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Marine Weather and Tides Orangetree, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:13AM

Sunset 7:46PM

Friday April 3, 2020 11:32 PM EDT (03:32 UTC)

Moonrise 2:07PM

Moonset 3:05AM

Illumination 84%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orangetree, FL

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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 032355 AAA AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 755 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

Aviation. The winds will remain light from the east/southeast tonight over all of the TAF sites before increasing to around 10 knots on Saturday. The only exception is at KAPF taf site where the winds will become westerly in the afternoon. The ceiling and vis will remain in VFR conditions at all of the TAF sites with dry conditions.

Update. High pressure over the Southeastern United States will remain stationary tonight keeping a light east southeast winds over South Florida along with dry weather. Therefore, no changes are planned at this time.

Prev Discussion. /issued 217 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020/

Discussion .

Short Term (Tonight and Saturday):

A mature cyclone located off the New England coast will move into the open Atlantic, as mid-level ridging remains prominent across the southern Gulf of Mexico and Greater Antilles. Weak surface ridging will prevail from the lower Great Lakes through Florida. Despite some weak passing perturbations aloft, it appears that sea breeze circulation patterns will be the primary short-term drivers for wind direction and cloud cover. Light and variable winds tonight should again become east to southeast on Saturday, with the exception of along the Gulf coast where they'll become southwesterly by afternoon as the Gulf breeze progresses inland. The high resolution guidance suggests a slight uptick in low-level moisture given the prevailing easterly fetch and even want to spit out a few afternoon showers along the inland advancing Atlantic sea breeze. Added an area of slight chance PoPs to account for this given the consistency of the signal. That said, dry conditions should be the rule for most. Given the dry airmass, cool temperatures are expected tonight over the interior (upper 50s to around 60), with 60s along the Gulf coast and lower 70s for the Atlantic beaches. Highs on Saturday should climb well into the 80s across western portions of the area, with lower 80s along the east coast given the somewhat cool onshore flow.

Long Term . (Saturday night through Thursday):

Models have backed down considerably for the potential front on the Sat night/Sunday timeframe. There is fair inter and intra model consensus about having instead weak high pressure developing over the SE CONUS, which will help in blocking the progression of the front and its parent low, keeping most of the associated weather over the central states. There is still a shortwave signal on models, migrating across the Gulf and the northern portions of the peninsula, but with only slight chance of showers for SoFlo on Sunday. Afterwards, the aforementioned high keeps sliding south/southeast, with the center reaching the Bahamas by mid week. This will bring another round of persisting subsidence, along with veering winds from easterlies on Sunday to SW/W by Wednesday as the ridge positions itself to the SE of Florida.

With the dominant high pressure across the area, expect warming temperatures each day with afternoon highs remaining above normals, mainly mid-upper 80s near the coast and low-mid 90s inland.

Long range models continue to struggle on how to resolve a potential trough/low complex that may develop over the central CONUS by the end of next week. For now, it seems the best dynamic and overall impacts remain well to the north of SoFlo, with the sfc boundary stalling near the Fl Panhandle.

Marine .

Large N-NE swells are anticipated over the Atlantic waters through this evening before subsiding. These swells will be more pronounced off the the Palm Beach County coast, with smaller but still significant swell expected for areas farther south as well. Hazardous marine conditions are expected for small craft operators for the Atlantic waters off Palm Beach County where a Small Craft Advisory is in effect. Cautionary conditions will exist elsewhere across the Atlantic waters through tonight.

Aviation .

VFR. E-ESE winds around 7-10 kt this afternoon at the eastern terminals. At APF expect a more SWly direction as the Gulf Breeze pushes inland this afternoon. A similar weather pattern should prevail for tonight into Saturday.

Beach Forecast .

The arriving swell will bring an enhanced rip current risk for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk for the Palm Beaches. This hazard will likely continue for this weekend and beyond with onshore winds continuing. Rough surf conditions are expected along the Palm Beach through this evening before subsiding tonight.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 66 83 68 81 / 0 10 10 30 Fort Lauderdale 68 82 71 81 / 0 10 10 20 Miami 69 83 70 82 / 0 10 10 20 Naples 65 83 67 84 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ650-670.

GM . None.

Update . 54/BNB Marine . 34/SPM Aviation . 54/BNB Beach Forecast . 34/SPM Short Term . 34/SPM Long Term . 17/AR

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL	13 mi	47 min	NE 1.9	68°F			1016 hPa	64°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL	17 mi	44 min	W 4.1 G 4.1
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL	27 mi	98 min	N 6 G 7	76°F			1015.6 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL	33 mi	92 min			80°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL	35 mi	92 min			84°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL	40 mi	44 min	NW 4.1 G 5.1
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL	44 mi	92 min			80°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL	46 mi	92 min			78°F

Wind History for Naples, FL

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12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

Last 24hr

NE6 G9

N7 G11

NE7

NE2

NE4

NE4 G8

E5

NE5 G9

E5 G8

NE6

E3 G7

E5 G9

S3

S10

S12 G15

S13

S11

SW11

SW8 G11

SW8

SW6

SW4

W4

NW3

1 day ago

NE9 G12

N8 G12

N7

NE6 G9

NE4 G7

NE5 G8

NE5 G9

NE5 G8

NE6 G10

NE7 G14

NE9 G13

E8 G13

E7 G11

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W6

NW6

NW8

W8 G11

W9

NW9

NW9 G12

NW11

NW11 G14

NE6

2 days ago

SW15

SW16

SW17

SW18 G22

W13 G19

W13 G16

W14 G19

NW18

NW20

NW18 G22

NW19

NW18 G23

NW17

NW14 G19

NW16

NW13 G16

NW16

NW14 G17

NW15

NW16

NW13 G17

NW15

NW16

N17 G21

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL	15 mi	39 min	N 0	10.00 mi		75°F	66°F	76%	1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

Last 24hr

NE4

N5

N4

Calm

NE3

NE5

NE4

NE6

NE5

E6

E7

E8

SW4

5

SW10

SW14

SW13

SW11

SW10

SW7

W6

Calm

Calm

Calm

1 day ago

N6

N9

N6

N6

NE5

NE6

NE8

NE8

NE7

NE11

NE11

NE10

E7

Calm

3

W9

NW10

W10

--

--

--

NW5

NW4

NE6

2 days ago

SW12

SW13 G19

W14 G21

SW15 G20

W11 G19

W13 G19

W9

NW9

NW13 G22

NW11 G21

NW9 G22

NW11 G20

NW15 G19

NW10 G20

NW15 G21

W16 G20

NW13

W14 G20

NW13 G21

NW11 G17

NW10

NW6

NW7

N8

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Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL

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Gulf Stream Current

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