Saturday, June12, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 8:21PM Saturday June 12, 2021 10:38 AM EDT (14:38 UTC) Moonrise 7:14AMMoonset 9:30PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1003 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
Rest of today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..West southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South southwest winds 10 knots nearshore and south southwest 5 to 10 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 409 Am Cdt Sat Jun 12 2021
Synopsis..A light to moderate westerly flow will prevail over the marine area this weekend into early next week as a weak front approaches the area. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet through Sunday then subside to 1 to 2 feet by Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Ridge, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 121407 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1007 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

UPDATE. Southwesterly winds across the area with morning showers over the waters and west coast this morning. Scattered showers with an isolated thunderstorm will be possible the rest of the morning. A east coast sea breeze will develop this afternoon and become the focus of convection this afternoon. Hi-res models continue to depict two main rounds of convection early this afternoon and another late afternoon/this evening along outflow boundaries and the sea breeze.

The 12Z MFL sounding depicted PWAT values just above 1.7 inches so plenty of moisture continues advect into the area from the Caribbean. The vertical wind profile is fairly light southwesterly winds throughout the column. With the seabreeze those winds will back to south/southeasterly along the east coast at the surface and be the focus of convection. The lack of wind flow will lead to slow storm motion. Lapse rates were modest around 6C/km, with diurnal heating into the low 90s allowing for increased CAPE values for scattered to numerous storms this afternoon. Given the mesoanalysis, the main impacts look to be flooding, with the potential of multiple rounds of storms, lightning strikes and a localized strong downburst wind.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 734 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021)

AVIATION(12Z TAFS) . Southwesterly winds across the area with a few showers over the west coast and local South Florida waters this morning. An east coast sea breeze will develop moving through the east coast TAF sites this afternoon and be the focus for afternoon thunderstorms, with VCTS. Sub-VFR vis and cigs will be possible with storms that move over terminals and will be handled with amendments as coverage and timing confidence increase. Light winds returns overnight tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION . (Issued 305 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021)

A Few Strong Storms Possible East Coast Areas This Afternoon. Near Record Highs Expected This Weekend East Coast Areas. Wetter Conditions Expected Through Middle of Next Week.

SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday) .

A trough of low pressure over the Mid Atlantic States will remain nearly stationary as it digs southward into the Western Atlantic Waters this weekend. This will continue to push the ridge of high pressure southward into the Southern Bahamas allowing for the steering flow over South Florida to be south southwest this weekend. This in turn will allow for the west coast sea breeze to push inland across South Florida with the east coast sea breeze remaining over the east coast metro areas. Therefore, POPs will in the scattered to numerous range over South Florida this weekend with the highest pops over the eastern areas.

The south to southwest wind flow will also allow for deeper tropical moisture to work into South Florida this week from the Caribbean Sea. This will allow for the thunderstorms that do develop to produce heavy rainfall.

There could also be a couple of strong storms late this afternoon into the early evening hours especially over the east coast metro areas due to a low level jet of 20 to 25 knots moving across South Florida from the Gulf of Mexico. The low level winds will also be turning in height due to collision of the sea breezes. At this time, the primary impacts of the stronger storms will be gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

Highs today will in the lower 90s over the western areas to the mid 90s over the eastern areas of South Florida where there could be near the record highs for this time of year. More on the record highs in the climate section below. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 70s, except around 70 near the Lake Okeechobee region. Heat Index readings today will range in the 101 to 105 and on Sunday be 101 to 103 across South Florida.

LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday) .

The mid level trough over the southeastern portion of the country continues to amplify through the early and middle portion of next week as it slowly pushes off to the east. This will continue to keep the south to southwesterly flow in place across South Florida during this time frame pumping in abundant deep layer moisture as PWAT values hover around 2 inches. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop each day as the sea breezes develop. With the southwesterly flow in place, the greatest coverage of showers and thunderstorms should focus over the interior and east coast metro areas.

The mid level trough will continue to provide cooler air aloft as 500 mb temperatures will generally range from -7 to -10C through the early portion of the week along with steeper lapse rates. This will provide the opportunity for some of the thunderstorms to become strong to maybe even severe especially during the beginning of the week. With the abundant moisture remaining in place, there will also be the potential for localized flooding as well especially across the east coast metro areas during this time frame. High temperatures will generally range from around 90 across the east coast metro areas to the lower 90s across the interior sections.

Towards the latter half of the week, the latest computer model guidance shows a strengthening ridge of high pressure over the northeastern Carribean Sea building back into the region as the mid level trough lifts off to the northeast. This would bring a return to southeasterly flow to the region shifting the focus of showers and thunderstorms over to the interior and west coast. At the same time, models are suggesting the possibility of a Saharan Air Layer (SAL) building into the region. These factors could help to decrease the coverage of showers and thunderstorms during this time frame. However, with this being towards the end of the long range period, the forecast remains highly uncertain during this time frame and will need to be monitored as the week progresses.

MARINE .

The winds will be south to southwest at 15 knots or less this weekend into early next week. This will keep the seas at 2 feet or less in both the Atlantic and Gulf waters of South Florida through early next week. Showers and thunderstorms will also be increasing across the local waters of South Florida this weekend into early next week in more of a scattered to numerous range. Therefore, boating conditions looks good outside of any showers or thunderstorms that do develop.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 76 92 77 89 / 30 70 40 60 West Kendall 76 92 76 90 / 30 60 40 60 Opa-Locka 76 92 77 90 / 30 70 40 60 Homestead 75 91 76 89 / 20 60 40 50 Fort Lauderdale 77 92 77 88 / 30 70 40 60 N Ft Lauderdale 76 92 77 90 / 40 70 40 60 Pembroke Pines 76 92 77 90 / 30 70 40 60 West Palm Beach 76 92 75 91 / 40 70 30 60 Boca Raton 75 92 76 90 / 40 70 40 60 Naples 78 89 77 88 / 20 40 40 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update/Aviation . Kelly Today through Sunday and Marine . 99 Sunday Night through Friday . 99

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 5 mi51 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 89°F 86°F1015.1 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 12 mi114 min S 1.9 78°F 1015 hPa78°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 14 mi105 min S 5.1 G 7 84°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi51 min SE 1 G 5.1 85°F 88°F1014.5 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 45 mi99 min 86°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 48 mi99 min 87°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL4 mi46 minW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1014 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL23 mi46 minWSW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S8SW13SW13S12S12SW11SW9SW9S11S8S3S3SW5SW5SE3E3E4E3CalmCalmE3CalmW3
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2 days agoE10SW4W9SW9W7W8W9W10W8SW6W5S3E7SE8CalmCalmE4E4CalmNE3NE4E4E5SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:29 AM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:31 AM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:08 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:36 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.72.32.62.62.31.91.61.31.31.622.52.93.132.62.11.40.70.1-0.2-0.20.1

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:19 AM EDT     1.08 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:12 AM EDT     0.19 knots Min Flood
Sat -- 08:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:04 PM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:21 PM EDT     -1.55 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.81.110.90.70.60.50.30.20.30.50.910.90.4-0.3-0.8-1.2-1.5-1.5-1.5-1.3-0.8-0.2

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