Thursday, April22, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orangetree, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:55PM Thursday April 22, 2021 11:18 AM EDT (15:18 UTC) Moonrise 2:21PMMoonset 3:02AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Thu Apr 22 2021
Rest of today..North northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west northwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northwest in the afternoon, then becoming west becoming north northwest in the evening. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 930 Am Cdt Thu Apr 22 2021
Synopsis..Moderate offshore winds are expected to continue decrease slightly and transition to be easterly by this afternoon. Moderate southeasterly flow expected on Friday, before shifting southerly and increasing to moderate to strong overnight ahead of another cold front. Moderate northerly flow is then anticipated in the wake of the second cold front early Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orangetree, FL
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location: 26.15, -81.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 221315 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 915 AM EDT Thu Apr 22 2021

UPDATE. Radar this morning reveals a few showers exiting the offshore Atlantic waters near the frontal boundary that pushed through South Florida yesterday. Given there still remains ample boundary layer moisture, increasing insolation through the day could work together with another frontal boundary -- currently analyzed across Lake Okeechobee-- to result in isolated convection this afternoon, especially for the southern portions of the area. While updraft strength should be limited with other factors for severe convection being less favorable, can't rule out locally gusty winds with any stronger storms that develop. All in all, the forecast looks to be in good shape with no major adjustments needed at this time.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 738 AM EDT Thu Apr 22 2021)

AVIATION(12Z TAFS) .

Primarily VFR conditions will prevail today with SHRA and perhaps an isolated TSRA possible this afternoon, though coverage should be sparse enough to maintain vicinity mention at this time. Otherwise, main story is NNW flow becoming NE by the afternoon, with the exception of a Gulf breeze/westerly wind shift at KAPF.

PREV DISCUSSION . (Issued 333 AM EDT Thu Apr 22 2021)

SHORT TERM (Today through Friday) . An expansive continental surface high centered over the east-central CONUS will continue to translate eastward behind a departing eastern CONUS trough and accompanying upper-level jet streak, resulting in mid-level drying across South Florida. At the surface, the tail end of a weak frontal boundary will continue drifting into the western Atlantic waters, and a moist boundary layer combined with diurnal heating/destabilization will support the development of isolated showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms today. Poor mid-level lapse rates and associated weak deep-layer instability should keep coverage of showers and storms low today, though mesoscale ascent driven by differential heating should support at least isolated convection -- especially across the far southern portions of South Florida.

As surface winds gradually veer from the NNW to NNE below deep westerly middle and upper tropospheric flow today, the net result will be deep-layer bulk shear values of 30 to 40 knots across the eastern half of South Florida. Although very modest instability and weak forcing for ascent should principally limit updraft intensity this afternoon, locally gusty winds will be possible if any convection can become loosely organized owing to the favorable deep- layer shear in place. Temperatures will be near normal for today, with lower 80s across the eastern half of South Florida and middle/upper 80s across southwest Florida and the Gulf Coast.

For Friday, surface winds will continue veering toward an easterly direction, with rich boundary-layer moisture and modest instability remaining in place across South Florida. These factors will once again support the development of isolated showers and perhaps thunderstorms. Once again, poor mid-level lapse rates and isothermal layers aloft should limit the intensity of updrafts that develop, especially with only modest forcing for ascent. Temperatures will be in the lower 80s across the eastern half of South Florida and upper 80s along the Gulf Coast.

LONG TERM . Friday night through Wednesday night .

A weak Bermuda high should be able to hold on through the first part of the weekend at least. This will bring a south to southeast flow to the area. This flow will advect a warmer air mass into the area, as well as waves of moisture. This will keep at least a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for Saturday.

By Sunday, a low pressure system develops off the mid-Atlantic coast, and has a trailing cold front, which at least moves into north Central Florida by Sunday morning. This system should break down the high to the east, and, along with a 500mb trough, should bring some additional moisture and instability to the area. Currently, it looks as though most of any convective activity will be in the Lake region, and possibly along the east coast metro areas.

After Sunday, models are now showing the front pushes through the area, and high pressure builds over the region for the beginning of the week. This high should be strong enough to hamper convection through the end of the forecast period.

AVIATION(06Z TAFS) . Primarily VFR throughout the period. Isolated SHRA will be possible across the Atlantic waters during the morning hours, though impacts should be limited. Additional SHRA and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm will be possible this afternoon, though limited coverage precludes mention in the TAFs. NNW flow will become NNE by late morning, and a Gulf breeze/westerly wind shift is forecast at KAPF.

MARINE . Generally benign marine conditions outside of isolated showers and thunderstorms across the Atlantic waters, where locally gusty winds will be possible. As a weak frontal boundary departs the area, strengthening easterly winds will result in cautionary conditions across the local waters from Friday morning through the upcoming weekend.

BEACHES . Isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm could affect the Atlantic beaches today, with locally gusty winds possible. The rip current risk will increase across the Atlantic beaches late this week and remain elevated through the upcoming weekend as onshore winds strengthen.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 73 84 74 87 / 20 30 20 20 West Kendall 70 86 73 89 / 20 30 20 20 Opa-Locka 70 84 73 87 / 20 30 20 20 Homestead 70 84 73 87 / 20 30 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 73 82 75 86 / 20 30 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 72 81 74 85 / 20 30 20 20 Pembroke Pines 70 84 73 87 / 20 30 20 20 West Palm Beach 69 81 71 85 / 10 20 10 30 Boca Raton 71 82 73 86 / 20 20 20 30 Naples 67 87 70 87 / 10 10 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update/Aviation . HVN Today through Friday and Marine . Weinman Friday Night through Wednesday . 13

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwsmiami www.twitter.com/nwsmiami


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 13 mi94 min E 7 71°F 1019 hPa64°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 17 mi79 min ESE 8 G 13 76°F 78°F1019.2 hPa (+1.4)
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 27 mi145 min NNE 17 G 19 71°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 33 mi139 min 80°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 35 mi139 min 79°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 40 mi79 min NE 7 G 9.9 71°F 81°F1019 hPa (+1.1)
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 44 mi139 min 80°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 46 mi139 min 79°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL15 mi26 minENE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F58°F52%1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW3NW33W6W6W8NW9NW7NW6NW3CalmNW3N3N3N7N4N5N4N7N5N9NE10E12
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2 days agoSW14SW15
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Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:19 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:09 AM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:44 PM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:19 PM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.10.70.40.20.20.50.91.522.32.52.42.21.81.51.31.21.41.622.22.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida (2)
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Naples (outer coast)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:28 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:25 AM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:41 PM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:27 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.90.40.10.10.40.91.41.92.22.42.42.21.91.51.31.21.41.72.12.42.62.62.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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