Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Naples, FL

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Anticyclonic mid-level flow begins to break down during the day on Friday as deep-layer ridging begins to slowly erode with surface winds beginning to veer to a light southeasterly to southerly component late on Friday into Saturday morning. This subtle change is due in large part to the next weak surface boundary approaching the region this weekend in tandem with a mid-level trough moving across the eastern half of the United States. As the boundary washes out across the region with a deeper envelope of moisture, mesoscale processes(sea-breezes) will continue to dictate the weather regime each afternoon. Ensemble and deterministic model guidance continues to hint at the potential of a few mid-level impulses rotating around the base of the aforementioned trough and across the region late weekend into early next week. The combination of deeper moisture, greater instability, and convergent boundaries could potentially set the stage for the next opportunity of measurable rain across the region. This setup is still a few days out and this airmass currently in place has been persistently anhydrous. The deterministic GFS and European models over the past 24 hours have continued to delay the heaviest precipitation occurring across the region to a later time while also depicting lesser rainfall totals. Hopefully as we get closer in time, we can decipher some more clarity for the forecast.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

SCT MVFR ceilings across the east coast terminals throughout the 06Z TAF period. E/NE winds 5-10 kts becoming 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts after 15Z through the early evening. An afternoon Gulf breeze will try to develop at APF after 18Z.

MARINE
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

A period of cautionary conditions for small craft will continue across the Atlantic waters through Thursday with periods of cautionary conditions also occurring across the local gulf waters.
Seas will remain 4-5 feet across the Gulf Stream waters this morning before gradually decreasing to 2-4 feet by Thursday morning.
Waves will remain in the 2-3 feet range across the Gulf waters through Thursday morning.

BEACHES
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

A high risk of rip currents will prevail at all east coast beaches today. As breezy to gusty easterly flow continues, the elevated risk of rip currents will continue through Friday. When in doubt, dont go out!

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Although winds will remain light across inland locales this afternoon, relative humidity values will drop to near or just above critical levels (mid to upper 30s) across inland southwestern Florida.
This may result in enhanced fire behavior as vegetation remains quite dry across these areas. Closer to both coasts, relative humidity values will remain well above thresholds as onshore flow moderates relative humidity values as sea-breezes move inland.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 72 82 72 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 84 68 84 69 / 0 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 83 71 84 71 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 82 71 82 72 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 81 72 / 0 0 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 80 71 81 72 / 0 0 10 10 Pembroke Pines 85 72 86 73 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 80 70 82 70 / 0 0 10 10 Boca Raton 82 71 84 72 / 0 0 10 10 Naples 88 66 86 67 / 0 0 10 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...None.
GM...None.