.87 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:29 AM EST     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 12:35 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:52 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:14 PM EST     1.55 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:16 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:46 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:48 PM EST     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.91.41.71.91.40.6-0.1-0.5-0.9-1.3-1.2-0.60.411.31.51.40.6-0.2-0.7-1-1.3-1.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.