Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Weston, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 6:02PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 2:09 AM EST (07:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:39AMMoonset 9:28PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 823 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Rest of tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots along the coast to west 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of light showers in the morning, then chance of light showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Along the coast, gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. In the gulf stream, gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 823 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis.. Light south-southwest winds this evening with a few showers as a weak disturbance moves through the region. The winds will then swing to a northerly direction on Tuesday before going back to a southerly direction on Wednesday while remaining light. There is also a slight chance of showers over the atlantic waters on Tuesday and the atlantic and gulf waters on Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 25, 2020 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 14 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Weston, FL
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location: 26.11, -80.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 280558 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1258 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

Aviation. Mostly dry, although a brief shower isn't out of the question today, especially for east coast sites. MVFR CIGs expected to continue early this morning, though lower CIGS are possible, causing periods of IFR conditions. Greatest chance between 07-13z. Otherwise winds become northerly early this morning, shifting towards the NE-E this afternoon. Speeds should generally remain below 10 kt through the TAF period.

Prev Discussion . /issued 309 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020/

Discussion .

Short Term (Tonight through Tuesday Night):

A mid-level shortwave trough pushing from the eastern Gulf of Mexico through South Florida this afternoon will exit into the Atlantic late tonight. Available moisture in the low levels will be capable of supporting shallow shower activity overnight, particularly as the short wave crosses the peninsula from west to east. The extra cloud cover overnight will help keep temperatures from cooling off too drastically along the east coast metro (which will remain in the lower to mid 60s except right along the Atlantic which may stay in the upper 60s) but Southwest Florida will be able to cool down into the mid to upper 50s as the wind becomes light enough to allow for a northerly drainage flow to establish itself from Central Florida into portions of Southwest Florida.

While the mid-level shortwave trough will have exited into the Atlantic, some lingering moisture and associated cloud cover could linger around the east coast on Tuesday. The surface flow will turn more northerly and then northeasterly through the day which could allow for some Atlantic clouds and showers to sneak back into the east coast even as late as the afternoon hours. Temperatures should be able to rebound into the mid to upper 70s across the area with some lower 80s sneaking in over the southern portions of the Everglades which may see increased sun and lower cloud coverage sooner on Tuesday.

Long term (Wednesday-Monday):

Models show a series of disturbances developing over the south/southeast states and moving across the northern Gulf waters and through portions of the Florida peninsula starting mid week. On Wednesday, the first disturbance will have a weak low reflection on the low levels, which brings increasing moisture over the west coast of the state by Wednesday afternoon. There are still discrepancies between models in terms of overall impacts and intensity, but solutions do agree in bringing an associated weak frontal boundary across the area. GFS remains the drier solution, while EURO seems to provide a little better instability for at least scattered showers and maybe a couple of thunderstorms. EURO is also slower, bringing the bulk of the rain late Wed into early Thu. For now, there is no compelling reason to deviate from inherited forecast philosophy, which is closer to GFS. Thus, will continue to carry mainly showers in the forecast and leaving mention of thunder out, since the best dynamics associated with the developing low should remain well to our north. This of course could change as the next sets of model runs become available.

A short-lived drier period returns on Thursday with cool/dry air advection in the wake of the FROPA, before a second, stronger shortwave disturbance moves across the CONUS. Both global models show sfc cyclogenesis around the central Gulf waters by Friday. Meanwhile, a third shortwave perturbation develops around the base of a longwave trough across the central CONUS. Latest Model solutions suggest that the cyclogenesis over the Gulf evolves into a strong low, quickly intensifying as it moves from the Gulf into the west Atlantic during the weekend.

There is still plenty of time for major adjustments to take place as new model runs become available. Therefore, will keep mainly scattered showers and slight chance of thunder in the forecast and wait for upcoming guidance before making any significant adjustments. But potential for localized heavy rain is likely to increase if this scenario materializes. Best chances seem to happen on Sat and diminishing on Sun.

Very nice weather conditions should then follow for late Sunday and into early next week with high pressure establishing across the region and temperatures near normals.

Marine .

A progressive pattern will keep wind shifting as a succession of different features push across the area this week into the weekend. Overall, it appears that conditions should remain benign through the rest of the week but a strong cold front over the weekend could produce hazardous marine conditions in its wake late this weekend into early next week.

Beach Forecast .

An elevated risk of rip currents may persist along the Palm Beaches due to a northeasterly swell. Easterly wind flow may also return during periods of the week adding the potential for a high risk along the northern Palm Beaches. The Gulf beaches could see a concern behind a weak front Thursday into Friday as well.

Aviation . Cannot rule out some shower activity into Tuesday, with the potential of sub-VFR cigs overnight into Tuesday morning. The southerly to southwesterly flow will become westerly to northwesterly overnight before turning northeasterly on Tuesday. Short-fused amendments may be necessary for sub-VFR conditions.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 73 61 77 60 / 10 10 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 75 64 77 64 / 10 20 20 20 Miami 76 63 78 63 / 10 20 20 20 Naples 75 57 76 60 / 0 10 10 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . 03/Fell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 13 mi58 min 68°F 1012.2 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 28 mi58 min 69°F 73°F1012.6 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 38 mi70 min W 8.9 G 9.9 71°F 76°F1012.8 hPa (-0.8)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 39 mi52 min 67°F 76°F1011.6 hPa

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi17 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds65°F55°F73%1012.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL11 mi17 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds64°F57°F78%1012 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL12 mi17 minN 010.00 miFair61°F55°F84%1012.4 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL14 mi17 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy66°F57°F75%1012.7 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL16 mi17 minW 310.00 miFair65°F55°F70%1012.4 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL20 mi17 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F57°F73%1012.4 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL23 mi3.3 hrsSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy66°F53°F64%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHWO

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N3N3SE4NW5N3N3SE7SE10SW8SW8W10SW5SW6W4W4SW5SW3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW8N10NW12NW8NW10N7NW6NW5NW8N6NW8N8N8N3NE5E5NE3CalmCalmN3N5N3N4N3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3NW6NW12NW11NW11NW10NW8NW10N9N6N4NW6N5N3CalmCalmNW3W3NW6

Tide / Current Tables for Andrews Avenue bridge, New River, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Andrews Avenue bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:07 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:06 AM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:27 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EST     1.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.30.90.40-0.100.40.91.41.921.91.61.20.70.30.100.30.71.21.61.8

Tide / Current Tables for Port Everglades, Turning Basin, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Port Everglades
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:03 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:20 AM EST     2.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:31 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:27 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:36 PM EST     2.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.10.50.1-0.100.411.72.22.42.421.50.90.40.100.30.81.41.92.22.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.