Tuesday, July14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Naples, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 8:23PM Tuesday July 14, 2020 8:14 PM EDT (00:14 UTC) Moonrise 12:59AMMoonset 2:04PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 345 Pm Edt Tue Jul 14 2020
Tonight..West northwest winds 5 knots becoming north after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Wednesday..NEarshore, west in the afternoon. North northeast winds 5 knots. Offshore, west northwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds becoming 0 seconds in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms
showers likely in the afternoon
Thursday night..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday through Saturday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1007 Am Cdt Tue Jul 14 2020
Synopsis..A light westerly to southwesterly flow will generally prevail through Thursday. Winds turn more easterly to southeasterly Friday through the weekend. Scattered showers and storms are possible through the period, mainly across the nearshore waters, bays, and sounds. Winds and seas will be locally higher near any storms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, FL
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location: 26.14, -81.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 141858 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 258 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020

Discussion.

Short Term (Rest of today and Wednesday):

A stalled frontal boundary across the Southeast US with high pressure building across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and South Florida. Light wind flow with both sea breezes developing with scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Storms will develop over the interior and favor the interior and east coast this afternoon. Additional development will be along outflow boundary and sea breeze interactions. Main impacts will be locally heavy rainfall, lightning and an isolated strong wind gust.

High pressure continues to build as we move into Wednesday with winds generally beginning to veer becoming northeasterly and easterly. Tomorrow will be the transition day with the changing of the flow pattern. Tomorrow looks similar today with sea breeze driven convection in the afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The difference will be as we transition to the easterly flow regime storms will generally move away from the east coast and focus towards the interior and west coast.

Tomorrow, hot and humid conditions will continue with high temperatures in the low to mid 90s with triple digit heat indices. Until, we can finally get under persistent easterly flow then the higher temps along the east coast will be able to subside.

Long Term (Wednesday night through Monday night):

Not a lot of changes in the long term scenario. Models show a broad 500mb ridge across the region, while the Atlantic high gradually moves closer to Bermuda during the weekend. This will translate into increasing tropical moisture advection into the sunshine state through early next week.

A few nocturnal showers are possible, with a stray storm or two, mainly over the Atlantic coastal waters. Some cells may slowly move over coastal locations each evening.

On Thursday, sea breezes will combine with daytime heating to bring another round of afternoon convection, with better chances of rain over the west coast and interior areas as the sea breezes push inland. However, showers should begin to become more widespread across Soflo as the aforementioned tropical moisture advection intensifies.

By Friday and into the weekend, a tropical disturbance is shown in the long range models reaching the area and further enhancing the chances for showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance will be slow moving, with model solutions keeping the bulk of the moisture just to the south of the area. Nevertheless, POPs remain in the likely category through early next week, mainly in the afternoon/early evening hours.

The NBM continues to struggle in portraying increasing cloud cover and rain activity vs keeping very warm afternoon temps. But since it is long range, the forecast will be adjusted just a little bit cooler than guidance for max temps and wait for upcoming model runs before doing any more significant adjustments. Deep convection should begin tapering off early next week, but with enough leftover low lvl moisture to keep chances of rain in the likely category, at least on Monday.

Marine. Light wind flow with scattered showers and storms over the local South Florida waters. As high pressure begins to build across the region veering winds to northeast then easterly by the end of the week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, until a tropical wave approaches the region the end of the week into the weekend with increased rain chances.

Aviation. Both seabreezes have begun to develop and will move towards the interior with additional development in the afternoon and evening. VCTS for all east terminals with TEMPOS for MVFR cigs and vis in storms. Convection will diminsh later this evening with light winds overnight. Both sea breezes develop once tomorrow.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 77 91 77 91 / 20 50 30 60 Fort Lauderdale 79 91 79 89 / 20 50 30 60 Miami 79 93 79 91 / 20 50 30 60 Naples 77 93 77 94 / 10 30 20 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Short term/Marine/Aviation . LAK Long term . 17


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 1 mi75 min 91°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 8 mi90 min WNW 5.1 90°F 1018 hPa77°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 19 mi81 min W 8.9 G 11 89°F 1017.6 hPa
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 35 mi75 min 91°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 41 mi135 min 88°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 44 mi135 min 93°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL1 mi22 minWNW 610.00 miFair87°F78°F75%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W7W5W5W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3CalmW6NW7W7W10W11W11W11W8W6NW6
1 day agoSE4SE6S5SW5SW6W7S8W6CalmW11SW4W4SW7W7W7SW9W9NW10W8SW11W11W9W9W8
2 days agoW6SW8SW9W9SW9SW9SW7SW8SW8SW9W5W8W11SW9W11SW9SW8--E10SE9S8S6SW8S3

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:43 AM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:04 AM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:46 PM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:03 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.31.41.61.92.22.42.52.42.221.71.41.110.911.21.51.8222

Tide / Current Tables for Cocohatchee River, U.S. 41 bridge, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.