Monday, February17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Boulevard Gardens, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:15PM Monday February 17, 2020 6:59 AM EST (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:13AMMoonset 1:08PM Illumination 37% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 643 Am Est Mon Feb 17 2020
Today..Southeast winds 10 knots along the coast to southeast 5 to 10 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Tonight..East southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet in the gulf stream. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Along the coast, southwest winds around 5 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots late in the evening, seas less than 2 feet building to 2 to 3 feet after midnight. In the gulf stream, west southwest winds around 5 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots late in the evening, then becoming 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots in the morning, seas around 2 feet building to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Friday..North northeast winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Along the coast, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet building to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet building to 10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to 15 feet in the afternoon. North swell 3 to 5 feet in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 643 Am Est Mon Feb 17 2020
Synopsis..SEas and swell continue to subside as high pressure begins to build in across the region through mid-week. A cold front approaches towards the end of the week with increasing northerly swell and hazardous marine conditions late week into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 15, 2020 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 7 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Boulevard Gardens, FL
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location: 26.11, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 171153 AAB AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 653 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2020

Update.

Radar is picking up on a few scattered showers offshore. This is likely in response to some subtle ascent from an upper level short wave moving off the Atlantic coastline north of our region this morning . along with low level convergence in association with a surface trough. Looking at CAMs, used ARW as a baseline as it seems to be pinging this activity better. Decided to introduce slight POPs through the afternoon as a weak frontal boundary lingers across or close to the I4 corridor as the aforementioned surface trough. Think with the best dynamics remain north so we'll probably be mostly dry, but like days past we cannot rule out a stray shower or two. Otherwise, forecast through the AM looks good to go. Any patchy fog out there should be dissipating shortly.

Prev Discussion. /issued 608 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2020/

.06z Aviation Update.

Aviation .

Light and variable winds will increase from the SE today except APF where a west seabreeze is anticipated this afternoon. Any leftover fog banks from earlier this morning should dissipate shortly after sunrise. A few showers are possible but coverage is too low to include in TAF.

Prev Discussion . /issued 309 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2020/

Discussion .

Short Term (Monday-Tuesday):

Some patchy fog may develop over the interior and Southwest Florida this morning. Some localized areas areas may become dense with visibilities dropping to less than one mile. Fog will begin to dissipate after sunrise.

Lingering moisture as a stationary front continues to lift northward out of Florida and a surface trough dissipates later this morning as the enhancing feature, a mid-level shortwave, has exited the area. A few lingering stray showers are possible but overall rain chances are lower than the past few days as high pressure begins to build across the region. The surface high will be accompanied by a mid- level ridge that build into the Florida peninsula. This will help inhibit shower activity as we move into Tuesday and the middle of the week.

East to southeasterly winds across the region will allow temperatures to moderate and warm to above normal for this time of year. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s today, and even warmer on Tuesday in the mid to upper 80s. Minima temperatures will also be above normal in the upper 60s near 70 for the Gulf coast and low 70s for the east coast.

Long Term (Wednesday-Sunday):

Models depict mid level ridging still over the area, along with sfc high pressure over the western Atlantic on Wednesday. These features will keep chances of rain on the low-end scattered through early Thursday when model solutions continue to show a deepening trough over the eastern CONUS. An associated sfc front is analyzed near the Florida Panhandle.

The described synoptic scenario will result in the ridge over SoFlo weakening and allowing for a little more shower coverage Thursday afternoon, favoring West Palm and Broward counties. Meanwhile, the models push the troughiness over the east CONUS further east, and pushing the associated front further south and into central/southern Florida by Friday. This will increase chances of showers into the high-end scattered, especially over the Atlantic waters. But model solutions still keep the best dynamic support well to the north of SoFlo, thus no thunderstorm activity is anticipated with this front. Main impacts will be cooler temps across the area Saturday morning with low 50s near the Lake, and low 60s for the Atlantic metro areas.

High pressure returns in the wake of the FROPA, bringing easterly flow and a typical afternoon shower regime across the Atlantic coastline. There will be lesser chances of rain for interior and west coast areas through the weekend.

Marine . Marine conditions continue to improve with seas subsiding and the northeast swell diminishing. A few showers may still be possible over Atlantic waters. High pressure will begin to build in across the region and limit shower activity through mid-week. Southeasterly wind flow over local South Florida waters with benign boating conditions through mid-week. A cold front arrives, with increasing northerly swell late week with hazardous marine conditions possible Friday into the weekend.

Beach . There will be a high risk of rip currents through Monday across the east coast beaches with a moderate southeasterly flow in place.

Aviation . Light and variable winds overnight. Some fog may develop over portions of the interior and Southwest coast including KAPF. Winds increase in the morning out of the southeast, except KAPF where a Gulf coast breeze looks to develop. A few showers are possible but coverage is too low to include in TAF.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 82 70 81 71 / 20 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 81 72 81 72 / 20 10 0 0 Miami 82 71 82 71 / 20 10 0 0 Naples 82 67 84 68 / 0 10 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM . None. GM . None.

Update . 28/Frye Aviation . 17/AR Short term/marine/Beach . LK Long term . AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 2 mi66 min 72°F 1015.8 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 26 mi66 min 71°F 77°F1016.8 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 35 mi66 min 72°F 76°F1015.4 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 36 mi60 min N 4.1 G 5.1 74°F 77°F1017 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL3 mi67 minSSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds69°F66°F93%1015.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL6 mi67 minS 410.00 miFair68°F66°F96%1016.1 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL9 mi67 minS 410.00 miFair68°F64°F90%1016.7 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL10 mi67 minS 710.00 miFair69°F66°F90%1015.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL15 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair67°F66°F97%1017 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL21 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair69°F64°F84%1017 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFLL

Wind History from FLL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE13E15
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E13E18E13SE9SE13SE13SE12S10S11S5S3S4S3S4S4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmS3Calm
1 day agoN6N7N8NE9NE7E4E6NE10NE13NE15
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2 days agoS4S10S8S6S64SE9SE9SE9S8S7SW8W6NW4CalmN4NE6N9N8N8N8N8N7N8

Tide / Current Tables for Andrews Avenue bridge, New River, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Andrews Avenue bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:13 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:48 AM EST     1.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:14 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:07 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:57 PM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:14 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:40 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.511.51.91.91.81.51.10.70.40.20.30.611.41.71.81.71.410.50.1-0.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:46 AM EST     1.88 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:12 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:36 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:33 AM EST     -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:33 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:08 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:11 PM EST     1.50 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:38 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:14 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:49 PM EST     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:01 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.81.91.40.5-0.3-0.7-0.9-1.2-1.2-0.60.51.21.41.51.30.6-0.3-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.4-1-0

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.