Saturday, November28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:36PM Saturday November 28, 2020 12:09 AM EST (05:09 UTC) Moonrise 4:39PMMoonset 5:17AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1008 Pm Est Fri Nov 27 2020
Rest of tonight..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..East northeast winds 10 knots becoming north northwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 1 second increasing to 2 seconds after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..South southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..North northwest winds 10 to 20 knots nearshore and north northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet nearshore and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and north 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet nearshore and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and north northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet nearshore and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 feet with occasional to 5 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 931 Pm Cst Fri Nov 27 2020
Synopsis..Light onshore flow will shift to offshore overnight as a cold front moves south over the gulf. Moderate to strong onshore flow returns by Sunday as a system approaches from the west. Flow becomes moderate to strong offshore Sunday night as a cold front crosses area waters. Winds weaken mid week as surface high pressure passes over the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Ridge, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 280031 AAB AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 731 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020

Update. The weather should remain dry tonight over South Florida, as high pressure remains over the Florida Peninsula. Patchy fog should also develop over the western interior areas late tonight, as the winds will remain light with low level moisture in place. Therefore, no changes are planned at this time for the forecast for tonight. Rest of the forecast looks good at this time.

Prev Discussion. /issued 613 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020/

Aviation . The winds will be light and variable over the TAF sites tonight along with dry and VFR conditions. There could be some patchy fog over the northwest interior areas of South Florida tonight, but the fog should stay away from all of the South Florida TAF sites.

Prev Discussion . /issued 318 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020/

Short Term . Today through Saturday Evening .

A broad ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern across South Florida for the rest of today and into tonight. Latest short range hi res models continue to show just enough lower level moisture in the area to support the slight chance of showers mainly across the Atlantic waters and the eastern portion of South Florida this afternoon and into this evening. Soundings from this morning show a very dry layer aloft, which will remain in place for the rest of today. This will help to limit the coverage of shower activity as well as intensity, so most of the showers will be brief. High temperatures today will generally rise into the lower 80s across South Florida.

High pressure remains in control as well for Saturday and the light east to southeasterly wind flow will continue as well. Many areas across the region will remain dry for Saturday. A brief passing shower cannot be ruled out at some point during the day mainly across the Atlantic waters as well as the east coast, however, chances remain very minimal. High temperatures will once again rise into the lower 80s across most of the area Saturday afternoon.

Long Term . Saturday Night through Thursday Night .

Some weak 500mb ridging is forecast over the southeast US, ahead of a 500mb short wave, which Should be over the Mississippi River valley by Monday 00z. This should keep the weather quiet over South Florida through at least Sunday night. A stronger 500mb trough digs and deepens over the northern plains at this time, and by Monday morning, should be over the Great Lakes region. This stronger trough should absorb the short wave and cause a surface low to form ahead of it. There is a baroclinic zone over north Florida, that should get pushed northward as a warm front, and a surface low should develop on this line, Sunday into Monday, moving to the northeast. Both the GFS and the ECMWF show this and a similar track for Monday, which is up the spine of the Appalachian Mountains. They both bring a cold front through South Florida late Monday night, with showers and thunderstorms possible ahead of this front. However, this is not a typical path in these situations. The surface lows tend to either remain to the west of the mountains, or have lee side development, and move just off the east coast. So, would not be surprised at all to see the models shift eastward, especially with such a pronounced 500mb trough. This may allow for an earlier passage of the cold front over the area. While am not changing the forecast at this time, will have to watch for this scenario out of caution. Depending on timing, this could result in somewhat better dynamics and somewhat stronger thunderstorms for late Monday afternoon and evening.

Behind the front, a cooler and drier air mass moves in. Lows Tuesday morning look to be in the 50s, with upper 50s for the Atlantic metro areas. Tuesday high temperatures are forecast only in the low to mid 50s around the Lake region up to 70 in the far southeast portion of the CWA. Wednesday morning looks to be the coldest, which is typical. Lows in the low 40s west of the Lake to around 50 in the Atlantic metro areas. Apparent temperatures should remain above wind chill criteria , even west of the Lake, but may be close to meeting it.

Beyond this high pressure keep the weather quiet through the remainder of the forecast period and a warming trend sets up.

Marine . A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern over the Atlantic and Gulf waters through the upcoming weekend. With a light to moderate east to southeasterly flow remaining in place, generally benign boating conditions will continue across the local waters through the weekend. On Monday, a cold front will move through the local waters which will increase the chances of showers and thunderstorms out ahead of it. Behind the front, winds will increase out of the north northwest, which could create hazardous marine conditions over the Atlantic and Gulf waters through the middle of the week.

Aviation . VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. East southeasterly winds will remain around 10 knots this afternoon before beginning to diminish this evening. At KAPF, winds this afternoon will shift around to the west southwest as a Gulf Coast sea breeze moves through. A brief shower or two is possible across the east coast terminals through this evening.

Beach Forecast . A moderate risk of rip currents remains in place across the Atlantic Coast Beaches through this evening, Winds will then subside and remain rather light on Saturday. This will allow for the rip current risk to remain on the lower end for the rest of the weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 67 81 69 82 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 69 83 69 82 / 20 10 0 0 Miami 69 83 70 82 / 20 10 0 0 Naples 67 83 66 83 / 10 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update . 54/BNB Marine . 55/CWC Aviation . 54/BNB Short Term . 55/CWC Long Term . 13


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 5 mi52 min SSE 2.9 G 5.1 74°F 75°F1018.2 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 12 mi85 min SE 2.9 66°F 1019 hPa66°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 14 mi76 min ESE 6 G 8.9 74°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi52 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 71°F 77°F1018.1 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 45 mi130 min 76°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 48 mi130 min 78°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL4 mi77 minESE 510.00 miFair71°F62°F73%1017.5 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL23 mi77 minESE 610.00 miFair70°F61°F73%1017.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4CalmNE4NE8NE9E6NE10
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1 day agoE3NE3NE5NE3CalmNE3NE4NE6NE6NE43SE8S6SW8W7--W5NW3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalm
2 days agoE6E6NE5NE6NE9NE7E7NE8E8E11E14E13E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:16 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:49 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:08 PM EST     2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:33 PM EST     0.97 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 11:17 PM EST     2.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.521.50.90.3-0-0.10.10.61.21.82.32.52.42.11.61.2111.21.62.12.52.7

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:50 AM EST     -1.38 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:18 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:02 AM EST     1.10 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:43 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:29 PM EST     -0.34 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:03 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:57 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:43 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.6-1-1.3-1.4-1.2-0.7-00.611.110.80.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-00.40.810.80.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current



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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.