Monday, July6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lighthouse Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:18PM Monday July 6, 2020 6:08 AM EDT (10:08 UTC) Moonrise 8:51PMMoonset 6:47AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 324 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020
Today..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 324 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020
Synopsis.. Benign boating conditions expected to continue through the forecast period. Only exception will be within showers and Thunderstorms that develop, which may bring brief periods of localized higher seas and gusty winds.
Gulf stream hazards.. Thunderstorms may produce lightning, gusty winds, along with potential for waterspouts. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 02, 2020 at 1200 utc... 8 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lighthouse Point, FL
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location: 26.26, -80.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 060742 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 342 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

Discussion.

Short term (Today - Tuesday night):

Models show a few changes for the prevailing synoptic scenario for the short term, mainly the development of a low over the northern Gulf of Mexico, along with an associated decaying boundary lingering across the FL Panhandle. Meanwhile, broad but weakening high pressure remains centered near the central Caribbean, keeping a generally light SSW flow across much of SoFlo today. Continuing very weak pressure gradients will again result in light background flow, becoming calm at times.

As anticipated, deeper atmospheric moisture is making its way into the area with 00Z MFL sounding PWATS reaching the 2 inch mark. And as in the past few days, afternoon sea breezes will become the focal points for convection-genesis, along with subsequent outflow boundary collisions, which can extend the convective activity well into the evening hours. Models continue to depict POPs and WX coverage well below the radar trends of the last 72 hours, and with the described synoptic scenario, these parameters will be kept in the 60-70 percent range for this afternoon, favoring interior and eastern areas. Main concerns remain with the strongest storms, which may bring localized heavy rainfall and flooding as weak to calm winds persist. Also, frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds, small hail and even funnel clouds. Similar scenario for Tuesday, but with slightly more favorable thermodynamics for a little better thunderstorm coverage given the deep moisture remains in place.

Afternoon temperatures will continue to be above normal in the lower to mid 90s across the area. Heat indices will continue to soar into the triple digits up to 106.

Long Term (Wednesday - Monday morning):

Wednesday through Friday .

Medium-range model guidance continues to remain in good agreement regarding the synoptic pattern, depicting western Atlantic sub- tropical high pressure expanding westward across South Florida into the Gulf of Mexico as a deepening low pressure system gradually lifts northeastward across the southeastern CONUS and eventually into the Mid-Atlantic states. The zonally elongated sub-tropical high pressure across South Florida (surface and aloft) should facilitate weak deep-layer flow, with a light/variable southerly low-level component and light westerly mid-level steering flow.

Abundant sub-tropical lower tropospheric moisture will remain in place across South Florida (PWs remaining near 2.0 inches), allowing for the daily development of afternoon sea-breeze driven convection, generally initiating across inland South Florida and advecting/propagating laterally towards the Atlantic coast and Lake Okeechobee region along fairly progressive outflow boundaries. The primary concern with any convection that develops throughout the period will be localized heavy rainfall and urban street flooding due to potentially slow storm motions and high rainfall rates. Backbuilding convection along persistent mesoscale convergence/ascent zones will ultimately be the focus for the heavy rainfall and localized urban street flooding threat. Seasonably modest mid-level lapse rates coinciding with some dry air in the mid-levels could facilitate locally efficient thunderstorm outflow, allowing for slightly progressive convection -- potentially reducing a more substantial flooding risk while introducing a risk of locally strong downbursts. Maximum temperatures and heat indices will be slightly above average each afternoon due to the westward expanding high pressure and rich boundary-layer moisture.

This Weekend into early next week .

As the aforementioned low pressure system continues lifting northeastward into the Mid-Atlantic states, present indications are that strengthening/amplifying cyclonic mid/upper-level flow will become established across the eastern CONUS. This evolution of the large-scale pattern could lead to light southwesterly low/mid- level flow across South Florida and a poleward moisture flux across the area (PWs exceeding 2.0 inches). Mid-level lapse rates appear to trend towards moist-adiabatic which would further increase the risk of locally heavy rainfall and isolated flooding along persistent mesoscale convergence boundaries that arise. With deep southwesterly steering flow, the highest rain and thunderstorm chances should be across the northern and eastern portions of South Florida. Above average heat indices should persist each afternoon throughout the extended period with rich boundary-layer moisture and prevailing southerly/southwesterly low-level flow in place.

Marine.

Benign boating conditions continue through the forecast period for all South Florida coastal waters. Only exception will be with any thunderstorm that may form, which will bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds.

Aviation.

VFR should prevail through the late morning hours. Some small storms remain lingering over the offshore waters west of APF, but should remain away from the terminal through the morning hours. Light to calm winds continue until 16Z, then become mainly SW at 8-10kt in the afternoon. There may be brief reductions in CIG/VIS in heavy rain after 18Z, with better chances over the Atlantic terminals. PROB30 groups remain in the forecast for all eastern TAF sites.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 91 77 92 78 / 70 50 50 20 Fort Lauderdale 90 79 90 81 / 60 40 50 20 Miami 92 79 92 80 / 60 30 50 20 Naples 92 77 93 78 / 50 20 30 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 17/AR Aviation . 17/AR Short Term . 17/AR Long Term . 18/Weinman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 12 mi57 min 79°F 1015.8 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 25 mi51 min SW 5.1 G 7 78°F 85°F1015.3 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 37 mi51 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1 83°F 90°F1016.2 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 46 mi69 min SE 11 G 13 83°F 86°F1015.8 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL2 mi76 minWNW 48.00 miFair73°F73°F100%1015.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL6 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair76°F73°F94%1016 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL14 mi76 minNW 310.00 miA Few Clouds77°F75°F94%1015.6 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL20 mi76 minWNW 410.00 miFair0°F0°F%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPMP

Wind History from PMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSW4SW5SW6SE7SE11SE13S15S7S3N5S7
G21
S4CalmS3W4CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmW4Calm
1 day agoW4W3NW6CalmNW5SE8E11SE9SE11S13SE13W5S3NW10N5SE4N5NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW3W5W5W6W3S3SE8SE9SE14SE12S12S11SW10SW8SW7SW5S5SW6W7W5W6W7NW4W5

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsboro Inlet Marina, Florida
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Hillsboro Inlet Marina
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:14 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:00 AM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:26 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:39 PM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.40.80.200.10.51.21.82.42.52.41.91.20.5-0-0.4-0.30.10.71.52.22.72.7

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Raton, Lake Boca Raton, Florida
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Boca Raton
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:57 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:29 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:08 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.71.10.50.1-00.20.71.31.92.32.321.50.90.3-0.2-0.4-0.30.211.72.32.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.